1WTNT21 KNHC 281451 2TCMAT1 3TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 4NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010 51500 UTC TUE SEP 28 2010 6 7CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 8 9THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM 10WARNING FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. 11 12THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 13CUBAN PROVINCES FROM MANTANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA. 14 15THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 16FOR THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS. THIS WARNING INCLUDES 17THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND... BERRY ISLANDS...BIMINI... 18ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...NEW PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND... 19THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. 20 21A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA COAST FROM 22JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE...AND FOR ALL OF THE 23FLORIDA KEYS...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND THE DRY TORTUGAS. 24 25A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA 26FROM NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE AND FOR THE EAST COAST 27OF FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET. 28 29SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 30 31A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 32* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 33* THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM MATANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA 34* THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS 35* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE AND FLORIDA BAY 36* THE FLORIDA KEYS 37 38A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 39* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA 40* NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA 41 42A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 43EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 44 45A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 46POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 47 48TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z 49POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM 50 51PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 KT 52 53ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB 54MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 55WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 56MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 57 58REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 82.5W AT 28/1500Z 59AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 82.8W 60 61FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.6N 81.8W 62MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 6334 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. 64 65FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.5N 80.7W 66MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 6734 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 68 69FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N 80.0W 70MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 7134 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 72 73FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 31.0N 78.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 74MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 7534 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. 76 77FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z...DISSIPATED 78 79REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 82.5W 80 81NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z 82 83$$ 84FORECASTER PASCH 85 86 87 88 89WTNT21 KNHC 290242 90TCMAT1 91TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 92NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010 930300 UTC WED SEP 29 2010 94 95CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 96 97NONE. 98 99SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 100 101A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 102* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 103* THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM MATANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA 104* THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS 105* JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE AND FLORIDA BAY 106* THE FLORIDA KEYS 107 108A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 109* NORTH OF JUPITER INLET TO SEBASTIAN INLET FLORIDA 110* NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA 111 112A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 113EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 114 115A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 116POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 117 118TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 81.9W AT 29/0300Z 119POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM 120 121PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 7 KT 122 123ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB 124MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 125WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 126MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 127 128REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 81.9W AT 29/0300Z 129AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N 82.1W 130 131FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.3N 81.2W 132MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 13334 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. 134 135FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 26.3N 80.2W 136MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 13734 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 138 139FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 30.6N 79.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 140MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 14134 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 142 143FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 36.3N 78.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 144MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 14534 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. 146 147FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED BY AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW 148 149REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 81.9W 150 151NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z 152 153$$ 154FORECASTER BEVEN 155 156 157 158 159WTNT21 KNHC 290851 160TCMAT1 161TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 162NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162010 1630900 UTC WED SEP 29 2010 164 165CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 166 167THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST HAS BEEN 168EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO SEBASTIAN INLET. 169 170SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 171 172A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 173* THE CAYMAN ISLANDS 174* THE PROVINCES OF CUBA FROM MATANZAS EASTWARD TO CIEGO DE AVILA 175* THE NORTHWESTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS 176* SEBASTIAN INLET SOUTHWARD TO EAST CAPE SABLE AND FLORIDA BAY 177* THE FLORIDA KEYS 178 179A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 180* NORTH OF EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FLORIDA 181 182A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 183EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 18412 TO 24 HOURS. 185 186A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 187POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS. 188 189TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 81.4W AT 29/0900Z 190POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM 191 192PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 12 KT 193 194ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB 195MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 196WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 197MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 198 199REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 81.4W AT 29/0900Z 200AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 81.6W 201 202FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 25.2N 80.7W 203MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 20434 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. 205 206FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 28.9N 79.7W 207MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 20834 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 209 210FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 33.8N 78.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 211MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 21234 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW. 213 214FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 40.0N 77.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 215MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 21634 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW. 217 218FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED 219 220REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 81.4W 221 222NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z 223 224$$ 225FORECASTER STEWART 226 227 228 229 230