1WTNT35 KNHC 060849 2TCPAT5 3BULLETIN 4TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 5NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 6400 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 7 8...DEPRESSION BECOMES THE EIGHTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2010 ATLANTIC 9HURRICANE SEASON...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTH TEXAS... 10 11 12SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 13---------------------------------------------- 14LOCATION...21.6N 95.0W 15ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 16ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 17MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 18PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 19MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES 20 21 22WATCHES AND WARNINGS 23-------------------- 24CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 25 26A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH 27TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY. 28 29SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 30 31A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 32* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE 33* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY 34 35A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 36EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 37ABOUT 24 HOURS. 38 39FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 40STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 41MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 42FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 43THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 44METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 45 46 47DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 48------------------------------ 49AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 50LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. HERMINE IS 51MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 52NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ON 53THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH 54THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS IN THE 55WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 56 57MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 58KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 59FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 60 61TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 62TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 63 64ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. 65 66 67HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 68---------------------- 69WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 70AREA TONIGHT. 71 72STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 732 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 74NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 75 76RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL 77ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH 78TEXAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE 79RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND 80MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN 81MEXICO. 82 83 84NEXT ADVISORY 85------------- 86NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 87NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 88 89$$ 90FORECASTER BROWN/BERG 91 92 93WTNT35 KNHC 060902 94TCPAT5 95BULLETIN 96TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 2...CORRECTED 97NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 98400 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 99 100CORRECTED NAME OF CYCLONE IN RAINFALL SECTION 101 102...DEPRESSION BECOMES THE EIGHTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2010 ATLANTIC 103HURRICANE SEASON...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR SOUTH TEXAS... 104 105 106SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 107---------------------------------------------- 108LOCATION...21.6N 95.0W 109ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM SE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 110ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 111MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 112PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 113MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES 114 115 116WATCHES AND WARNINGS 117-------------------- 118CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 119 120A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF SOUTH 121TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY. 122 123SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 124 125A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 126* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE 127* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY 128 129ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF 130SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TODAY. 131 132A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 133EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 134ABOUT 24 HOURS. 135 136FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 137STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 138MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 139FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 140THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 141METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 142 143 144DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 145------------------------------ 146AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 147LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. HERMINE IS 148MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 149NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED TODAY. ON 150THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH 151THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS IN THE 152WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 153 154MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 155KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 156FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 157 158TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 159TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 160 161ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. 162 163 164HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 165---------------------- 166WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 167AREA TONIGHT. 168 169STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 1702 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 171NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 172 173RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1744 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH TEXAS WITH 175ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL 176AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES... 177ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. 178 179 180NEXT ADVISORY 181------------- 182NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 183NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 184 185$$ 186FORECASTER BROWN/BERG 187 188 189WTNT35 KNHC 061140 190TCPAT5 191BULLETIN 192TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A 193NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 194700 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 195 196...HERMINE A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT HEADS NORTHWARD... 197 198 199SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 200---------------------------------------------- 201LOCATION...22.4N 95.3W 202ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 203ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 204MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 205PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 206MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES 207 208 209WATCHES AND WARNINGS 210-------------------- 211CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 212 213NONE. 214 215SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 216 217A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 218* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE 219* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY 220 221ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF 222SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TODAY. 223 224A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 225EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 226ABOUT 24 HOURS. 227 228FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 229STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 230MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 231FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 232THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 233METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 234 235 236DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 237------------------------------ 238AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 239LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST. HERMINE IS 240MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 241NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON 242THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH 243THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS IN THE 244WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 245 246MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 247KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 248FORECAST PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 249 250TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 251TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 252 253ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. 254 255 256HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 257---------------------- 258WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 259AREA TONIGHT. 260 261STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2622 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 263NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 264 265RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2664 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS WITH 267ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL 268AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES... 269ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. 270 271 272NEXT ADVISORY 273------------- 274NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 275 276$$ 277FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 278 279 280WTNT35 KNHC 061431 281TCPAT5 282BULLETIN 283TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 284NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 2851000 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 286 287...HERMINE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS 288ISSUED... 289 290 291SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 292----------------------------------------------- 293LOCATION...23.4N 95.8W 294ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM ESE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 295ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 296MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 297PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR 298MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 299 300 301WATCHES AND WARNINGS 302-------------------- 303CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 304 305THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM RIO SAN 306FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...AND A HURRICANE 307WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE NORTHWARD TO 308BAFFIN BAY TEXAS. 309 310THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO PORT 311OCONNOR. 312 313THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 314SOUTH OF LA CRUZ. 315 316SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 317 318A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 319* RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS 320 321A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 322* LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 323 324A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 325WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. 326 327A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 328EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 329ABOUT 24 HOURS. 330 331FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 332STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 333MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 334FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 335THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 336METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 337 338 339DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 340------------------------------ 341AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 342LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST. HERMINE IS 343MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS 344GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON 345THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH 346THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS IN THE 347WARNING AREA TONIGHT. 348 349MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 350KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 351AND HERMINE COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 352 353TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 354FROM THE CENTER. 355 356ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 357 358 359HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 360---------------------- 361WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 362AREA LATER TODAY. 363 364STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 3654 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 366NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 367 368RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3694 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS WITH ISOLATED 370MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 371LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES. 372 373 374NEXT ADVISORY 375------------- 376NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 377NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 378 379$$ 380FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 381 382 383WTNT35 KNHC 061732 384TCPAT5 385BULLETIN 386TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A 387NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 388100 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 389 390...HERMINE STRENGTHENS A LITTLE MORE AS IT HEADS FOR THE WESTERN 391GULF COAST... 392 393 394SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 395---------------------------------------------- 396LOCATION...24.1N 96.5W 397ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM ENE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 398ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 399MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 400PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 401MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES 402 403 404WATCHES AND WARNINGS 405-------------------- 406CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 407 408NONE. 409 410SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 411 412A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 413* RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS 414 415A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 416* LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 417 418A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 419WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. 420 421A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 422EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 423ABOUT 24 HOURS. 424 425FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 426STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 427MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 428FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 429THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 430METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 431 432 433DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 434------------------------------ 435AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 436LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.5 WEST. HERMINE IS 437MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS 438GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON 439THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH 440THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS IN THE 441WARNING AREA TONIGHT. 442 443MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 444KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 445AND HERMINE COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 446 447TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 448FROM THE CENTER. 449 450ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. 451 452 453HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 454---------------------- 455WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 456AREA LATER TODAY. 457 458STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4594 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 460NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 461 462RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4634 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS WITH ISOLATED 464MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 465LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES. 466 467 468NEXT ADVISORY 469------------- 470NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 471 472$$ 473FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 474 475 476WTNT35 KNHC 062037 477TCPAT5 478BULLETIN 479TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 480NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 481400 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 482 483...HERMINE NEARING THE COAST...SHOULD MAKE LANDFALL TONIGHT... 484 485 486SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 487---------------------------------------------- 488LOCATION...24.5N 97.0W 489ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 490ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 491MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 492PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 493MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES 494 495 496WATCHES AND WARNINGS 497-------------------- 498CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 499 500NONE. 501 502SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 503 504A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 505* RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS 506 507A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 508* LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 509 510A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 511WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN ABOUT 24 HOURS. 512 513A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 514EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 515ABOUT 24 HOURS. 516 517FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 518STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 519MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 520FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 521THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 522METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 523 524 525DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 526------------------------------ 527AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 528LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST. HERMINE IS 529MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS 530GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON 531THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF 532NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS IN THE WARNING AREA 533TONIGHT...AND MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND INTO 534CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. 535 536MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 537GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND HERMINE COULD APPROACH 538HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO LANDFALL. 539 540TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 541FROM THE CENTER. 542 543THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 544HURRICANE HUNTER IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. 545 546 547HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 548---------------------- 549WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 550AREA LATER TODAY. 551 552STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 5534 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 554NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 555 556RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5574 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS WITH ISOLATED 558MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 559LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES. 560 561TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER AND 562MIDDLE TEXAS COAST BEGINNING THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUING 563OVERNIGHT. 564 565 566NEXT ADVISORY 567------------- 568NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 569NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 570 571$$ 572FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 573 574 575WTNT35 KNHC 062345 576TCPAT5 577BULLETIN 578TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A 579NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 580700 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 581 582...HERMINE STRENGTHENING AS IT NEARS THE COAST... 583 584 585SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 586---------------------------------------------- 587LOCATION...24.8N 97.1W 588ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NNE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 589ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 590MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 591PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 592MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 593 594 595WATCHES AND WARNINGS 596-------------------- 597CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 598 599NONE. 600 601SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 602 603A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 604* RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS 605 606A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 607* LA CRUZ MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 608 609FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES 610...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR 611PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST 612OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE 613UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 614METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 615 616 617DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 618------------------------------ 619AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 620LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.1 WEST. HERMINE IS 621MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS 622GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON 623THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF 624NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND MOVE INLAND 625OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY. 626 627DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 628THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 629KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 630POSSIBLE...AND HERMINE COULD APPROACH HURRICANE STRENGTH PRIOR TO 631LANDFALL. 632 633TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 634FROM THE CENTER. 635 636THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 637HURRICANE HUNTER IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 638 639 640HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 641---------------------- 642WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WARNING AREA 643AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. 644 645STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 6464 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 647NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 648 649RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6504 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS WITH ISOLATED 651MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE 652LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES. 653 654TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER AND 655MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. 656 657 658NEXT ADVISORY 659------------- 660NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 661 662$$ 663FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN 664 665 666WTNT35 KNHC 070233 667TCPAT5 668BULLETIN 669TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 670NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 6711000 PM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 672 673...HERMINE MADE LANDFALL AS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM...PRODUCING 674HEAVY RAINS OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS... 675 676 677SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 678----------------------------------------------- 679LOCATION...25.5N 97.5W 680ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 681ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO 682MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 683PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 684MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 685 686 687WATCHES AND WARNINGS 688-------------------- 689CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 690 691THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR 692THE COAST OF MEXICO AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF BAHIA 693ALGODONES MEXICO. 694 695THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 696 697SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 698 699A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 700* BAHIA ALGODONES MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 701 702FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES 703...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR 704PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST 705OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE 706UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 707METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 708 709 710DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 711------------------------------ 712AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 713LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.5 WEST. HERMINE IS 714MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL 715TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 716COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO 717MOVE INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO TONIGHT...AND MOVE INTO 718SOUTHERN TEXAS ON TUESDAY AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY ON 719WEDNESDAY. 720 721MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR 722...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND HERMINE 723IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY TUESDAY 724AFTERNOON. 725 726TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 727KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE 728OBSERVING SITE IN MALAQUITE BEACH TEXAS RECENTLY REPORTED A 729SUSTAINED WIND OF 41 MPH...66 KM/HR...AND A PEAK GUST TO 47 MPH... 73076 KM/HR. 731 732THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 733 734 735HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 736---------------------- 737WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WARNING AREA 738AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. 739 740STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 7414 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 742NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. 743 744RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 7454 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...AND FROM SOUTHERN INTO 746NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES 747POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 748 749TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER AND 750MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. 751 752 753NEXT ADVISORY 754------------- 755NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 756NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 757 758$$ 759FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN 760 761 762WTNT35 KNHC 070554 763TCPAT5 764BULLETIN 765TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A 766NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 767100 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 768 769...CENTER OF HERMINE CROSSES THE RIO GRANDE...SUSTAINED TROPICAL 770STORM FORCE WINDS OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS... 771 772 773SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 774---------------------------------------------- 775LOCATION...26.1N 97.7W 776ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM SSW OF HARLINGEN TEXAS 777ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS 778MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 779PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 780MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 781 782 783WATCHES AND WARNINGS 784-------------------- 785CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 786 787THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 788SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO. 789 790SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 791 792A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 793* RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 794 795FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 796STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 797MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 798FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 799THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 800METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 801 802 803DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 804------------------------------ 805AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 806LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.7 WEST. HERMINE IS 807MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GRADUAL 808TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 809COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...HERMINE WILL CONTINUE TO 810MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS TODAY AND INTO CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY 811ON WEDNESDAY. 812 813MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 814GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A 815TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THIS AFTERNOON. 816 817TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 818KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SUSTAINED TROPICAL 819STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN REPORTED OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH 820TEXAS. VERY RECENTLY...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 54 MPH...87 KM/HR...AND 821A PEAK GUST OF 69 MPH...111 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED AT HARLINGEN 822TEXAS WITHIN THE PAST HOUR. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 45 MPH...72 823KM/HR...AND A PEAK GUST OF 69 MPH...111 KM/HR...WERE ALSO REPORTED 824AT THE BROWNSVILLE/SOUTH PADRE ISLAND INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT. 825 826THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 827 828 829HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 830---------------------- 831WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN THE WARNING AREA 832AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING. 833 834STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 TO 8354 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF DEEP SOUTH 836TEXAS. 837 838RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8394 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...AND FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS 840NORTHWARD INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS 841OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING 842FLASH FLOODS. 843 844TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER AND 845MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THROUGH THIS MORNING. 846 847 848NEXT ADVISORY 849------------- 850NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 851 852$$ 853FORECASTER BERG/BROWN 854 855 856WTNT35 KNHC 070848 857TCPAT5 858BULLETIN 859TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 860NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 861400 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 862 863...HERMINE LASHES DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN 864SPREADING NORTHWARD... 865 866 867SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 868---------------------------------------------- 869LOCATION...27.0N 98.0W 870ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF FALFURRIAS TEXAS 871ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SW OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS 872MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 873PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR 874MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES 875 876 877WATCHES AND WARNINGS 878-------------------- 879CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 880 881THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM 882WARNINGS FOR MEXICO. 883 884SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 885 886A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 887* THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 888 889FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE 890INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY 891YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. 892 893 894DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 895------------------------------ 896AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 897LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.0 WEST. HERMINE IS 898MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN 899TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN 900FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 901 902MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR... 903WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 904NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL 905DEPRESSION BY THIS EVENING. 906 907TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 908KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 55 909MPH...89 KM/HR...AND A GUST TO 72 MPH...117 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED 910AT HARLINGEN TEXAS AROUND 100 AM CDT. 911 912ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. 913 914 915HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 916---------------------- 917WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP 918SOUTH TEXAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD 919ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS NEAR AND ALONG THE PATH OF 920HERMINE THROUGH THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. 921 922STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 9233 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTHERN 924TEXAS. WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE LATER TODAY AS HERMINE 925MOVES FARTHER INLAND. 926 927RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 928ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 92912 INCHES POSSIBLE...FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL 930AND NORTHERN TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THESE 931RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN 932KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW 933DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 934 935TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF 936SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH TODAY. 937 938 939NEXT ADVISORY 940------------- 941NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 942NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 943 944$$ 945FORECASTER BERG/BROWN 946 947 948WTNT35 KNHC 071154 949TCPAT5 950BULLETIN 951TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A 952NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 953700 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 954 955...HERMINE CONTINUES MOVING INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS...SPREADING VERY 956HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS NORTHWARD... 957 958 959SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 960---------------------------------------------- 961LOCATION...27.7N 98.2W 962ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM SW OF MATHIS TEXAS 963ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM W OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS 964MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 965PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR 966MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES 967 968 969WATCHES AND WARNINGS 970-------------------- 971CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 972 973NONE. 974 975SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 976 977A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 978* THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 979 980FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE 981INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY 982YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. 983 984 985DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 986------------------------------ 987AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 988LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST. HERMINE IS 989MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN 990TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH A DECREASE IN 991FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 992 993MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... 994WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 995NEXT 48 HOURS...AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL 996DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. 997 998TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 999KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST OF 56 1000MPH...91 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED AT KINGSVILLE TEXAS JUST BEFORE 6 AM 1001CDT. 1002 1003ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. 1004 1005 1006HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1007---------------------- 1008WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF DEEP 1009SOUTH TEXAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD 1010ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS NEAR AND ALONG THE PATH OF 1011HERMINE THROUGH THIS MORNING. 1012 1013STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 10143 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF SOUTHERN 1015TEXAS. WATER LEVELS WILL BEGIN TO RECEDE LATER TODAY AS HERMINE 1016MOVES FARTHER INLAND. 1017 1018RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1019ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 102012 INCHES POSSIBLE...FROM SOUTHERN TEXAS NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL 1021AND NORTHERN TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. THESE 1022RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN 1023KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW 1024DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 1025 1026TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF 1027SOUTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH TODAY. 1028 1029 1030NEXT ADVISORY 1031------------- 1032NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1033 1034$$ 1035FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 1036 1037 1038WTNT35 KNHC 071439 1039TCPAT5 1040BULLETIN 1041TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 1042NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 10431000 AM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1044 1045...HERMINE MOVING FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTH TEXAS...STILL A TROPICAL 1046STORM... 1047 1048 1049SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1050----------------------------------------------- 1051LOCATION...28.3N 98.2W 1052ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NW OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS 1053MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 1054PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR 1055MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 1056 1057 1058WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1059-------------------- 1060CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1061 1062THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF BAFFIN 1063BAY TEXAS. 1064 1065SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1066 1067A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1068* BAFFIN BAY NORTHWARD TO PORT OCONNOR TEXAS 1069 1070FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1071STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1072MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1073FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1074THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1075METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1076 1077 1078DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1079------------------------------ 1080AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 1081LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST. HERMINE IS 1082MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTH 1083TO NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1084 1085MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1086GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1087HOURS...AND HERMINE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER 1088TODAY. 1089 1090TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1091FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST. 1092 1093ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 1094 1095 1096HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1097---------------------- 1098WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 1099SOUTH TEXAS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY. 1100 1101STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY 1102RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 1103 1104RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1105ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1106AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1107THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1108THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1109SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING 1110THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING 1111FLASH FLOODS. 1112 1113TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL 1114AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. 1115 1116 1117NEXT ADVISORY 1118------------- 1119NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 1120NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1121 1122$$ 1123FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 1124 1125 1126WTNT35 KNHC 071740 1127TCPAT5 1128BULLETIN 1129TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A 1130NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1131100 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1132 1133...HERMINE ... 1134 1135 1136SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 1137---------------------------------------------- 1138LOCATION...29.3N 98.4W 1139ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS 1140MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 1141PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/HR 1142MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1143 1144 1145WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1146-------------------- 1147CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1148 1149ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1150 1151SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1152 1153THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1154 1155FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE 1156INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY 1157YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. 1158 1159DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1160------------------------------ 1161AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 1162LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.4 WEST. HERMINE IS 1163MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTH 1164TO NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1165 1166MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1167GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1168HOURS...AND HERMINE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER 1169TODAY. 1170 1171TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 1172FROM THE CENTER. 1173 1174ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1175 1176 1177HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1178---------------------- 1179WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER A SMALL 1180AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF HERMINE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND GUSTS 1181TO 45 MPH...72 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED NEAR SAN ANTONIO AROUND 1200 1182PM CDT. 1183 1184STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST ARE GRADUALLY 1185RECEDING..BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR 1186TWO. 1187 1188RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1189ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1190AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1191THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1192THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1193SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING 1194THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING 1195FLASH FLOODS. 1196 1197TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL 1198AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. 1199 1200 1201NEXT ADVISORY 1202------------- 1203NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1204 1205$$ 1206FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 1207 1208 1209WTNT35 KNHC 071744 1210TCPAT5 1211BULLETIN 1212TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A...CORRECTED 1213NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1214100 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1215 1216CORRECTED HEADLINE BELOW 1217 1218...HERMINE STILL A TROPICAL STORM INLAND OVER TEXAS... 1219 1220 1221SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 1222---------------------------------------------- 1223LOCATION...29.3N 98.4W 1224ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS 1225MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 1226PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/HR 1227MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1228 1229 1230WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1231-------------------- 1232CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1233 1234ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1235 1236SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1237 1238THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1239 1240FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1241STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1242MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1243FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1244THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1245METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1246 1247 1248DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1249------------------------------ 1250AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 1251LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.4 WEST. HERMINE IS 1252MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTH 1253TO NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1254 1255MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1256GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1257HOURS...AND HERMINE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER 1258TODAY. 1259 1260TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 1261FROM THE CENTER. 1262 1263ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1264 1265 1266HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1267---------------------- 1268WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER A SMALL 1269AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF HERMINE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND GUSTS 1270TO 45 MPH...72 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED NEAR SAN ANTONIO AROUND 1200 1271PM CDT. 1272 1273STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST ARE GRADUALLY 1274RECEDING..BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR 1275TWO. 1276 1277RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1278ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1279AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1280THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1281THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1282SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING 1283THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING 1284FLASH FLOODS. 1285 1286TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL 1287AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. 1288 1289 1290NEXT ADVISORY 1291------------- 1292NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1293 1294$$ 1295FORECASTER PASCH 1296 1297 1298WTNT35 KNHC 071816 CCB 1299TCPAT5 1300 1301BULLETIN 1302TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A...CORRECTED 1303NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1304100 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1305 1306CORRECTED TIME IN THE DISCUSSION SECTION 1307 1308...HERMINE STILL A TROPICAL STORM INLAND OVER TEXAS... 1309 1310 1311SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 1312---------------------------------------------- 1313LOCATION...29.3N 98.4W 1314ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSE OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS 1315MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 1316PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/HR 1317MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1318 1319 1320WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1321-------------------- 1322CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1323 1324ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1325 1326SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1327 1328THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1329 1330FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 1331STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 1332MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 1333FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 1334THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 1335METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1336 1337 1338DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1339------------------------------ 1340AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 1341LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.4 WEST. HERMINE IS 1342MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...31 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTH 1343TO NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1344 1345MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1346GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1347HOURS...AND HERMINE IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER 1348TODAY. 1349 1350TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 1351FROM THE CENTER. 1352 1353ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1354 1355 1356HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1357---------------------- 1358WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE OVER A SMALL 1359AREA NEAR THE CENTER OF HERMINE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND GUSTS 1360TO 45 MPH...72 KM/HR...WERE REPORTED NEAR SAN ANTONIO AROUND 1200 1361PM CDT. 1362 1363STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST ARE GRADUALLY 1364RECEDING..BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR 1365TWO. 1366 1367RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1368ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1369AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1370THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1371THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1372SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS...NORTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...AND MISSOURI DURING 1373THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING 1374FLASH FLOODS. 1375 1376TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL 1377AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. 1378 1379 1380NEXT ADVISORY 1381------------- 1382NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1383 1384$$ 1385FORECASTER PASCH/CANGIALOSI 1386 1387 1388WTNT35 KNHC 072033 1389TCPAT5 1390BULLETIN 1391TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 1392NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1393400 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1394 1395...HERMINE STILL A TROPICAL STORM...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER 1396TEXAS... 1397 1398 1399SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1400---------------------------------------------- 1401LOCATION...29.9N 98.7W 1402ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WSW OF AUSTIN TEXAS 1403MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 1404PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/HR 1405MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES 1406 1407 1408WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1409-------------------- 1410THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1411 1412 1413DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1414------------------------------ 1415AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 1416LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.7 WEST. HERMINE IS 1417MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A TURN TO 1418THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 1419OF DAYS. 1420 1421MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1422GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A 1423TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT. 1424 1425TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 1426FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WERE REPORTED IN THE 1427SAN ANTONIO AREA DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS. 1428 1429ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 1430 1431 1432HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1433---------------------- 1434WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL OCCUR OVER A SMALL AREA NEAR 1435THE CENTER OF HERMINE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 1436 1437STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY 1438RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 1439 1440RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1441ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1442AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1443THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1444THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1445SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE 1446HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 1447 1448TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL 1449AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS TODAY. 1450 1451 1452NEXT ADVISORY 1453------------- 1454NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 1455NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1456 1457$$ 1458FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH 1459 1460 1461WTNT35 KNHC 072345 1462TCPAT5 1463BULLETIN 1464TROPICAL STORM HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A 1465NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1466700 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1467 1468...HERMINE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING 1469HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL TEXAS... 1470 1471 1472SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1473---------------------------------------------- 1474LOCATION...31.1N 99.4W 1475ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM SW OF BRADY TEXAS 1476MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 1477PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...33 KM/HR 1478MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 1479 1480 1481WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1482-------------------- 1483THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1484 1485 1486DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1487------------------------------ 1488AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HERMINE WAS 1489LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST. HERMINE IS 1490MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...33 KM/HR. A TURN TO 1491THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 1492OF DAYS. 1493 1494MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR... 1495WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HERMINE 1496MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. 1497 1498ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 1499 1500 1501HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1502---------------------- 1503STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY 1504RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 1505 1506RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1507ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1508AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1509THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1510THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1511SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE 1512HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 1513 1514TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF 1515CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS EVENING. 1516 1517 1518NEXT ADVISORY 1519------------- 1520NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1521 1522$$ 1523FORECASTER STEWART 1524 1525 1526WTNT35 KNHC 072351 1527TCPAT5 1528BULLETIN 1529TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15308A...CORRECTED 1531NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 1532700 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1533 1534CORRECTED STATUS TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1535 1536...HERMINE WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING 1537HEAVY RAINFALL OVER CENTRAL TEXAS... 1538 1539 1540SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1541---------------------------------------------- 1542LOCATION...31.1N 99.4W 1543ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM SW OF BRADY TEXAS 1544MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 1545PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...33 KM/HR 1546MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 1547 1548 1549WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1550-------------------- 1551THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1552 1553 1554DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1555------------------------------ 1556AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE 1557WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.4 WEST. HERMINE 1558IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH...33 KM/HR. A 1559TURN TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE 1560NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1561 1562MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR... 1563WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS HERMINE 1564MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER CENTRAL TEXAS. 1565 1566ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 1567 1568 1569HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1570---------------------- 1571STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY 1572RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 1573 1574RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1575ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1576AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...FROM THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST NORTHWARD 1577THROUGH CENTRAL TEXAS...AND OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA. 1578THESE RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS 1579SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE 1580HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 1581 1582TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF 1583CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS EVENING. 1584 1585 1586NEXT ADVISORY 1587------------- 1588NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1589 1590$$ 1591FORECASTER STEWART 1592 1593 1594WTNT35 KNHC 080235 1595TCPAT5 1596BULLETIN 1597TROPICAL DEPRESSION HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 1598NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 15991000 PM CDT TUE SEP 07 2010 1600 1601...HERMINE BRINGING HEAVY RAINFALL TO CENTRAL TEXAS... 1602 1603 1604SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1605----------------------------------------------- 1606LOCATION...31.6N 99.5W 1607ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM SSE OF BROWNWOOD TEXAS 1608ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM S OF ABILENE TEXAS 1609MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 1610PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/HR 1611MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 1612 1613 1614WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1615-------------------- 1616THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1617 1618 1619DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1620------------------------------ 1621AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1622HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.5 WEST. 1623THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. 1624A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A TURN 1625TO THE NORTHEAST FORECAST TO OCCUR BY THURSDAY. 1626 1627MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1628GUSTS. DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...A WIND GUST TO 43 MPH... 162969 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED IN BRADY TEXAS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS 1630FORECAST AS HERMINE MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN 1631TEXAS. 1632 1633ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 1634 1635 1636HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1637---------------------- 1638STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST WILL GRADUALLY 1639RECEDE...BUT REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 1640 1641RAINFALL...HERMINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1642ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM 1643AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES...FROM PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS 1644INTO OKLAHOMA. IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD 1645ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND MISSOURI DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 1646THE HEAVY RAINFALL COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS. 1647 1648TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF 1649CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS EVENING. 1650 1651 1652NEXT ADVISORY 1653------------- 1654THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 1655CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE 1656FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL 1657PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT35 1658KWNH...BEGINNING AT 400 AM CDT. 1659 1660$$ 1661FORECASTER STEWART 1662 1663 1664