1WTNT33 KNHC 191751 2TCPAT3 3 4BULLETIN 5TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A 6NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 7200 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 8 9...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT BECOMES TROPICAL STORM 10HARVEY...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BELIZE... 11 12 13SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 14---------------------------------------------- 15LOCATION...16.3N 84.2W 16ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 17ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 18MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 19PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H 20MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 21 22 23WATCHES AND WARNINGS 24-------------------- 25CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 26 27THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 28COAST OF BELIZE. 29 30SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 31 32A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 33* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 34* THE COAST OF BELIZE. 35 36A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 37* THE COAST OF HONDURAS 38* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 39* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 40SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 41 42A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 43EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 44 45A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 46POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE 47NEXT 48 HOURS. 48 49FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 50PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 51 52 53DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 54------------------------------ 55AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY 56WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. HARVEY 57IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A GENERAL 58WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING 59THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 60HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND 61MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. 62 63MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... 64WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE 65CENTER OF HARVEY REACHES BELIZE. 66 67THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 68 69 70HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 71---------------------- 72WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 73OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR 74SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE 75NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALONG THE NORTHERN 76COAST OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST 77OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. 78 79RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 80ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND 81BELIZE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE 82RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... 83ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 84 85 86NEXT ADVISORY 87------------- 88NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 89 90$$ 91FORECASTER BEVEN 92 93 94WTNT33 KNHC 191807 95TCPAT3 96 97BULLETIN 98TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A...CORRECTED 99NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 100200 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 101 102CORRECTED TO ADD EXTENT OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS 103 104...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT BECOMES TROPICAL STORM 105HARVEY...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR BELIZE... 106 107 108SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 109---------------------------------------------- 110LOCATION...16.3N 84.2W 111ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 112ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 113MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 114PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H 115MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 116 117 118WATCHES AND WARNINGS 119-------------------- 120CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 121 122THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 123COAST OF BELIZE. 124 125SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 126 127A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 128* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 129* THE COAST OF BELIZE. 130 131A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 132* THE COAST OF HONDURAS 133* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 134* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 135SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 136 137A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 138EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 139 140A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 141POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE 142NEXT 48 HOURS. 143 144FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 145PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 146 147 148DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 149------------------------------ 150AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY 151WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST. HARVEY 152IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A GENERAL 153WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING 154THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 155HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND 156MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. 157 158MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... 159WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE 160CENTER OF HARVEY REACHES BELIZE. 161 162TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MIILES... 16365 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. 164 165THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 166 167 168HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 169---------------------- 170WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 171OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR 172SATURDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE 173NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS TODAY AND TONIGHT...ALONG THE NORTHERN 174COAST OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY...AND ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST 175OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. 176 177RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 178ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND 179BELIZE...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE 180RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES... 181ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 182 183 184NEXT ADVISORY 185------------- 186NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 187 188$$ 189FORECASTER BEVEN 190 191WTNT33 KNHC 192043 192TCPAT3 193 194BULLETIN 195TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 4 196NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 197500 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 198 199...HARVEY STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE BAY ISLANDS... 200 201 202SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 203---------------------------------------------- 204LOCATION...16.5N 84.7W 205ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 206ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 207MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 208PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 209MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES 210 211 212WATCHES AND WARNINGS 213-------------------- 214CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 215 216THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 217SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 218SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL. 219 220THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH 221EAST OF PUNTA PATUCA. 222 223SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 224 225A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 226* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 227* THE COAST OF BELIZE 228* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 229SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 230 231A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 232* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD 233* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 234 235A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 236EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 237 238A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 239POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN THE 240NEXT 48 HOURS. 241 242FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 243PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 244 245 246DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 247------------------------------ 248AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 249LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.7 WEST. HARVEY IS 250MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A GENERAL 251WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING 252THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 253HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS TONIGHT AND 254MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. 255 256MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... 257WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS HARVEY 258APPROACHES THE BAY ISLANDS AND BELIZE. 259 260TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 261FROM THE CENTER. 262 263ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. 264 265 266HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 267---------------------- 268WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 269OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE 270SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO SATURDAY OR SATURDAY 271NIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN 272COAST OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF 273GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY. 274 275RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 276ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND 277BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 278MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 279LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 280HIGHER TERRAIN. 281 282 283NEXT ADVISORY 284------------- 285NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. 286NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 287 288$$ 289FORECASTER BEVEN 290 291 292WTNT33 KNHC 192353 293TCPAT3 294 295BULLETIN 296TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A 297NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 298800 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 299 300...AIRCRAFT FINDS HARVEY JUST NORTH OF THE COAST OF HONDURAS... 301 302 303SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 304---------------------------------------------- 305LOCATION...16.1N 84.6W 306ABOUT 130 MI...210 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 307ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 308MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 309PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H 310MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 311 312 313WATCHES AND WARNINGS 314-------------------- 315CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 316 317NONE. 318 319SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 320 321A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 322* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 323* THE COAST OF BELIZE 324* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 325SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 326 327A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 328* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD 329* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 330 331A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 332EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 33324 TO 36 HOURS. 334 335A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 336POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE AT ANY TIME WITHIN 337THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 338 339FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 340PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 341 342 343DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 344------------------------------ 345DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 346THAT HARVEY IS LOCATED FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN PREVIOUSLY 347ESTIMATED. 348 349AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 350LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST. HARVEY IS 351MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARD TO 352WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 353DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR 354OR OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE 355COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY OR SATURDAY NIGHT. 356 357MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... 358WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AS 359HARVEY APPROACHES THE BAY ISLANDS AND BELIZE. 360 361TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 362FROM THE CENTER. 363 364THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT DATA 365IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 366 367 368HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 369---------------------- 370WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 371OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST OF BELIZE AND THE 372SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 373TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN 374COAST OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF 375GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY. 376 377RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 378ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND 379BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 380MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 381LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 382HIGHER TERRAIN. 383 384STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 385TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 386NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL. 387 388 389NEXT ADVISORY 390------------- 391NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 392 393$$ 394FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE 395 396 397WTNT33 KNHC 200252 398TCPAT3 399 400BULLETIN 401TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 5 402NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 4031100 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 404 405...HARVEY STRENGTHENS OFF THE COAST OF HONDURAS...HEADING FOR THE 406BAY ISLANDS... 407 408 409SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 410----------------------------------------------- 411LOCATION...16.2N 85.2W 412ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 413ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 414MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 415PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H 416MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 417 418 419WATCHES AND WARNINGS 420-------------------- 421CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 422 423THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR 424THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD WITH A 425TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 426 427SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 428 429A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 430* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 431* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD 432* THE COAST OF BELIZE 433* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 434SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 435 436A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 437* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 438 439HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF 440BELIZE. 441 442A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 443EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 444THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 445 446A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 447POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 448HOURS. 449 450FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 451PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 452 453 454DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 455------------------------------ 456AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 457LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST. HARVEY IS 458MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARD TO 459WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 460DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR 461OR OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY 462AND MOVE ACROSS THE COAST OF BELIZE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR SATURDAY 463NIGHT. 464 465DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 466THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 467KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND 468HARVEY IS NOW FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE 469COAST OF BELIZE. 470 471TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM 472FROM THE CENTER. 473 474THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIRCRAFT DATA WAS 475994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 476 477 478HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 479---------------------- 480WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 481AND ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HONDURAS TONIGHT...AND OVER THE COAST 482OF BELIZE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY 483SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A 484PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE BEGINNING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 485TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST 486OF GUATEMALA ON SATURDAY. 487 488RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 489ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA...AND 490BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 491MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 492LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 493HIGHER TERRAIN. 494 495STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 496TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 497NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 498WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 499 500 501 502NEXT ADVISORY 503------------- 504NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. 505NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 506 507$$ 508FORECASTER BROWN/BLAKE 509 510 511WTNT33 KNHC 200546 512TCPAT3 513 514BULLETIN 515TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A 516NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 517100 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 518 519...CENTER OF HARVEY APPROACHING THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS... 520 521 522SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 523---------------------------------------------- 524LOCATION...16.3N 85.6W 525ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 526ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM ESE OF BELIZE CITY 527MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 528PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H 529MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 530 531 532WATCHES AND WARNINGS 533-------------------- 534CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 535 536NONE. 537 538SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 539 540A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 541* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 542* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD 543* THE COAST OF BELIZE 544* THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA 545SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 546 547A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 548* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 549 550HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF 551BELIZE. 552 553A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 554EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 555THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 556 557A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 558POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 559HOURS. 560 561FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 562PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 563 564 565DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 566------------------------------ 567AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 568LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST. HARVEY IS 569MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GENERAL WESTWARD TO 570WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 571DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL PASS NEAR 572OR OVER THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS THIS MORNING AND MOVE ACROSS THE 573COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. 574 575MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 576GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND HARVEY IS FORECAST TO 577BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE COAST OF BELIZE. 578 579TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM 580FROM THE CENTER. 581 582ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 583 584 585HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 586---------------------- 587WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 588AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS THIS MORNING...AND OVER THE 589COAST OF BELIZE AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY 590THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG A PORTION 591OF THE COAST OF BELIZE BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. 592TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN 593COAST OF GUATEMALA LATER TODAY. 594 595RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 596ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... 597BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE 598ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 599LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 600HIGHER TERRAIN. 601 602STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 603TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 604NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 605WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. 606 607 608NEXT ADVISORY 609------------- 610NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 611 612$$ 613FORECASTER BERG/STEWART 614 615 616WTNT33 KNHC 200853 617TCPAT3 618 619BULLETIN 620TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 6 621NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 622400 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 623 624...HARVEY VERY NEAR ROATAN...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS ON THE BAY 625ISLANDS... 626 627 628SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 629---------------------------------------------- 630LOCATION...16.4N 86.5W 631ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 632ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY 633MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 634PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 635MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 636 637 638WATCHES AND WARNINGS 639-------------------- 640CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 641 642THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO 643A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF GUATEMALA. 644 645SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 646 647A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 648* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 649* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD 650* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 651* THE COAST OF BELIZE 652* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA GRUESA SOUTHWARD TO CHETUMAL 653 654HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF 655BELIZE LATER TODAY. 656 657A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 658EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 659THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 660 661FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 662PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 663 664 665DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 666------------------------------ 667AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 668LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.5 WEST. HARVEY IS 669MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS 670EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD 671SPEED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS 672FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS DURING THE 673MORNING AND MOVE INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR 674TONIGHT. 675 676MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 677GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A 678HURRICANE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. 679 680TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM 681FROM THE CENTER. 682 683ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 684 685 686HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 687---------------------- 688WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 689AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE MORNING AND INTO 690THE AFTERNOON. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG 691THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN 692PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE 693POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR 694TONIGHT. 695 696RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 697ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... 698BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE 699ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 700LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 701HIGHER TERRAIN. 702 703STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 704TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 705NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 706WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. 707 708 709NEXT ADVISORY 710------------- 711NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 712NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 713 714$$ 715FORECASTER BERG/STEWART 716 717 718WTNT33 KNHC 201156 719TCPAT3 720 721BULLETIN 722TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A 723NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 724700 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 725 726...CENTER OF HARVEY NOW NORTHWEST OF ROATAN...HURRICANE HUNTER 727AIRCRAFT APPROACHING THE STORM... 728 729 730SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 731---------------------------------------------- 732LOCATION...16.6N 87.0W 733ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM WNW OF ISLA ROATAN HONDURAS 734ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY 735MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 736PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 737MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 738 739 740WATCHES AND WARNINGS 741-------------------- 742CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 743 744THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 745FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. 746 747SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 748 749A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 750* THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS 751* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA PATUCA WESTWARD 752* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 753* THE COAST OF BELIZE 754 755HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF 756BELIZE LATER TODAY. 757 758A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 759EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 760THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 761 762FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 763PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 764 765 766DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 767------------------------------ 768AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 769LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST. HARVEY IS 770MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS 771EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD 772SPEED ON SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS 773FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAY ISLANDS OF HONDURAS DURING THE 774NEXT FEW HOURS AND MOVE INLAND ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS 775AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. 776 777MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 778GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A 779HURRICANE BEFORE IT MOVES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. AN AIR 780FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING 781HARVEY. 782 783TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM 784FROM THE CENTER. 785 786ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 787 788 789HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 790---------------------- 791WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAY ISLANDS 792AND ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS DURING THE MORNING AND INTO 793THE AFTERNOON. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG 794THE COASTS OF GUATEMALA...BELIZE...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN YUCATAN 795PENINSULA OF MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE 796POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON OR 797TONIGHT. 798 799RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 800ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... 801BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE 802ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 803LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 804HIGHER TERRAIN. 805 806STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 807TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 808NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 809WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. 810 811 812NEXT ADVISORY 813------------- 814NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 815 816$$ 817FORECASTER BEVEN 818 819 820WTNT33 KNHC 201453 821TCPAT3 822 823BULLETIN 824TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 7 825NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 8261000 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 827 828...HARVEY MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD BELIZE WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN 829STRENGTH... 830 831 832SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 833----------------------------------------------- 834LOCATION...16.8N 87.6W 835ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY 836ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ENE OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE 837MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 838PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 839MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 840 841 842WATCHES AND WARNINGS 843-------------------- 844CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 845 846THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 847WARNING FOR THE BAY ISLANDS AND FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF HONDURAS 848EAST OF PUNTA SAL. 849 850SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 851 852A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 853* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA SAL WESTWARD 854* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 855* THE COAST OF BELIZE 856 857HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF 858BELIZE LATER TODAY. 859 860A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 861EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 862THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 863 864FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 865PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 866 867 868DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 869------------------------------ 870AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 871LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST. HARVEY IS 872MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS 873EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST 874TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS 875AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT. 876 877REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 878THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH 879HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...AND HARVEY 880COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL IN BELIZE. STEADY 881WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL. 882 883TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 884MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. 885 886THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER 887AIRCRAFT DATA IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 888 889 890HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 891---------------------- 892WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN 893COAST OF HONDURAS IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 894TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF 895GUATEMALA AND BELIZE BY THIS AFTERNOON. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE 896POSSIBLE ALONG A PORTION OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON. 897 898RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 899ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... 900BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE 901ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 902LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 903HIGHER TERRAIN. 904 905STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 906TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 907NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 908WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. 909 910 911NEXT ADVISORY 912------------- 913NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 914NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 915 916$$ 917FORECASTER BEVEN 918 919 920WTNT33 KNHC 201750 921TCPAT3 922 923BULLETIN 924TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A 925NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 926100 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 927 928...CENTER OF HARVEY MAKES LANDFALL NEAR DANGRIGA TOWN BELIZE... 929 930 931SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 932---------------------------------------------- 933LOCATION...17.0N 88.3W 934ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM S OF BELIZE CITY 935MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 936PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...21 KM/H 937MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 938 939 940WATCHES AND WARNINGS 941-------------------- 942CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 943 944NONE. 945 946SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 947 948A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 949* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA SAL WESTWARD 950* THE COAST OF GUATEMALA 951* THE COAST OF BELIZE 952 953FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 954PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 955 956 957DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 958------------------------------ 959THE CENTER OF HARVEY HAS MADE LANDFALL ON THE COAST OF BELIZE NEAR 960DANGRIGA TOWN...AND AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF THE 961TROPICAL STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96288.3 WEST. HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH... 96321 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY 964OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL CONTINUE 965TO MOVE INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO NORTHERN 966GUATEMALA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. 967 968MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 969GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT THE CENTER OF HARVEY IS 970MOVING INLAND. 971 972TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 973MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. 974 975THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 976 977 978HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 979---------------------- 980WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE NORTHERN 981COAST OF HONDURAS IN THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. 982TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ALONG THE COASTS OF 983GUATEMALA AND BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON. 984 985RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 986ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS HONDURAS...GUATEMALA... 987BELIZE...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE 988ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 989LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 990HIGHER TERRAIN. 991 992STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 993TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE 994NORTH OF WHERE HARVEY MADE LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 995WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DAMAGING WAVES. 996 997 998NEXT ADVISORY 999------------- 1000NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1001 1002$$ 1003FORECASTER BEVEN 1004 1005 1006WTNT33 KNHC 202034 1007TCPAT3 1008 1009BULLETIN 1010TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 8 1011NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1012400 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 1013 1014...HARVEY WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE... 1015 1016 1017SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1018---------------------------------------------- 1019LOCATION...17.2N 88.8W 1020ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM WSW OF BELIZE CITY 1021MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1022PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H 1023MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1024 1025 1026WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1027-------------------- 1028CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1029 1030THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 1031WARNING FOR HONDURAS. 1032 1033THE GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 1034WARNING FOR GUATEMALA. 1035 1036THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 1037FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD. 1038 1039SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1040 1041A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1042* THE COAST OF BELIZE SOUTH OF BELIZE CITY 1043 1044FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1045PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1046 1047 1048DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1049------------------------------ 1050AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 1051LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST. HARVEY IS 1052MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A GENERAL 1053MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 1054COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL 1055MOVE FARTHER INLAND OVER BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON AND CROSS NORTHERN 1056GUATEMALA TONIGHT. 1057 1058MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1059GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER MOVES FARTHER 1060INLAND...AND HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1061ON SUNDAY. 1062 1063TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM 1064FROM THE CENTER. 1065 1066ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1067 1068 1069HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1070---------------------- 1071WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN BELIZE AND 1072NORTHERN GUATEMALA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF 1073HARVEY. 1074 1075RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1076ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA... 1077WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH 1078POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD 1079PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY 1080OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 1081 1082STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE SHOULD 1083SUBSIDE TONIGHT. 1084 1085 1086NEXT ADVISORY 1087------------- 1088NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 1089NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1090 1091$$ 1092FORECASTER BEVEN 1093 1094 1095WTNT33 KNHC 202342 1096TCPAT3 1097 1098BULLETIN 1099TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A 1100NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1101700 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 1102 1103...HARVEY MOVING OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...MAIN THREAT IS HEAVY 1104RAINFALL... 1105 1106 1107SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1108---------------------------------------------- 1109LOCATION...17.3N 89.5W 1110ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NE OF TIKAL GUATEMALA 1111ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM W OF BELIZE CITY 1112MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 1113PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H 1114MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1115 1116 1117WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1118-------------------- 1119CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1120 1121THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 1122FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE. 1123 1124SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1125 1126THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1127 1128FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1129PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1130 1131 1132DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1133------------------------------ 1134AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 1135LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.5 WEST. HARVEY IS 1136MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A GENERAL 1137MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 1138COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL 1139CONTINUE MOVING FARTHER INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT. 1140 1141MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... 1142WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS THE CENTER 1143MOVES FARTHER INLAND...AND HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A 1144TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY. 1145 1146TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM 1147FROM THE CENTER. 1148 1149ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1150 1151 1152HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1153---------------------- 1154RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1155ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA... 1156WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH 1157POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD 1158PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY 1159OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 1160 1161WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT IN PORTIONS 1162OF BELIZE AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY. 1163 1164STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE COAST OF BELIZE SHOULD 1165SUBSIDE TONIGHT. 1166 1167 1168NEXT ADVISORY 1169------------- 1170NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1171 1172$$ 1173FORECASTER BRENNAN 1174 1175 1176WTNT33 KNHC 210237 1177TCPAT3 1178 1179BULLETIN 1180TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 9 1181NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 11821000 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 1183 1184...WEAKENING HARVEY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA 1185AND EASTERN MEXICO... 1186 1187 1188SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1189----------------------------------------------- 1190LOCATION...17.4N 90.2W 1191ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM NNW OF TIKAL GUATEMALA 1192ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1193MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 1194PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H 1195MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 1196 1197 1198WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1199-------------------- 1200THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1201 1202 1203DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1204------------------------------ 1205AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS 1206LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.2 WEST. HARVEY IS 1207MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL 1208MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY 1209DISSIPATES. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL 1210CONTINUE MOVING INLAND ACROSS NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND MOVE 1211INTO EASTERN MEXICO ON SUNDAY. 1212 1213MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... 1214WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL 1215DEPRESSION ON SUNDAY AND DISSIPATE BY MONDAY. 1216 1217TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM 1218...MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. 1219 1220ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 1221 1222 1223HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1224---------------------- 1225WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHERN GUATEMALA 1226TONIGHT NEAR THE CENTER OF HARVEY. 1227 1228RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1229ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS BELIZE...GUATEMALA... 1230WESTERN HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH 1231POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD 1232PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY 1233OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 1234 1235 1236NEXT ADVISORY 1237------------- 1238NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1239 1240$$ 1241FORECASTER BRENNAN 1242 1243 1244WTNT33 KNHC 210551 1245TCPAT3 1246 1247BULLETIN 1248TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A 1249NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1250100 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1251 1252...HARVEY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...STILL PRODUCING HEAVY 1253RAINS OVER GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... 1254 1255 1256SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 1257---------------------------------------------- 1258LOCATION...17.5N 90.8W 1259ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WNW OF FLORES GUATEMALA 1260ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ESE OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO 1261MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1262PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H 1263MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1264 1265 1266WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1267-------------------- 1268THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1269 1270 1271DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1272------------------------------ 1273AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1274WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWESTERN GUATEMALA NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH... 1275LONGITUDE 90.8 WEST. HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 1276MPH...22 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR 1277THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY DISSIPATES. ON THE FORECAST TRACK 1278THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE 1279NEXT FEW HOURS. 1280 1281MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... 1282WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER 1283SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO BY TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY. 1284 1285ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1286 1287 1288HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1289---------------------- 1290RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1291ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA...WESTERN 1292HONDURAS...AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE 1293ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE 1294LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER 1295HIGHER TERRAIN. 1296 1297 1298NEXT ADVISORY 1299------------- 1300NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1301 1302$$ 1303FORECASTER BERG 1304 1305 1306WTNT33 KNHC 210847 1307TCPAT3 1308 1309BULLETIN 1310TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 10 1311NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1312400 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1313 1314...HARVEY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... 1315 1316 1317SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1318---------------------------------------------- 1319LOCATION...17.7N 92.0W 1320ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM ESE OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO 1321ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF TUXTLA GUTIERREZ MEXICO 1322MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1323PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H 1324MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1325 1326 1327WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1328-------------------- 1329THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1330 1331 1332DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1333------------------------------ 1334AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1335WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 1336NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE 1337WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/H...AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 1338EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO UNTIL HARVEY DISSIPATES. ON THE 1339FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS 1340SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE 1341COASTLINE. 1342 1343MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1344GUSTS. HARVEY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHERN 1345MEXICO BY EARLY MONDAY. 1346 1347ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1348 1349 1350HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1351---------------------- 1352RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1353ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN 1354MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. 1355THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND 1356MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 1357 1358 1359NEXT ADVISORY 1360------------- 1361NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1362 1363$$ 1364FORECASTER BERG 1365 1366 1367WTNT33 KNHC 211435 1368TCPAT3 1369 1370BULLETIN 1371TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 11 1372NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 13731000 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1374 1375...HARVEY STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS 1376CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... 1377 1378 1379SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1380----------------------------------------------- 1381LOCATION...17.7N 92.6W 1382ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 1383MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H 1384PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H 1385MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 1386 1387 1388WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1389-------------------- 1390THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1391 1392 1393DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1394------------------------------ 1395AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1396WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. THE 1397DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND 1398THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 1399HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY SHOULD MOVE 1400GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...JUST TO THE SOUTH 1401OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 1402 1403MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 1404KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HARVEY IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO 1405A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ON 1406MONDAY. 1407 1408ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 1409 1410 1411HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1412---------------------- 1413RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL 1414ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN 1415MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. 1416THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND 1417MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN. 1418 1419 1420NEXT ADVISORY 1421------------- 1422NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1423 1424$$ 1425FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE 1426 1427 1428WTNT33 KNHC 211439 1429TCPAT3 1430 1431BULLETIN 1432TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 11...CORRECTED 1433NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 14341000 AM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1435 1436CORRECTED RAINFALL STATEMENT IN HAZARDS SECTION 1437 1438...HARVEY STILL A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINS 1439CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO... 1440 1441 1442SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1443----------------------------------------------- 1444LOCATION...17.7N 92.6W 1445ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM ESE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 1446MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H 1447PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H 1448MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 1449 1450 1451WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1452-------------------- 1453THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1454 1455 1456DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1457------------------------------ 1458AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1459WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. THE 1460DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND 1461THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 1462HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY SHOULD MOVE 1463GENERALLY WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO...JUST TO THE SOUTH 1464OF THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 1465 1466MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...45 1467KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. HARVEY IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO 1468A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO ON 1469MONDAY. 1470 1471ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 1472 1473 1474HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1475---------------------- 1476RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1477ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN 1478MEXICO...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. 1479THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND 1480MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. 1481 1482 1483NEXT ADVISORY 1484------------- 1485NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1486 1487$$ 1488FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE 1489 1490 1491WTNT33 KNHC 212042 1492TCPAT3 1493 1494BULLETIN 1495TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 12 1496NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1497400 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1498 1499...HARVEY EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE...TROPICAL STORM 1500WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THE SOUTHERN COAST OF MEXICO... 1501 1502 1503SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1504---------------------------------------------- 1505LOCATION...18.6N 93.8W 1506ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 1507ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1508MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H 1509PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H 1510MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES 1511 1512 1513WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1514-------------------- 1515CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1516 1517THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 1518COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO NORTHWARD TO BARRA 1519DE NAUTIA. 1520 1521SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1522 1523A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1524* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE 1525NAUTIA 1526 1527A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1528EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 1529NEXT 24 HOURS. 1530 1531FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1532PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1533 1534 1535DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1536------------------------------ 1537AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1538WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST. THE 1539DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 1540KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 1541HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE 1542INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ ON MONDAY. 1543 1544MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1545GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND HARVEY IS FORECAST TO 1546BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO. 1547 1548ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. 1549 1550 1551HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1552---------------------- 1553RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1554ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES 1555OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH 1556ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS 1557COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 1558ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. 1559 1560WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF 1561SOUTHERN MEXICO WITH THE WARNING AREA MONDAY MORNING. 1562 1563 1564NEXT ADVISORY 1565------------- 1566NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 1567NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1568 1569$$ 1570FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN 1571 1572 1573WTNT33 KNHC 212345 1574TCPAT3 1575 1576BULLETIN 1577TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A 1578NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1579700 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1580 1581...HARVEY STRENGTHENS A LITTLE...HEADED FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO... 1582 1583 1584SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1585---------------------------------------------- 1586LOCATION...19.0N 94.2W 1587ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 1588ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1589MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1590PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H 1591MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1592 1593 1594WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1595-------------------- 1596CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1597 1598NONE. 1599 1600SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1601 1602A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1603* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE 1604NAUTLA 1605 1606A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1607EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 1608NEXT 24 HOURS. 1609 1610FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1611PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1612 1613 1614DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1615------------------------------ 1616AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1617WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST. THE 1618DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 1619KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 1620HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WILL MOVE 1621INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ ON MONDAY. 1622 1623MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 1624KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND 1625HARVEY IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND 1626OVER MEXICO. 1627 1628ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1629 1630 1631HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1632---------------------- 1633RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1634ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES 1635OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH 1636ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS 1637COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 1638ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF HIGHER TERRAIN. 1639 1640WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF 1641SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT OR MONDAY 1642MORNING. 1643 1644 1645NEXT ADVISORY 1646------------- 1647NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1648 1649$$ 1650FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 1651 1652 1653WTNT33 KNHC 220242 1654TCPAT3 1655 1656BULLETIN 1657TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 13 1658NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 16591000 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011 1660 1661...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH HARVEY ARE SPREADING WESTWARD OVER 1662SOUTHERN MEXICO... 1663 1664 1665SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1666----------------------------------------------- 1667LOCATION...19.0N 95.0W 1668ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM NW OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 1669ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1670MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1671PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 1672MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1673 1674 1675WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1676-------------------- 1677CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1678 1679NONE. 1680 1681SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1682 1683A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1684* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE 1685NAUTLA 1686 1687FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1688PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1689 1690 1691DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1692------------------------------ 1693AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1694WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE 1695DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 1696KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 1697FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY IS 1698EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO MONDAY MORNING. 1699 1700MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1701GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...AND HARVEY COULD BECOME A 1702TROPICAL STORM BEFORE MOVING INLAND OVER MEXICO. 1703 1704ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1705 1706 1707HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1708---------------------- 1709RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1710ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES 1711OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH 1712ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS 1713COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 1714ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 1715 1716WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN A PORTION OF THE 1717WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING. 1718 1719 1720NEXT ADVISORY 1721------------- 1722NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 1723NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1724 1725$$ 1726FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 1727 1728 1729WTNT33 KNHC 220544 1730TCPAT3 1731 1732BULLETIN 1733TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A 1734NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1735100 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 1736 1737...CENTER OF HARVEY ALMOST ONSHORE NEAR VERACRUZ MEXICO... 1738 1739 1740SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 1741---------------------------------------------- 1742LOCATION...19.0N 95.9W 1743ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM ESE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1744MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1745PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 1746MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1747 1748 1749WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1750-------------------- 1751CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1752 1753NONE. 1754 1755SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1756 1757A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1758* THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE 1759NAUTLA 1760 1761FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1762PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1763 1764 1765DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1766------------------------------ 1767AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1768WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.9 WEST. THE 1769DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 1770KM/H. A TURN TO THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 1771FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY WILL MOVE 1772INLAND OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 1773 1774MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1775GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS BECOMING LESS LIKELY AS THE CENTER OF 1776HARVEY APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST 1777TO DISSIPATE OVER MEXICO BY MONDAY NIGHT. 1778 1779ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1780 1781 1782HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1783---------------------- 1784RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1785ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES 1786OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH 1787ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS 1788COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 1789ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 1790 1791WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE 1792WARNING AREA THROUGH THE MORNING. 1793 1794 1795NEXT ADVISORY 1796------------- 1797NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1798 1799$$ 1800FORECASTER BERG 1801 1802 1803WTNT33 KNHC 220852 1804TCPAT3 1805 1806BULLETIN 1807TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 14 1808NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1809400 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 1810 1811...HARVEY NOW INLAND OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ... 1812...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... 1813 1814 1815SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1816---------------------------------------------- 1817LOCATION...18.4N 96.0W 1818ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1819MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1820PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H 1821MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1822 1823 1824WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1825-------------------- 1826CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1827 1828NONE. 1829 1830SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1831 1832A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1833* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA 1834 1835FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1836PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF MEXICO. 1837 1838 1839DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1840------------------------------ 1841AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1842WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 184396.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST 1844NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 1845OVER THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE HARVEY DISSIPATES. 1846 1847MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1848GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW THAT HARVEY IS INLAND OVER 1849MEXICO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER 1850MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN LATER TODAY. 1851 1852ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1853 1854 1855HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1856---------------------- 1857RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1858ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES 1859OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH 1860ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS 1861COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 1862ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 1863 1864WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE 1865WARNING AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. 1866 1867 1868NEXT ADVISORY 1869------------- 1870NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 1871NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1872 1873$$ 1874FORECASTER BERG 1875 1876 1877WTNT33 KNHC 221226 1878TCPAT3 1879 1880BULLETIN 1881TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A 1882NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082011 1883700 AM CDT MON AUG 22 2011 1884 1885...HARVEY QUICKLY WEAKENING OVER SOUTHERN MEXICO... 1886 1887 1888SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 1889---------------------------------------------- 1890LOCATION...18.2N 96.7W 1891ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM SW OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1892MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 1893PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H 1894MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES 1895 1896 1897WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1898-------------------- 1899CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1900 1901THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 1902FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA. 1903 1904SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1905 1906NONE. 1907 1908DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1909------------------------------ 1910AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION HARVEY 1911WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER MEXICO NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 191296.7 WEST. THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST- 1913SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 1914EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE HARVEY DISSIPATES. 1915 1916MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH...55 1917KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED NOW 1918THAT HARVEY IS WELL INLAND OVER MEXICO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS 1919FORECAST TO DISSIPATE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN TODAY. 1920 1921ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES. 1922 1923 1924HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1925---------------------- 1926RAINFALL...HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1927ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES 1928OF VERACRUZ...OAXACA...HIDALGO...PUEBLA...AND TIAXCALA...WITH 1929ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES. THESE RAINS 1930COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES... 1931ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN. 1932 1933WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST OF THE EXTREME 1934SOUTHWESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE THIS MORNING BEFORE SUBSIDING LATER 1935TODAY. 1936 1937 1938NEXT ADVISORY 1939------------- 1940NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1941 1942$$ 1943FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/WROE 1944 1945 1946