1WTNT31 KNHC 260847 2TCPAT1 3BULLETIN 4TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 3 5NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 6500 AM EDT SAT JUN 26 2010 7 8...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM ALEX...MOVING 9WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... 10 11 12SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 13---------------------------------------------- 14LOCATION...16.9N 84.9W 15ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM E OF BELIZE CITY 16ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 17MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 18PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 19MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES 20 21 22WATCHES AND WARNINGS 23-------------------- 24CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 25 26NONE. 27 28SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 29 30A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 31* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 32MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 33* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS 34 35A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 36* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF 37HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA 38 39A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 40EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 41 42A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 43POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 44 45ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE 46YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. 47 48FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 49PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 50 51 52DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 53------------------------------ 54AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 55LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST. ALEX IS 56MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL 57TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE 58EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 59CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN 60PENINSULA TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING. SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS 61POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX CONSOLIDATES. 62 63REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 64THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH 65HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE 66CENTER OF ALEX REACHES THE COAST OF BELIZE OR THE YUCATAN 67PENINSULA. 68 69TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 70TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 71 72THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 731004 MB...29.65 INCHES. 74 75 76HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 77---------------------- 78RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 794 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 80OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 81AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 82RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 83 84WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE BAY 85ISLANDS OF HONDURAS BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND REACH THE COAST OF 86BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY 87TONIGHT. 88 89 90NEXT ADVISORY 91------------- 92NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. 93NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 94 95$$ 96FORECASTER BEVEN 97 98 99WTNT31 KNHC 261147 100TCPAT1 101BULLETIN 102TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A 103NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 104700 AM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 105 106...ALEX HEADING TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... 107 108 109SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 110---------------------------------------------- 111LOCATION...17.0N 85.3W 112ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM E OF BELIZE CITY 113ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 114MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 115PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 116MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES 117 118 119WATCHES AND WARNINGS 120-------------------- 121CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 122 123NONE. 124 125SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 126 127A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 128* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 129MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 130* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS 131 132A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 133* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF 134HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA 135 136A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 137EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 138 139A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 140POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 141 142ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE 143YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY. 144 145FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 146PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 147 148 149DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 150------------------------------ 151AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 152LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST. ALEX IS 153MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL 154TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 155EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 156CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN 157PENINSULA TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING. SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS 158POSSIBLE TODAY AS THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX CONSOLIDATES. 159 160MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 161GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CENTER OF 162ALEX REACHES THE COAST OF BELIZE OR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. 163 164TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 165TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 166 167ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. 168 169 170HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 171---------------------- 172RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1734 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 174OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 175AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 176RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 177 178WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE BAY 179ISLANDS OF HONDURAS BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND REACH THE COAST OF 180BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY 181TONIGHT. 182 183 184NEXT ADVISORY 185------------- 186NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 187 188$$ 189FORECASTER AVILA 190 191 192WTNT31 KNHC 261445 193TCPAT1 194BULLETIN 195TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 4 196NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1971000 AM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 198 199...LARGE TROPICAL STORM ALEX HEADING TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN 200PENINSULA... 201 202 203SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 204----------------------------------------------- 205LOCATION...17.3N 86.1W 206ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF BELIZE CITY 207ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 208MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 209PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 210MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 211 212 213WATCHES AND WARNINGS 214-------------------- 215CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 216 217NONE. 218 219SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 220 221A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 222* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 223MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 224* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS 225 226A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 227* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF 228HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA 229 230A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 231EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 232 233A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 234POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 235 236 237FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR 238PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 239 240 241DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 242------------------------------ 243AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 244ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST. ALEX IS 245MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND THIS 246MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE 247FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF 248BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 249PENINSULA ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY 250NIGHT AND MONDAY. 251 252MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 253KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE 254BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. 255 256TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 257PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. 258 259ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 260 261 262HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 263---------------------- 264RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2654 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 266OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 267AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 268RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 269 270WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN THE BAY 271ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...AND THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF 272BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER 273TODAY. 274 275 276NEXT ADVISORY 277------------- 278NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 279NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 280 281$$ 282FORECASTER AVILA 283 284 285WTNT31 KNHC 261445 286TCPAT1 287BULLETIN 288TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 4 289NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2901000 AM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 291 292...LARGE TROPICAL STORM ALEX HEADING TOWARD BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN 293PENINSULA... 294 295 296SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 297----------------------------------------------- 298LOCATION...17.3N 86.1W 299ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM E OF BELIZE CITY 300ABOUT 165 MI...270 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 301MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 302PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 303MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 304 305 306WATCHES AND WARNINGS 307-------------------- 308CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 309 310NONE. 311 312SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 313 314A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 315* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 316MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 317* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS 318 319A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 320* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF 321HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA 322 323A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 324EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 325 326A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 327POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 328 329 330FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR 331PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 332 333 334DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 335------------------------------ 336AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 337ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST. ALEX IS 338MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND THIS 339MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE 340FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF 341BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 342PENINSULA ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO SUNDAY 343NIGHT AND MONDAY. 344 345MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 346KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE 347BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND TONIGHT. 348 349TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 350PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. 351 352ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 353 354 355HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 356---------------------- 357RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3584 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 359OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 360AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 361RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 362 363WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN THE BAY 364ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...AND THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF 365BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER 366TODAY. 367 368 369NEXT ADVISORY 370------------- 371NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 372NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 373 374$$ 375FORECASTER AVILA 376 377 378WTNT31 KNHC 261749 379TCPAT1 380BULLETIN 381TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A 382NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 383100 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 384 385...LARGE TROPICAL STORM ALEX HEADING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD BELIZE 386AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...AIR FORCE PLANE INBOUND... 387 388 389SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 390---------------------------------------------- 391LOCATION...17.5N 87.2W 392ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM E OF BELIZE CITY 393ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM SE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 394MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 395PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 396MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 397 398 399WATCHES AND WARNINGS 400-------------------- 401CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 402 403NONE. 404 405SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 406 407A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 408* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 409MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 410* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS 411 412A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 413* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF 414HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA 415 416FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR 417PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 418 419 420DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 421------------------------------ 422AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 423ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST. ALEX HAS 424INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE 425WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR. HOWEVER...ALEX SHOULD 426DECREASE IT FORWARD SPEED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 427CENTER OF ALEX WILL REACH THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN 428PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND MOVE ACROSS THE PENINSULA ON SUNDAY. ALEX 429IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE BY SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY 430MORNING. 431 432MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 433GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE ALEX MOVES 434INLAND LATER TODAY FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING AS THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER 435LAND. 436 437TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 438PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. 439 440ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 441 442 443HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 444---------------------- 445RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4464 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...EASTERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 447OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 448AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 449RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 450 451WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING IN THE BAY 452ISLANDS OF HONDURAS...AND THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF 453BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER 454TODAY. HEAVY SQUALLS ARE ALREADY APPROACHING BELIZE AND EASTERN 455YUCATAN AS REPORTED BY AN AUTOMATIC SURFACE STATION FROM THE 456MEXICAN NAVY. 457 458 459NEXT ADVISORY 460------------- 461NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 462 463$$ 464FORECASTER AVILA 465 466 467WTNT31 KNHC 262031 468TCPAT1 469BULLETIN 470TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 5 471NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 472400 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 473 474...AIR FORCE PLANE FINDS A STRONGER ALEX...WEATHER DETERIORATING 475FAST IN BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... 476 477 478SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 479---------------------------------------------- 480LOCATION...17.3N 87.8W 481ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 482ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM SSE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 483MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 484PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 485MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES 486 487 488WATCHES AND WARNINGS 489-------------------- 490CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 491 492NONE. 493 494SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 495 496A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 497* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 498MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 499* THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA IN HONDURAS 500 501A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 502* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM LIMON WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF 503HONDURAS AND GUATEMALA 504 505FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 506PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 507 508 509DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 510------------------------------ 511AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 512LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST. ALEX IS 513MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 514MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS 515TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 516IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 517 518DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 519WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 520THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA SOUTH OF THE CENTER. NO 521SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE ALEX MOVES INLAND 522...BUT GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER 523YUCATAN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX MOVES OVER THE 524GULF OF MEXICO BY MONDAY. 525 526TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 527FROM THE CENTER. 528 529THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 530996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 531 532 533HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 534---------------------- 535RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5364 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 537OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 538AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 539RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 540 541WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 542AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. WINDS WILL 543BEGIN TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT IN THE BAY ISLANDS OFF THE NORTHERN COAST 544OF HONDURAS. 545 546 547NEXT ADVISORY 548------------- 549NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 550NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 551 552$$ 553FORECASTER AVILA 554 555 556WTNT31 KNHC 262331 557TCPAT1 558BULLETIN 559TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A 560NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 561700 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 562 563...ALEX NEAR THE COAST OF BELIZE...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING INTO 564NORTHERN GUATEMALA AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... 565 566 567SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 568---------------------------------------------- 569LOCATION...17.4N 88.1W 570ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY 571ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM S OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 572MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 573PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 574MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES 575 576 577WATCHES AND WARNINGS 578-------------------- 579CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 580 581THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 582WARNING FOR THE ISLANDS OF ROATAN...GUANAJA...AND UTILA. 583 584THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH 585FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM TELA EASTWARD TO LIMON. 586 587SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 588 589A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 590* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 591MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 592 593A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 594* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM TELA WESTWARD TO THE BORDER OF HONDURAS 595AND GUATEMALA 596 597FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 598PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 599 600 601DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 602------------------------------ 603AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 604LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST. ALEX IS 605MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 606MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THIS 607TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 608THIS EVENING...MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND 609SUNDAY...AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON 610OR SUNDAY EVENING. 611 612MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 613GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CYCLONE MOVES OVER THE 614YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS 615FORECAST AFTER ALEX MOVES OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. 616 617TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 618FROM THE CENTER. 619 620THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 621 622 623HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 624---------------------- 625RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6264 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH 627OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 628AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 629RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 630 631WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 632AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 633 634 635NEXT ADVISORY 636------------- 637NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 638 639$$ 640FORECASTER BRENNAN 641 642 643WTNT31 KNHC 270239 644TCPAT1 645BULLETIN 646TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 6 647NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 6481000 PM CDT SAT JUN 26 2010 649 650...ALEX MOVING INLAND OVER BELIZE... 651 652 653SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 654----------------------------------------------- 655LOCATION...17.7N 88.4W 656ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF BELIZE CITY 657ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM SE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 658MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 659PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 660MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 661 662 663WATCHES AND WARNINGS 664-------------------- 665CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 666 667THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF HONDURAS HAS BEEN 668DISCONTINUED. 669 670SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 671 672A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 673* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF 674MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN 675 676FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 677PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 678 679 680DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 681------------------------------ 682AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 683LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST. ALEX IS 684MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS 685GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 686ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 687TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY 688SUNDAY NIGHT. 689 690MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 691GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WHILE ALEX MOVES 692OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY 693NIGHT AND MONDAY AFTER ALEX MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 694 695TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 696FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 697 698THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS 699IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 700 701 702HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 703---------------------- 704RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 7054 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... 706NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY 707MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 708MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 709FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 710 711WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 712AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS WILL 713GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS. 714 715 716NEXT ADVISORY 717------------- 718NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 719NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 720 721$$ 722FORECASTER BRENNAN 723 724 725WTNT31 KNHC 270559 726TCPAT1 727BULLETIN 728TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A 729NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 730100 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 731 732...ALEX WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN YUCATAN BUT STILL PRODUCING STRONG 733GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL... 734 735 736SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 737---------------------------------------------- 738LOCATION...18.0N 89.0W 739ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SW OF CHETUMAL 740ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM SE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 741MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 742PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 743MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 744 745 746WATCHES AND WARNINGS 747-------------------- 748CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 749 750NONE. 751 752SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 753 754A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 755* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 756OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE 757DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. 758 759FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED 760STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 761METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 762 763 764DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 765------------------------------ 766AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 767LOCATED BY RADAR FROM BELIZE TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH... 768LONGITUDE 89.0 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 76912 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 770FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE 771ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT THIS MORNING...AND ENTER THE 772SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. 773 774MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 775GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY WHILE ALEX MOVES 776OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON SUNDAY 777NIGHT AND MONDAY AFTER ALEX MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. 778 779TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 780FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. RECENT DATA FROM 781A POLAR-ORBITING SATELLITE INDICATED WINDS TO TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 782WERE STILL OCCURRING OFF THE EAST COAST OF BELIZE FROM NEAR BELIZE 783CITY EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD TO AMBERGRIS CAY AND CAYO NORTE 784MEXICO. 785 786THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS 787IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 788 789 790HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 791---------------------- 792RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 7934 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... 794NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MUCH OF HONDURAS AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY 795MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 796MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 797FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 798 799WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 800AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE WINDS WILL 801GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS. 802 803 804NEXT ADVISORY 805------------- 806NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 807 808$$ 809FORECASTER STEWART 810 811 812WTNT31 KNHC 270858 813TCPAT1 814BULLETIN 815TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 7 816NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 817400 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 818 819...ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 820YUCATAN PENINSULA... 821 822 823SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 824---------------------------------------------- 825LOCATION...18.3N 89.4W 826ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 827ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 828MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 829PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 830MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 831 832 833WATCHES AND WARNINGS 834-------------------- 835CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 836 837NONE. 838 839SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 840 841A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 842* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 843OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE 844DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. 845 846FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES... 847PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL 848SERVICE. 849 850 851DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 852------------------------------ 853AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 854LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BELIZE RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 855NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED 856BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 857FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE 858ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND EMERGE OVER 859THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. 860 861MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 862GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE OVER LAND...AND ALEX COULD 863BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER... 864RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY ON 865MONDAY...WHEN ALEX WILL BE BACK OVER WARM WATER. 866 867TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 868FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF 869THE COASTS OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE. 870 871ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 872 873 874HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 875---------------------- 876RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8774 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... 878GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 879AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 880RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 881 882WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 883AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE 884WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES 885FARTHER INLAND THIS MORNING. 886 887 888NEXT ADVISORY 889------------- 890NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 891NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 892 893$$ 894FORECASTER STEWART 895 896 897WTNT31 KNHC 270913 898TCPAT1 899BULLETIN 900TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 7...CORRECTED 901NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 902400 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 903 904CORRECTED TO ADD STORM MOTION IN OUTLOOK SECTION 905 906...ALEX STILL A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 907YUCATAN PENINSULA... 908 909 910SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 911---------------------------------------------- 912LOCATION...18.3N 89.4W 913ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 914ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 915MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 916PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 917MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 918 919 920WATCHES AND WARNINGS 921-------------------- 922CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 923 924NONE. 925 926SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 927 928A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 929* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 930OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE 931DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. 932 933FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES... 934PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL 935SERVICE. 936 937 938DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 939------------------------------ 940AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 941LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND BELIZE RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 942NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST 943NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED 944BY A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 945FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE 946ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING AND EMERGE OVER 947THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. 948 949MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 950GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE OVER LAND...AND ALEX COULD 951BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER... 952RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY ON 953MONDAY...WHEN ALEX WILL BE BACK OVER WARM WATER. 954 955TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 956FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF 957THE COASTS OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE. 958 959ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 960 961 962HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 963---------------------- 964RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 9654 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... 966GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 967AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 968RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 969 970WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 971AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE 972WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE OVERNIGHT AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES 973FARTHER INLAND THIS MORNING. 974 975 976NEXT ADVISORY 977------------- 978NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 979NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 980 981$$ 982FORECASTER STEWART 983 984 985WTNT31 KNHC 271143 986TCPAT1 987BULLETIN 988TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A 989NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 990700 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 991 992...ALEX CONTINUES MOVING INLAND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN 993PENINSULA... 994 995 996SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 997---------------------------------------------- 998LOCATION...18.4N 89.9W 999ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM W OF CHETUMAL MEXICO 1000ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1001MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 1002PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 1003MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1004 1005 1006WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1007-------------------- 1008CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1009 1010NONE. 1011 1012SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1013 1014A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1015* THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA 1016OF MEXICO FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. THE WARNING WILL LIKELY BE 1017DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. 1018 1019FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1020PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1021 1022 1023DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1024------------------------------ 1025AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1026LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.9 WEST. ALEX IS 1027MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS 1028GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS 1029WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... 1030ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA THIS MORNING 1031AND EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON. 1032 1033MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1034GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE SYSTEM IS OVER LAND... 1035AND ALEX COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS MORNING. 1036RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TONIGHT AND MONDAY AFTER ALEX MOVES 1037BACK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. 1038 1039TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1040FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER OFF 1041THE COAST OF THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE. 1042 1043ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1044 1045 1046HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1047---------------------- 1048RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10494 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... 1050GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1051AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 1052RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 1053 1054WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BELIZE 1055AND THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. THESE 1056WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE AS ALEX WEAKENS AND MOVES FARTHER 1057INLAND THIS MORNING. 1058 1059 1060NEXT ADVISORY 1061------------- 1062NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1063 1064$$ 1065FORECASTER BRENNAN 1066 1067 1068WTNT31 KNHC 271433 1069TCPAT1 1070BULLETIN 1071TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 8 1072NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 10731000 AM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 1074 1075...ALEX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN 1076OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... 1077 1078 1079SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1080----------------------------------------------- 1081LOCATION...18.7N 90.6W 1082ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1083ABOUT 80 MI...125 KM E OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO 1084MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 1085PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 1086MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1087 1088 1089WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1090-------------------- 1091CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1092 1093THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE EAST 1094COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1095 1096SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1097 1098THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1099 1100FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1101PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1102 1103 1104DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1105------------------------------ 1106AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX 1107WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.6 WEST. THE 1108DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 1109KM/HR. A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 1110COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE 1111FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN 1112PENINSULA AND ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. 1113 1114MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 1115KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. AFTER ALEX EMERGES INTO THE SOUTHERN 1116GULF OF MEXICO...SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND ALEX IS 1117EXPECTED TO REGAIN TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY TONIGHT OR EARLY 1118MONDAY. 1119 1120ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1121 1122 1123HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1124---------------------- 1125RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 11264 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO... 1127GUATEMALA...AND BELIZE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1128AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE 1129RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 1130 1131 1132NEXT ADVISORY 1133------------- 1134NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1135 1136$$ 1137FORECASTER BRENNAN 1138 1139 1140WTNT31 KNHC 272033 1141TCPAT1 1142BULLETIN 1143TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 9 1144NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1145400 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 1146 1147...ALEX MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... 1148 1149 1150SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1151---------------------------------------------- 1152LOCATION...19.2N 90.9W 1153ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1154MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 1155PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 1156MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES 1157 1158 1159WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1160-------------------- 1161THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1162 1163 1164DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1165------------------------------ 1166AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX 1167WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.9 WEST. THE 1168DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 1169KM/HR. A MOTION GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE 1170NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED. 1171 1172MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1173GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 1174ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN ON MONDAY. 1175 1176THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. 1177 1178 1179HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1180---------------------- 1181RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 11824 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND 1183GUATEMALA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 1184INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD 1185CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 1186 1187 1188NEXT ADVISORY 1189------------- 1190NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1191 1192$$ 1193FORECASTER BLAKE 1194 1195 1196WTNT31 KNHC 280234 1197TCPAT1 1198BULLETIN 1199TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 10 1200NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 12011000 PM CDT SUN JUN 27 2010 1202 1203...ALEX REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH... 1204 1205 1206SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1207----------------------------------------------- 1208LOCATION...19.4N 91.3W 1209ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1210ABOUT 470 MI...755 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 1211MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 1212PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 1213MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 1214 1215 1216WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1217-------------------- 1218THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1219 1220 1221DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1222------------------------------ 1223AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1224LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.3 WEST. ALEX IS 1225MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GENERAL 1226NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1227 1228MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 1229KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST... 1230AND ALEX COULD BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1231 1232TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM 1233FROM THE CENTER. 1234 1235THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT 1236HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 1237 1238 1239HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1240---------------------- 1241RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 12424 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND 1243GUATEMALA THROUGH TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES 1244ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 1245LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 1246 1247HEAVY RAINFALL COULD REACH THE COASTAL AREA OF TAMAULIPAS AND 1248VERACRUZ TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1249 1250 1251NEXT ADVISORY 1252------------- 1253NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1254 1255$$ 1256FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 1257 1258 1259WTNT31 KNHC 280853 1260TCPAT1 1261BULLETIN 1262TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 11 1263NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1264400 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 1265 1266...ALEX GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY AWAY FROM THE 1267YUCATAN PENINSULA... 1268 1269 1270SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1271---------------------------------------------- 1272LOCATION...19.7N 91.6W 1273ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1274ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 1275MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 1276PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 1277MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES 1278 1279 1280WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1281-------------------- 1282THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1283 1284HOWEVER...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY FOR THE 1285COASTAL REGIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS. 1286 1287 1288DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1289------------------------------ 1290AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1291LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST. ALEX IS 1292MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 1293MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1294 1295MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1296GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1297HOURS...AND ALEX COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR ON 1298TUESDAY. 1299 1300TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 1301FROM THE CENTER. 1302 1303ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. 1304 1305 1306HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1307---------------------- 1308RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 13094 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND 1310PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA THROUGH TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 131115 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD 1312CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES. 1313 1314HEAVY RAINFALL COULD REACH THE COASTAL AREAS OF TAMAULIPAS AND 1315VERACRUZ TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1316 1317 1318NEXT ADVISORY 1319------------- 1320NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1321 1322$$ 1323FORECASTER STEWART 1324 1325 1326WTNT31 KNHC 281443 1327TCPAT1 1328BULLETIN 1329TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 12 1330NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 13311000 AM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 1332 1333...ALEX SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED... 1334 1335 1336SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1337----------------------------------------------- 1338LOCATION...20.3N 91.7W 1339ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1340ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1341MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 1342PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 1343MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES 1344 1345 1346WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1347-------------------- 1348CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1349 1350A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF 1351BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. 1352 1353THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST 1354OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ. 1355 1356SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1357 1358A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1359* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1360GRANDE 1361* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1362 1363A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1364WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1365BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1366WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1367DANGEROUS. 1368 1369FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1370STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1371MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1372FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1373UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1374METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1375 1376 1377DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1378------------------------------ 1379AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1380LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. ALEX IS 1381MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS 1382GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A TURN TOWARD THE 1383NORTHWEST FORECAST ON TUESDAY. 1384 1385MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 1386KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING 1387THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE 1388ON TUESDAY. 1389 1390TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 1391FROM THE CENTER. 1392 1393ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. 1394 1395 1396HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1397---------------------- 1398RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1399ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... 1400SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA THROUGH 1401TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 1402MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 1403FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 1404 1405HEAVY RAINS COULD REACH THE COASTAL AREAS OF TAMAULIPAS...NORTHERN 1406VERACRUZ...AND SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1407 1408 1409NEXT ADVISORY 1410------------- 1411NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 1412NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1413 1414$$ 1415FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN 1416 1417 1418WTNT31 KNHC 281736 1419TCPAT1 1420BULLETIN 1421TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A 1422NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1423100 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 1424 1425...ALEX MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... 1426 1427 1428SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 1429---------------------------------------------- 1430LOCATION...20.3N 91.7W 1431ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1432ABOUT 535 MI...860 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1433MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 1434PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR 1435MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES 1436 1437 1438WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1439-------------------- 1440CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1441 1442NONE. 1443 1444SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1445 1446A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1447* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1448GRANDE 1449* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1450 1451A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1452WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1453BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1454WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1455DANGEROUS. 1456 1457FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1458STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1459MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1460FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1461UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1462METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1463 1464 1465DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1466------------------------------ 1467AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1468LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 1469LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.7 WEST. ALEX HAS MOVED LITTLE 1470OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO RESUME MOVING 1471TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT AROUND 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...LATER TODAY. 1472A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON TUESDAY. 1473 1474MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1475GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 1476DAYS AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. 1477 1478TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 1479FROM THE CENTER. 1480 1481THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER 1482AIRCRAFT WAS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. 1483 1484 1485HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1486---------------------- 1487RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1488ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... 1489SOUTHERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA THROUGH 1490TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 1491MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 1492FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 1493 1494HEAVY RAINS COULD REACH THE COASTAL AREAS OF TAMAULIPAS...NORTHERN 1495VERACRUZ...AND SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1496 1497WIND...TROPICAL-STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 1498WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY... 1499MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 1500 1501 1502NEXT ADVISORY 1503------------- 1504NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1505 1506$$ 1507FORECASTER BRENNAN 1508 1509 1510WTNT31 KNHC 282031 1511TCPAT1 1512BULLETIN 1513TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 13 1514NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1515400 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 1516 1517...ALEX MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR 1518PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST... 1519 1520 1521SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1522---------------------------------------------- 1523LOCATION...20.5N 91.8W 1524ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 1525ABOUT 520 MI...835 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1526MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 1527PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR 1528MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES 1529 1530 1531WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1532-------------------- 1533CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1534 1535A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM 1536BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR. 1537 1538SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1539 1540A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1541* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1542GRANDE 1543* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1544 1545A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 1546* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 1547 1548A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE 1549WATCH AREA TONIGHT. 1550 1551A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1552WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1553BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1554WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1555DANGEROUS. 1556 1557A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1558POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1559 1560FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1561STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1562MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1563FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1564UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1565METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1566 1567 1568DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1569------------------------------ 1570AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1571LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST. ALEX IS 1572MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. AN INCREASE 1573IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ARE EXPECTED ON 1574TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON 1575WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 1576SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE 1577WATCH AREA LATE WEDNESDAY. 1578 1579MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1580GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 1581AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. 1582 1583TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 1584FROM THE CENTER. AN AUTOMATED STATION FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY AT CAYO 1585ARCAS RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 33 MPH...53 KM/HR...AND 1586A GUST OF 40 MPH...65 KM/HR. 1587 1588THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. 1589THE MEXICAN NAVY STATION AT CAYO ARCAS RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE 1590OF 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. 1591 1592 1593HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1594---------------------- 1595RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1596ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN 1597PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES 1598ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 1599LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 1600 1601HEAVY RAINS COULD REACH THE COASTAL AREAS OF TAMAULIPAS AND NORTHERN 1602VERACRUZ OF MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1603 1604WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 1605WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREAS ON WEDNESDAY... 1606MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 1607 1608 1609NEXT ADVISORY 1610------------- 1611NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 1612NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1613 1614$$ 1615FORECASTER BRENNAN 1616 1617 1618WTNT31 KNHC 282351 1619TCPAT1 1620BULLETIN 1621TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A 1622NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1623700 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 1624 1625...ALEX MOVING LITTLE... 1626 1627 1628SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1629---------------------------------------------- 1630LOCATION...20.6N 91.6W 1631ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 1632ABOUT 525 MI...845 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1633MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 1634PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 1635MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES 1636 1637 1638WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1639-------------------- 1640CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1641 1642NONE. 1643 1644SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1645 1646A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1647* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1648GRANDE 1649* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1650 1651A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 1652* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 1653 1654A HURRICANE WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE 1655WATCH AREA TONIGHT. 1656 1657A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1658WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1659BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1660WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1661DANGEROUS. 1662 1663A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1664POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1665 1666FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1667STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1668MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1669FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1670UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1671METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1672 1673 1674DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1675------------------------------ 1676AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1677LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST. ALEX HAS 1678BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO 1679RESUME A NORTH-NORTWESTWARD MOTION NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...TONIGHT. 1680AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ARE 1681EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST 1682ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL MOVE ACROSS THE 1683SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO AND APPROACH THE COAST WITHIN THE HURRICANE 1684WATCH AREA LATE WEDNESDAY. 1685 1686MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1687GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 1688AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. A HURRICANE 1689HUNTER PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE CENTER OF ALEX. 1690 1691TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 1692FROM THE CENTER. AN AUTOMATED STATION FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY AT CAYO 1693ARCAS...LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER OF ALEX... 1694RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR...AND 1695A GUST OF 45 MPH...73 KM/HR. 1696 1697THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. 1698 1699 1700HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1701---------------------- 1702RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1703ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN 1704PENINSULA THROUGH TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES 1705ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 1706LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 1707 1708HEAVY RAINS COULD REACH THE COASTAL AREAS OF TAMAULIPAS AND NORTHERN 1709VERACRUZ OF MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1710 1711WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 1712WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREAS ON WEDNESDAY... 1713MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 1714 1715 1716NEXT ADVISORY 1717------------- 1718NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1719 1720$$ 1721FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN 1722 1723 1724WTNT31 KNHC 290242 1725TCPAT1 1726BULLETIN 1727TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 14 1728NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 17291000 PM CDT MON JUN 28 2010 1730 1731...ALEX GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING... 1732 1733 1734SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1735----------------------------------------------- 1736LOCATION...21.0N 91.6W 1737ABOUT 440 MI...710 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 1738ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1739MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 1740PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 0 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR 1741MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES 1742 1743 1744WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1745-------------------- 1746CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1747 1748A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF 1749BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. 1750 1751THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE 1752MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ. 1753 1754A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM 1755BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR. 1756 1757SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1758 1759A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1760* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1761GRANDE 1762* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1763 1764A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 1765* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 1766 1767A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1768SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 176936 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 1770TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 1771PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 1772AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1773 1774A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1775EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1776 1777FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1778STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1779MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1780FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1781UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1782METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1783 1784 1785DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1786------------------------------ 1787AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1788LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.6 WEST. ALEX IS 1789MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN 1790TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 1791EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE 1792WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. 1793 1794MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 1795KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 1796FORECAST...AND ALEX IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY. 1797 1798TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 1799FROM THE CENTER. 1800 1801THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 1802HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. 1803 1804 1805HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1806---------------------- 1807RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 1808OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 1809TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 1810 1811ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 1812TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH 1813TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 1814MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 1815FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 1816 1817WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 1818WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS ON 1819WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 1820 1821STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 1822AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 1823COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 1824SURGE COULD PENETRATE AS FAR INLAND AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 1825WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 1826THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 1827WAVES. 1828 1829 1830 1831NEXT ADVISORY 1832------------- 1833NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 1834NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1835 1836$$ 1837FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN 1838 1839 1840WTNT31 KNHC 290544 1841TCPAT1 1842BULLETIN 1843TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A 1844NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1845100 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 1846 1847...ALEX GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED... 1848 1849 1850SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 1851---------------------------------------------- 1852LOCATION...21.4N 91.8W 1853ABOUT 415 MI...665 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 1854ABOUT 475 MI...765 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1855MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 1856PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 1857MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES 1858 1859 1860WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1861-------------------- 1862CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1863 1864NONE. 1865 1866SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1867 1868A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1869* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1870GRANDE 1871* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1872 1873A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 1874* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 1875 1876A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1877SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 187836 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 1879TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 1880PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 1881AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1882 1883A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1884EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1885 1886FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1887STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1888MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1889FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1890UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1891METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1892 1893 1894DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1895------------------------------ 1896AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 1897LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST. ALEX IS 1898MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN 1899TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A 1900GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. 1901 1902MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1903GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1904HOURS...AND ALEX IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 1905 1906TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM... 1907MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH EAST OF THE CENTER. 1908 1909THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE 1910RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. 1911 1912 1913HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1914---------------------- 1915RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 1916OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 1917TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 1918 1919ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 1920TO 6 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THROUGH 1921TUESDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 1922MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH 1923FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 1924 1925WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 1926WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS ON 1927WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 1928 1929STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 1930AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 1931COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 1932SURGE COULD PENETRATE AS FAR INLAND AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 1933WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 1934THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 1935WAVES. 1936 1937 1938NEXT ADVISORY 1939------------- 1940NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1941 1942$$ 1943FORECASTER STEWART 1944 1945 1946WTNT31 KNHC 290839 1947TCPAT1 1948BULLETIN 1949TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 15 1950NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 1951400 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 1952 1953...ALEX SLOWLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF 1954OF MEXICO... 1955 1956 1957SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1958---------------------------------------------- 1959LOCATION...21.7N 91.9W 1960ABOUT 405 MI...650 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 1961ABOUT 460 MI...735 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 1962MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 1963PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 1964MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES 1965 1966 1967WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1968-------------------- 1969CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1970 1971NONE. 1972 1973SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1974 1975A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1976* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 1977GRANDE 1978* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 1979 1980A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 1981* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 1982 1983A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1984SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 198536 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 1986TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 1987PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 1988AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1989 1990A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1991EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1992 1993FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1994STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1995MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1996FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1997UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1998METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1999 2000 2001DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2002------------------------------ 2003AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 2004LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. ALEX IS 2005MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN 2006TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A 2007GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. 2008 2009MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2010GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 2011HOURS...AND ALEX IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 2012 2013TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES... 2014165 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 2015 2016ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. 2017 2018 2019HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2020---------------------- 2021RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 2022ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN 2023MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ADDITIONAL 2024RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS 2025OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 2026LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 2027MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2028 2029WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 2030WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS ON 2031WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2032 2033STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2034AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 2035COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 2036SURGE COULD PENETRATE AS FAR INLAND AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 2037WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 2038THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 2039WAVES. 2040 2041 2042NEXT ADVISORY 2043------------- 2044NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 2045NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 2046 2047$$ 2048FORECASTER STEWART 2049 2050 2051WTNT31 KNHC 291153 2052TCPAT1 2053BULLETIN 2054TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A 2055NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2056700 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 2057 2058...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS ALEX MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE 2059NORTH-NORTHWEST... 2060 2061 2062SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 2063---------------------------------------------- 2064LOCATION...22.5N 92.7W 2065ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2066ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2067MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 2068PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 2069MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES 2070 2071 2072WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2073-------------------- 2074CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2075 2076NONE. 2077 2078SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2079 2080A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2081* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2082GRANDE 2083* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2084 2085A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2086* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2087 2088A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 2089SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 209036 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 2091TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 2092PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 2093AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 2094 2095A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2096EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 2097 2098FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2099STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2100MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2101FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2102UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2103METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2104 2105 2106DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2107------------------------------ 2108AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 2109LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST. ALEX IS NOW 2110MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN 2111TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A 2112GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. 2113 2114MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2115GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 2116HOURS...AND ALEX IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 2117 2118TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES... 2119165 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A 2120MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION AT CAYO ARENAS RECENTLY REPORTED A 2121WIND GUST OF 68 MPH...109 KM/HR. 2122 2123THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER 2124IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. 2125 2126 2127HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2128---------------------- 2129RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 2130ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN 2131MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ADDITIONAL 2132RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS 2133OF SOUTHERN MEXICO THROUGH TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 2134LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 2135MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2136 2137WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 2138WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS ON 2139WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2140 2141STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2142AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 2143COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 2144SURGE COULD PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 2145WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 2146THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 2147WAVES. 2148 2149 2150NEXT ADVISORY 2151------------- 2152NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 2153 2154$$ 2155FORECASTER BEVEN 2156 2157 2158WTNT31 KNHC 291431 2159TCPAT1 2160BULLETIN 2161TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 16 2162NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 21631000 AM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 2164 2165...ALEX NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH WINDS JUST BELOW 2166HURRICANE STRENGTH... 2167 2168 2169SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 2170----------------------------------------------- 2171LOCATION...22.7N 93.1W 2172ABOUT 310 MI...495 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2173ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2174MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 2175PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 2176MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES 2177 2178 2179WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2180-------------------- 2181CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2182 2183NONE. 2184 2185SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2186 2187A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2188* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2189GRANDE 2190* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2191 2192A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2193* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2194 2195FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2196STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2197MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2198FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2199UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2200METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2201 2202 2203DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2204------------------------------ 2205AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 2206LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST. ALEX IS NOW 2207MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN 2208TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE 2209FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF 2210NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND MAKE 2211LANDFALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 2212 2213MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2214GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HR OR SO BEFORE 2215LANDFALL...AND ALEX IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 2216 2217TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 2218FROM THE CENTER. 2219 2220THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 2221HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. 2222 2223 2224HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2225---------------------- 2226RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 2227ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN 2228MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 2229INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE 2230POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD 2231CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 2232MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2233 2234WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 2235WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS ON 2236WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2237 2238STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2239AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 2240COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 2241SURGE COULD PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 2242WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 2243THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 2244WAVES. 2245 2246 2247NEXT ADVISORY 2248------------- 2249NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 2250NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 2251 2252$$ 2253FORECASTER BEVEN 2254 2255 2256WTNT31 KNHC 291743 2257TCPAT1 2258BULLETIN 2259TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A 2260NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2261100 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 2262 2263...ALEX MOVING NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... 2264 2265 2266SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 2267---------------------------------------------- 2268LOCATION...22.9N 93.6W 2269ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2270ABOUT 320 MI...515 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2271MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 2272PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/HR 2273MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES 2274 2275 2276WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2277-------------------- 2278CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2279 2280NONE. 2281 2282SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2283 2284A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2285* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2286GRANDE 2287* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2288 2289A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2290* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2291 2292FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2293STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2294MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2295FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2296UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2297METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2298 2299 2300DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2301------------------------------ 2302AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 2303LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.6 WEST. ALEX IS NOW 2304MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN 2305TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE 2306FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF 2307NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND MAKE 2308LANDFALL WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 2309 2310MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2311GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36 HR OR SO BEFORE 2312LANDFALL...AND ALEX IS LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 2313 2314TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 2315FROM THE CENTER. NOAA BUOY 42055...LOCATED ABOUT 65 MILES SOUTHWEST 2316OF THE CENTER...RECENTLY REPORTED 1-MINUTE MEAN WINDS OF 38 MPH... 231761 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST OF 45 MPH...72 KM/HR. 2318 2319THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 2320HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. 2321 2322 2323HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2324---------------------- 2325RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 2326ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN 2327MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 2328INCHES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE 2329POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD 2330CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 2331MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2332 2333WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE COAST 2334WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS ON 2335WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2336 2337STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2338AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 2339COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 2340SURGE COULD PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 2341WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 2342THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 2343WAVES. 2344 2345 2346NEXT ADVISORY 2347------------- 2348NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 2349 2350$$ 2351FORECASTER BEVEN 2352 2353 2354WTNT31 KNHC 292035 2355TCPAT1 2356BULLETIN 2357TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 17 2358NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2359400 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 2360 2361...ALEX BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AND EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE 2362IN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN MEXICO... 2363 2364 2365SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 2366---------------------------------------------- 2367LOCATION...23.2N 94.0W 2368ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2369ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2370MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 2371PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR 2372MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB...28.97 INCHES 2373 2374 2375WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2376-------------------- 2377CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2378 2379THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH 2380OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO. 2381 2382SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2383 2384A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2385* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2386GRANDE 2387* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2388 2389A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2390* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2391* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 2392 2393A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2394EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 2395 2396FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2397STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2398MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2399FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2400UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2401METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2402 2403 2404DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2405------------------------------ 2406AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 2407LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST. ALEX IS 2408MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN 2409TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 2410EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX 2411WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS 2412ON WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE 2413WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 2414 2415MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2416GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT ALEX IS BECOMING BETTER 2417ORGANIZED....AND IT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE SOMETIME 2418TONIGHT WITH STRENGTHENING CONTINUING UNTIL LANDFALL. 2419 2420TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM 2421FROM THE CENTER. 2422 2423ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. 2424 2425 2426HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2427---------------------- 2428RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 2429OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 2430TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 2431COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 2432ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 2433ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 2434 2435WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 2436WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS BEGINNING 2437WEDNESDAY MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 2438DANGEROUS. 2439 2440STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2441AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 2442COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 2443SURGE COULD PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 2444WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 2445THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 2446WAVES. 2447 2448 2449NEXT ADVISORY 2450------------- 2451NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 2452NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 2453 2454$$ 2455FORECASTER BEVEN 2456 2457 2458WTNT31 KNHC 292349 2459TCPAT1 2460BULLETIN 2461TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A 2462NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2463700 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 2464 2465...ALEX NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE APPROACHING 2466THE CENTER... 2467 2468 2469SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 2470---------------------------------------------- 2471LOCATION...23.2N 94.5W 2472ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2473ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2474MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 2475PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 2476MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES 2477 2478 2479WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2480-------------------- 2481CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2482 2483NONE. 2484 2485SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2486 2487A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2488* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2489GRANDE 2490* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2491 2492A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2493* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2494* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 2495 2496FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2497STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2498MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2499FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2500UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2501METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2502 2503 2504DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2505------------------------------ 2506AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 2507LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST. ALEX IS 2508MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS 2509GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ON THE FORECAST 2510TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN 2511MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE 2512HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE WEDNESDAY OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 2513 2514MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2515GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT ALEX IS STRENGTHENING AND AN 2516AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL REACH THE 2517CENTER SHORTLY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 2518 2519TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM 2520FROM THE CENTER. 2521 2522ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES. 2523 2524 2525HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2526---------------------- 2527RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 2528OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 2529TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 2530COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 2531ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 2532ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 2533 2534WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 2535WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS BEGINNING LATE 2536TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 2537OR DANGEROUS. 2538 2539STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2540AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE 2541COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE 2542SURGE COULD PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE 2543WITH DEPTH GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR 2544THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 2545WAVES. 2546 2547 2548NEXT ADVISORY 2549------------- 2550NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 2551 2552$$ 2553FORECASTER PASCH/BERG 2554 2555 2556WTNT31 KNHC 300231 2557TCPAT1 2558BULLETIN 2559HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 18 2560NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 25611000 PM CDT TUE JUN 29 2010 2562 2563...ALEX BECOMES THE FIRST HURRICANE OF THE 2010 SEASON AND THE FIRST 2564JUNE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SINCE 1995... 2565 2566 2567SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 2568----------------------------------------------- 2569LOCATION...23.1N 94.8W 2570ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2571ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2572MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 2573PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 2574MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...973 MB...28.73 INCHES 2575 2576 2577WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2578-------------------- 2579CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2580 2581NONE. 2582 2583SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2584 2585A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2586* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2587GRANDE 2588* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2589 2590A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2591* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2592* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 2593 2594FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2595STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2596MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2597FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2598UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2599METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2600 2601 2602DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2603------------------------------ 2604AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 2605NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST. ALEX HAS MOVED 2606MOSTLY WESTWARD NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT 2607A GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 260848 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH 2609THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY AND 2610MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE WEDNESDAY OR 2611WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 2612 2613MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 2614KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 2615SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 2616FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALEX WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER ITS 2617CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 2618 2619HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 2620THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 2621MILES...280 KM. 2622 2623THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE 2624HUNTER PLANE WAS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES. 2625 2626 2627HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2628---------------------- 2629RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 2630OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 2631TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 2632COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 2633ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 2634ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 2635 2636WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 2637WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS BEGINNING LATE 2638TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 2639OR DANGEROUS. 2640 2641STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2642AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 2643TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD 2644PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 2645GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST... 2646THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 2647 2648TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 2649SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. 2650 2651 2652NEXT ADVISORY 2653------------- 2654NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 2655NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 2656 2657$$ 2658FORECASTER PASCH/BERG 2659 2660 2661WTNT31 KNHC 300545 2662TCPAT1 2663BULLETIN 2664HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A 2665NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2666100 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 2667 2668...ALEX GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES SLOWLY OVER THE WARM 2669WATERS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO... 2670 2671 2672SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 2673---------------------------------------------- 2674LOCATION...23.1N 94.8W 2675ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2676ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2677MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 2678PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...8 KM/HR 2679MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...972 MB...28.70 INCHES 2680 2681 2682WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2683-------------------- 2684CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2685 2686NONE. 2687 2688SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2689 2690A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2691* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2692GRANDE 2693* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2694 2695A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2696* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2697* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 2698 2699FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2700STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2701MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2702FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2703UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2704METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2705 2706 2707DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2708------------------------------ 2709AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 2710BY SATELLITE AND THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 271123.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.8 WEST. ALEX HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY 2712IN A GENERAL WESTWARD DIRECTION NEAR 5 MPH...8 KM/HR...AND A SLOW 2713WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 271448 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH 2715THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS 2716AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE 2717WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 2718 2719MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER 2720GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 2721HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST PRIOR TO 2722LANDFALL. ALEX WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER ITS CENTER CROSSES THE 2723COASTLINE. 2724 2725HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 2726THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 2727MILES...280 KM. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...NOAA BUOY 42055 2728LOCATED ABOUT 90 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF ALEX REPORTED A 2729ONE-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF 43 MPH AND A GUST TO 58 MPH. 2730 2731ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES. 2732 2733 2734HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2735---------------------- 2736RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 2737OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 2738TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 2739COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 2740ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 2741ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 2742 2743WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 2744WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS LATER THIS 2745MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2746 2747STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2748AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 2749TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD 2750PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 2751GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST... 2752THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 2753 2754TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 2755SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY. 2756 2757 2758NEXT ADVISORY 2759------------- 2760NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 2761 2762$$ 2763FORECASTER STEWART 2764 2765 2766WTNT31 KNHC 300858 2767TCPAT1 2768BULLETIN 2769HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 19 2770NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2771400 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 2772 2773...ALEX DEEPENING AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO THE NORTHEASTERN COAST 2774OF MEXICO... 2775 2776 2777SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 2778---------------------------------------------- 2779LOCATION...23.3N 95.1W 2780ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2781ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2782MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 2783PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 2784MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES 2785 2786 2787WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2788-------------------- 2789CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2790 2791NONE. 2792 2793SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2794 2795A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2796* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2797GRANDE 2798* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2799 2800A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2801* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2802* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 2803 2804FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2805STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2806MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2807FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2808UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2809METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2810 2811 2812DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2813------------------------------ 2814AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 2815NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING 2816TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A SLOW WEST TO 2817WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. 2818ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST 2819OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR 2820EARLY EVENING...AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 2821LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 2822 2823MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2824GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 2825HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND 2826ALEX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALEX 2827WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER ITS CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 2828 2829HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 2830THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 2831MILES...325 KM. 2832 2833THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE 2834RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. 2835 2836 2837HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2838---------------------- 2839RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 2840OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 2841TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 2842COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 2843ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 2844ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 2845 2846WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 2847WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS LATER THIS 2848MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2849 2850STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2851AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 2852TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD 2853PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 2854GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST... 2855THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 2856 2857TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 2858SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY. 2859 2860 2861NEXT ADVISORY 2862------------- 2863NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 2864NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 2865 2866$$ 2867FORECASTER STEWART 2868 2869 2870WTNT31 KNHC 301140 2871TCPAT1 2872BULLETIN 2873HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A 2874NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 2875700 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 2876 2877...ALEX MOVING IN NO HURRY...... 2878 2879 2880SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 2881---------------------------------------------- 2882LOCATION...23.4N 95.3W 2883ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2884ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2885MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 2886PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 2887MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES 2888 2889 2890WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2891-------------------- 2892CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2893 2894NONE. 2895 2896SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2897 2898A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2899* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 2900GRANDE 2901* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 2902 2903A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 2904* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 2905* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 2906 2907FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 2908STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 2909MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 2910FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 2911UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2912METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2913 2914 2915DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2916------------------------------ 2917AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 2918NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING 2919TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A SLOW WEST TO 2920WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. 2921ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL APPROACH THE COAST 2922OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR SOUTHERN TEXAS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR 2923EARLY EVENING...AND MAKE LANDFALL IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 2924LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 2925 2926MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2927GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 2928HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND 2929ALEX COULD BECOME A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. ALEX 2930WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AFTER ITS CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 2931 2932HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 2933THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 2934MILES...325 KM. NOAA BUOY 42055 LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF ALEX RECENTLY 2935REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 54 MPH...86 KM/HR WITH A GUST OF 63 2936MPH...101 KM/HR. 2937 2938THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT 2939HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES. 2940 2941 2942HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2943---------------------- 2944RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 2945OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 2946TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 2947COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 2948ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 2949ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 2950 2951WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 2952WITHIN THE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS LATER THIS 2953MORNING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. 2954 2955STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2956AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 2957TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD 2958PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 2959GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST... 2960THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 2961 2962TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 2963SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY. 2964 2965 2966NEXT ADVISORY 2967------------- 2968NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 2969 2970$$ 2971FORECASTER AVILA 2972 2973 2974WTNT31 KNHC 301447 2975TCPAT1 2976BULLETIN 2977HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 20 2978NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 29791000 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 2980 2981...ALEX HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET...BUT FORECAST TO DO SO TODAY... 2982 2983 2984SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 2985----------------------------------------------- 2986LOCATION...23.8N 95.5W 2987ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO 2988ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 2989MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 2990PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 2991MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES 2992 2993 2994WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2995-------------------- 2996CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2997 2998NONE. 2999 3000SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3001 3002A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3003* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 3004GRANDE 3005* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3006 3007A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3008* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 3009* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3010 3011FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3012STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3013MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3014FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3015UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3016METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3017 3018 3019DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3020------------------------------ 3021AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3022BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 302395.5 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 3024KM/HR...BUT A TURN MORE TO THE WEST SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY. ON THE 3025FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN THE 3026HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. 3027 3028MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3029GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 3030HURRICANE WIND SCALE BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A CATEGORY TWO 3031HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN AFTER 3032THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 3033 3034ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 3035UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE 3036WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM PRIMARILY TO THE 3037NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 3038 3039LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE 3040WAS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES. 3041 3042 3043HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3044---------------------- 3045RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3046OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3047TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3048COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3049ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX 3050ARE SPREADING ONSHORE IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS. 3051 3052WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN 3053THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS 3054SHOULD BEGIN SOON...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 3055DANGEROUS. 3056 3057STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3058AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3059TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD 3060PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3061GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST... 3062THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3063 3064TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3065SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. 3066 3067 3068NEXT ADVISORY 3069------------- 3070NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 3071NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 3072 3073$$ 3074FORECASTER AVILA 3075 3076 3077WTNT31 KNHC 301750 3078TCPAT1 3079BULLETIN 3080HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A 3081NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3082100 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 3083 3084...LARGE HURRICANE ALEX...A LITTLE STRONGER...AIMS AT THE NORTHERN 3085MEXICO AND SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST... 3086 3087 3088SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 3089---------------------------------------------- 3090LOCATION...24.4N 96.2W 3091ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ENE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3092ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3093MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...135 KM/HR 3094PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...18 KM/HR 3095MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES 3096 3097 3098WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3099-------------------- 3100CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3101 3102NONE. 3103 3104SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3105 3106A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3107* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 3108GRANDE 3109* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3110 3111A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3112* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 3113* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3114 3115FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3116STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3117MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3118FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3119UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3120METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3121 3122 3123DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3124------------------------------ 3125AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3126BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3127BROWNSVILLE RADAR NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. 3128ALEX HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST A LITTLE FASTER...NEAR 12 3129MPH...18 KM/HR DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...THE HURRICANE 3130SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR WEST LATER TODAY. THE 3131CENTER OF ALEX WILL PROBABLY MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO 3132WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY 3133MORNING. 3134 3135MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...135 3136KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 3137SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE BUT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME 3138A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. A GRADUAL WEAKENING 3139SHOULD BEGIN AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 3140 3141ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND THE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 3142UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE 3143WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM PRIMARILY TO THE 3144NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. OBSERVATIONS FROM THE MEXICAN NAVY HAVE 3145BEEN VERY USEFUL IN TRACKING ALEX DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE 3146AUTOMATIC STATION IN MATAMOROS MEXICO RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST 3147OF 60 MPH...96 KM/HR. 3148 3149LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE 3150WAS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES. 3151 3152 3153HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3154---------------------- 3155RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3156OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3157TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3158COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3159ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR 3160SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE 3161SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS. 3162 3163WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN 3164THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS 3165ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST. 3166 3167STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3168AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3169TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE SURGE COULD 3170PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3171GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE WATER MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE COAST... 3172THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3173 3174TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3175SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT. 3176 3177 3178NEXT ADVISORY 3179------------- 3180NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 3181 3182$$ 3183FORECASTER AVILA 3184 3185 3186WTNT31 KNHC 302036 3187TCPAT1 3188BULLETIN 3189HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 21 3190NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3191400 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 3192 3193...ALEX HEADING TOWARD NORTHEAST MEXICO WITH 90 MPH WINDS... 3194 3195 3196SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 3197---------------------------------------------- 3198LOCATION...24.5N 96.8W 3199ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3200ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3201MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR 3202PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR 3203MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES 3204 3205 3206WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3207-------------------- 3208CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3209 3210NONE. 3211 3212SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3213 3214A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3215* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 3216GRANDE 3217* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3218 3219A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3220* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 3221* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3222 3223FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3224STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3225MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3226FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3227UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3228METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3229 3230 3231DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3232------------------------------ 3233AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3234BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM 3235BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST. ALEX 3236HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 323713 MPH...20 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 3238UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT. 3239 3240MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150 3241KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 3242SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING 3243IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL. A GRADUAL 3244WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 3245 3246ALEX IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP 3247TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE 3248WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY TO THE 3249NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN 3250MATAMOROS JUST REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 64 MPH...103 KM/HR. 3251 3252LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE 3253RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 959 MB...28.32 INCHES. 3254 3255 3256HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3257---------------------- 3258RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3259OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3260TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3261COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3262ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR 3263SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE 3264SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS. 3265 3266WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN 3267THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM WINDS 3268ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE COAST. 3269 3270STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3271AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3272TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD 3273PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3274GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE 3275COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 3276WAVES. 3277 3278TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3279SOUTHERN TEXAS TONIGHT. 3280 3281 3282NEXT ADVISORY 3283------------- 3284NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...600 PM CDT AND 800 PM CDT. 3285NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 3286 3287$$ 3288FORECASTER AVILA 3289 3290 3291WTNT31 KNHC 302257 3292TCPAT1 3293BULLETIN 3294HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A 3295NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3296600 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 3297 3298...ALEX NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE...WILL MAKE LANDFALL IN 3299NORTHEASTERN MEXICO VERY SOON... 3300 3301SUMMARY OF 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION 3302---------------------------------------------- 3303LOCATION...24.4N 97.2W 3304ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3305ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3306MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR 3307PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 3308MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES 3309 3310 3311WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3312-------------------- 3313CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3314 3315NONE. 3316 3317SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3318 3319A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3320* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 3321GRANDE 3322* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3323 3324A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3325* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 3326* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3327 3328FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3329STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3330MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3331FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3332UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3333METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3334 3335 3336DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3337------------------------------ 3338AT 600 PM CDT...2300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3339BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM 3340BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST. ALEX IS 3341MOVING THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS 3342EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN A FEW 3343HOURS. 3344 3345MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 3346KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 3347SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 3348POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL. WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER 3349CROSSES THE COASTLINE. 3350 3351ALEX IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 3352OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL 3353STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY 3354TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION 3355IN MATAMOROS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 49 MPH...78 KM/HR AND AN 3356UNOFFICIAL WEATHER STATION ON SOUTH PADRE ISLAND REPORTED A WIND 3357GUST OF 60 MPH...97 KM/HR. 3358 3359LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE 3360HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES. 3361 3362 3363HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3364---------------------- 3365RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3366OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3367TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3368COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3369ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THE BROWNSVILLE DOPPLER RADAR 3370SHOWS NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ALEX AFFECTING THE 3371SOUTHERN TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO COASTS. 3372 3373WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN 3374THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO SHORTLY. 3375 3376STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3377AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3378TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD 3379PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3380GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE 3381COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 3382WAVES. 3383 3384TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3385SOUTHERN TEXAS TONIGHT. 3386 3387 3388NEXT ADVISORY 3389------------- 3390NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM CDT. 3391NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 3392 3393$$ 3394FORECASTER PASCH/BERG 3395 3396 3397WTNT31 KNHC 010100 3398TCPAT1 3399BULLETIN 3400HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21B 3401NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3402800 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 3403 3404...ALEX ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... 3405 3406SUMMARY OF 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...INFORMATION 3407---------------------------------------------- 3408LOCATION...24.3N 97.5W 3409ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3410ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3411MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR 3412PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 3413MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...948 MB...27.99 INCHES 3414 3415 3416WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3417-------------------- 3418CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3419 3420NONE. 3421 3422SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3423 3424A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3425* THE COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO 3426GRANDE 3427* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3428 3429A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3430* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR 3431* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3432 3433THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE TEXAS COAST WILL LIKELY BE CHANGED TO 3434A TROPICAL STORM WARNING LATER THIS EVENING. 3435 3436FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3437STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3438MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3439FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3440UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3441METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3442 3443 3444DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3445------------------------------ 3446AT 800 PM CDT...0100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3447BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR FROM 3448BROWNSVILLE NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST OR ABOUT 344915 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ALEX 3450IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL 3451MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN 3452MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX WILL BE 3453MOVING OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY. 3454 3455MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 3456KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 3457SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS 3458LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL. WEAKENING IS LIKELY AFTER THE CENTER 3459CROSSES THE COASTLINE...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER 3460MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS. 3461 3462ALEX IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND 3463OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL 3464STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 KM PRIMARILY 3465TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 3466 3467LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE 3468HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES. 3469 3470 3471HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3472---------------------- 3473RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3474OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3475TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3476COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3477ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3478 3479WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS HAVE REACHED THE COAST WITHIN THE 3480HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. 3481 3482STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3483AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3484TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD 3485PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3486GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE 3487COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 3488WAVES. 3489 3490TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3491SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT. 3492 3493 3494NEXT ADVISORY 3495------------- 3496NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 3497 3498$$ 3499FORECASTER PASCH/BERG 3500 3501 3502WTNT31 KNHC 010237 3503TCPAT1 3504BULLETIN 3505HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 22 3506NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 35071000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010 3508 3509...ALEX MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... 3510 3511SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 3512----------------------------------------------- 3513LOCATION...24.3N 97.8W 3514ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3515ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3516MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR 3517PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 3518MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES 3519 3520 3521WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3522-------------------- 3523CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3524 3525THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 3526COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. 3527 3528SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3529 3530A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3531* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3532 3533A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3534* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT 3535OCONNOR 3536* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3537 3538FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3539STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3540MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3541FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3542UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3543METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3544 3545 3546DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3547------------------------------ 3548AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3549NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS 3550JUST INLAND OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE MUNICIPALITY 3551OF SOTO LA MARINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 3552KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR 3553SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND 3554OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY. 3555 3556MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3557GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 3558HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL 3559CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER 3560MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS. 3561 3562HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM 3563THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 3564MILES...335 KM. 3565 3566AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL 3567PRESSURE OF 947 MB...27.96 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL. 3568 3569 3570HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3571---------------------- 3572RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3573OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3574TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3575COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3576ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3577 3578WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF 3579THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS 3580WILL DECREASE ON THURSDAY. 3581 3582STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3583AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3584TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD 3585PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3586GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE 3587COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 3588WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON 3589THURSDAY. 3590 3591TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3592SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT. 3593 3594 3595NEXT ADVISORY 3596------------- 3597NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 3598NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 3599 3600$$ 3601FORECASTER PASCH/BERG 3602 3603 3604WTNT31 KNHC 010538 3605TCPAT1 3606BULLETIN 3607HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A 3608NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3609100 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010 3610 3611...ALEX WEAKENS...BUT IS STILL A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER 3612NORTHEASTERN MEXICO... 3613 3614 3615SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 3616---------------------------------------------- 3617LOCATION...24.1N 98.2W 3618ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NW OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3619ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM SSW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3620MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR 3621PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 245 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 3622MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...960 MB...28.35 INCHES 3623 3624 3625WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3626-------------------- 3627CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3628 3629NONE. 3630 3631SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3632 3633A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3634* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ 3635 3636A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3637* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT 3638OCONNOR 3639* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO 3640 3641FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES 3642...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3643MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3644FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3645UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3646METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3647 3648 3649DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3650------------------------------ 3651AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3652NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST. FOR THE PAST FEW 3653HOURS ALEX HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH 3654...17 KM/HR...BUT A GENERAL WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME 3655AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF 3656ALEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY. 3657 3658MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR... 3659WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 3660SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING WILL 3661OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL CYCLONE MOVES INLAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED 3662TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO 3663BY FRIDAY. 3664 3665HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM 3666THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 3667MILES...335 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. AN AUTOMATED 3668MEXICAN NAVY STATION AT LA PESCA RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND 3669OF 35 MPH...57 KM/HR...AND A GUST TO 53 MPH...86 KM/HR. 3670 3671THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. 3672 3673 3674HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3675---------------------- 3676RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3677OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN 3678TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3679COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 3680ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3681 3682WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF 3683THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM 3684CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS 3685OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS WILL 3686DECREASE LATER TODAY. 3687 3688STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3689AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST 3690TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD 3691PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH 3692GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE 3693COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 3694WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER 3695TODAY. 3696 3697TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3698SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT. 3699 3700 3701NEXT ADVISORY 3702------------- 3703NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 3704 3705$$ 3706FORECASTER BRENNAN 3707 3708 3709WTNT31 KNHC 010833 3710TCPAT1 3711BULLETIN 3712HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 23 3713NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3714400 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010 3715 3716...ALEX CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BECOME THE MAJOR 3717THREAT LATER TODAY... 3718 3719 3720SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 3721---------------------------------------------- 3722LOCATION...24.0N 99.0W 3723ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM N OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO 3724ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM SW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 3725MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 3726PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 3727MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES 3728 3729 3730WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3731-------------------- 3732CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3733 3734THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF 3735THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT OCONNOR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 3736 3737THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING TO A 3738TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM NORTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH 3739OF THE RIO GRANDE. 3740 3741SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3742 3743A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3744* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ 3745 3746A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3747* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO AND NORTH OF RIO 3748SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE 3749 3750FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3751STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3752MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3753FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3754UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3755METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3756 3757 3758DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3759------------------------------ 3760AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED 3761NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.0 WEST. ALEX IS MOVING 3762TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED 3763TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...ALEX 3764WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TODAY. 3765 3766MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR 3767...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 3768SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX 3769CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL 3770STORM LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3771 3772HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 3773THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 3774MILES...335 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. A 3775MEXICAN NAVY AUTOMATED STATION IN LA PESCA RECENTLY REPORTED A 3776SUSTAINED WIND OF 48 MPH...77 KM/HR...AND A WIND GUST TO 73 MPH... 3777118 KM/HR. 3778 3779ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. 3780 3781 3782HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3783---------------------- 3784RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3785OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED 3786MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER 3787ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 3788LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 3789MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3790 3791ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 3792INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 3793MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD 3794CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 3795 3796WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND NEAR THE CENTER OF 3797ALEX OVER A PORTION OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. TROPICAL STORM 3798CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS. 3799THESE WINDS WILL DECREASE LATER TODAY. 3800 3801STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH LATER 3802TODAY. 3803 3804TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3805SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TODAY. 3806 3807 3808NEXT ADVISORY 3809------------- 3810NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 3811NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 3812 3813$$ 3814FORECASTER BRENNAN 3815 3816 3817WTNT31 KNHC 011130 3818TCPAT1 3819BULLETIN 3820TROPICAL STORM ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A 3821NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 3822700 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010 3823 3824...ALEX WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES NEAR THE HIGH 3825MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO... 3826 3827 3828SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 3829---------------------------------------------- 3830LOCATION...23.8N 99.8W 3831ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM W OF CIUDAD VICTORIA MEXICO 3832MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 3833PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 3834MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES 3835 3836 3837WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3838-------------------- 3839CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3840 3841THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING WITH A 3842TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN 3843FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ. 3844 3845THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 3846FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO AND NORTH OF 3847RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. 3848 3849SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3850 3851A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR... 3852* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO LA CRUZ 3853 3854FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3855STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3856MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3857FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3858UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3859METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3860 3861 3862DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3863------------------------------ 3864AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 3865LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST. ALEX IS 3866MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS 3867EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST 3868TRACK...ALEX WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO 3869TODAY. 3870 3871MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR 3872...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS ALEX 3873CONTINUES TO MOVE INLAND. ALEX IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL 3874DEPRESSION LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3875 3876TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES...335 3877KM...MAINLY TO EAST OF THE CENTER. 3878 3879ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. 3880 3881 3882HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3883---------------------- 3884RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3885OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED 3886MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER 3887ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 3888LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 3889MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3890 3891ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 3892INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 3893MAXIMUM AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD 3894CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 3895 3896WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL 3897STORM WARNING AREAS AND INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL 3898GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY. 3899 3900STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES ARE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING. 3901 3902TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3903SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY. 3904 3905 3906NEXT ADVISORY 3907------------- 3908NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 3909 3910$$ 3911FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA 3912 3913 3914WTNT31 KNHC 011431 3915TCPAT1 3916BULLETIN 3917TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 24 3918NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 39191000 AM CDT THU JUL 01 2010 3920 3921...ALEX PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS AS IT 3922CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... 3923 3924 3925SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 3926----------------------------------------------- 3927LOCATION...23.1N 100.3W 3928ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM WSW OF LA PESCA MEXICO 3929ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM E OF ZACATECAS MEXICO 3930MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 3931PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR 3932MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES 3933 3934 3935WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3936-------------------- 3937CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3938 3939ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. 3940 3941SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3942 3943NONE. 3944 3945FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3946STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3947MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3948FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3949UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3950METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3951 3952 3953DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3954------------------------------ 3955AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 3956LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 100.3 WEST. ALEX IS 3957MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS 3958EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. 3959 3960MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 3961KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 396224 HOURS...AND ALEX WILL LIKELY DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF 3963MEXICO OVERNIGHT. 3964 3965TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 3966FROM THE CENTER. 3967 3968ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES. 3969 3970 3971HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3972---------------------- 3973RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS 3974OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. ISOLATED 3975MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER 3976ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 3977LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN 3978MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3979 3980ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 3981TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE 3982ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS AROUND 10 INCHES. THESE 3983RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 3984 3985WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA 3986INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY. 3987 3988STORM SURGE...THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES NEAR THE COAST WILL CONTINUE 3989TO DIMINISH. 3990 3991TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 3992SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY. 3993 3994 3995NEXT ADVISORY 3996------------- 3997NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 3998 3999$$ 4000FORECASTER BLAKE 4001 4002 4003WTNT31 KNHC 012033 4004TCPAT1 4005BULLETIN 4006TROPICAL STORM ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 25 4007NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 4008400 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010 4009 4010...ALEX MOVING OVER CENTRAL MEXICO...LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN 4011OCCURRING... 4012 4013 4014SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 4015---------------------------------------------- 4016LOCATION...23.2N 101.2W 4017ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM W OF LA PESCA MEXICO 4018ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM ENE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO 4019MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 4020PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR 4021MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.23 INCHES 4022 4023 4024WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4025-------------------- 4026THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 4027 4028 4029DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4030------------------------------ 4031AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALEX WAS 4032LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.2 WEST. ALEX IS 4033MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS 4034EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES OVERNIGHT. 4035 4036MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 4037KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING 4038THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER THE HIGH 4039TERRAIN OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT. 4040 4041TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM 4042FROM THE CENTER. 4043 4044ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES. 4045 4046 4047HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4048---------------------- 4049RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 4050ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND 4051CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE 4052POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE 4053RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD 4054SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 4055 4056ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 4057TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM 4058STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 4059LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 4060 4061WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN A SMALL AREA 4062INLAND NEAR THE CENTER. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY. 4063 4064TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME 4065SOUTHERN TEXAS THROUGH TONIGHT. 4066 4067 4068NEXT ADVISORY 4069------------- 4070NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 4071 4072$$ 4073FORECASTER BLAKE 4074 4075 4076WTNT31 KNHC 020232 4077TCPAT1 4078BULLETIN 4079TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 26 4080NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010 40811000 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010 4082 4083...ALEX DISSIPATES OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF CENTRAL MEXICO... 4084 4085 4086SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 4087----------------------------------------------- 4088LOCATION...23.3N 102.4W 4089ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM...NNE OF ZACATECAS MEXICO 4090MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR 4091PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 4092MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 4093 4094 4095WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4096-------------------- 4097THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 4098 4099 4100DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4101------------------------------ 4102AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WERE CENTERED NEAR 4103LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.4 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING 4104TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION 4105WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. 4106 4107MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 4108GUSTS. WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ALEX WILL CONTINUE TO 4109DECREASE OVERNIGHT. 4110 4111ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 4112 4113 4114HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4115---------------------- 4116RAINFALL...THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 4117RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN 4118AND CENTRAL MEXICO. ISOLATED STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE 4119POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE 4120RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 4121ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 4122 4123THE REMNANTS OF ALEX ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL 4124RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN 4125TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM-TOTAL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 12 4126INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 4127 4128 4129NEXT ADVISORY 4130------------- 4131THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 4132CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE 4133HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AND LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER 4134SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE 4135POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING. 4136 4137$$ 4138FORECASTER BERG 4139 4140 4141