1WTNT35 KNHC 072102 2TCPAT5 3 4BULLETIN 5TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 6NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 7400 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2011 8 9...TROPICAL STORM NATE FORMS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE...TROPICAL STORM 10WARNINGS ISSUED FOR MEXICO... 11 12 13SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 14---------------------------------------------- 15LOCATION...20.2N 92.4W 16ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 17ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 18MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 19PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 20MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES 21 22 23WATCHES AND WARNINGS 24-------------------- 25CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 26 27THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 28COAST OF MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN. 29 30SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 31 32A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 33* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 34 35A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 36EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 37HOURS. 38 39FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 40PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 41 42 43DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 44------------------------------ 45AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 46LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 47MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND LITTLE 48MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION 49IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. 50 51MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 52GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 53HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. 54 55TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 56KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. DATA FROM PEMEX 57OIL RIGS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE MEASURED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 43 58MPH...70 KM/H...GUSTING TO 50 MPH...80 KM/H. 59 60AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE UNIT AIRCRAFT MEASURED A 61MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. 62 63 64HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 65---------------------- 66WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 67COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND COULD CONTINUE INTO 68THURSDAY. 69 70RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 712 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 72MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 73 74STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 75AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE 76IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. 77 78 79NEXT ADVISORY 80------------- 81NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 82NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 83 84$$ 85FORECASTER BLAKE/ZELINSKY 86 87 88WTNT35 KNHC 072341 89TCPAT5 90 91BULLETIN 92TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A 93NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 94700 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2011 95 96...NATE ALMOST STATIONARY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... 97 98 99SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 100---------------------------------------------- 101LOCATION...20.4N 92.6W 102ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 103ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 104MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 105PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 106MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 107 108 109WATCHES AND WARNINGS 110-------------------- 111CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 112 113NONE. 114 115SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 116 117A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 118* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 119 120A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 121EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 122HOURS. 123 124FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 125PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 126 127 128DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 129------------------------------ 130AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 131LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. NATE IS 132CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY...AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT 133AND THURSDAY. A SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. 134 135MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 136GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 137HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. 138 139TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 140KM...MOSTLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER. THE CITY OF 141CAMPECHE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH...56 KM/H... 142AND A WIND GUST OF 46 MPH...75 KM/HR. 143 144THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 145 146 147HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 148---------------------- 149WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 150COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND COULD CONTINUE INTO 151THURSDAY. 152 153RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1542 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 155MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 156 157STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 158AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE 159IMMEDIATE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA. 160 161 162NEXT ADVISORY 163------------- 164NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 165 166$$ 167FORECASTER BEVEN 168 169 170WTNT35 KNHC 080250 171TCPAT5 172 173BULLETIN 174TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2 175NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1761000 PM CDT WED SEP 07 2011 177 178...LITTLE CHANGE IN THE POSITION OR INTENSITY OF NATE DURING THE 179PAST FEW HOURS... 180 181 182SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 183----------------------------------------------- 184LOCATION...20.4N 92.5W 185ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 186ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 187MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 188PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 189MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 190 191 192WATCHES AND WARNINGS 193-------------------- 194CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 195 196NONE. 197 198SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 199 200A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 201* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 202 203A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 204EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 205HOURS. 206 207FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 208PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 209 210 211DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 212------------------------------ 213AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 214LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST. NATE IS 215MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. AN ERRATIC EASTWARD 216DRIFT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...WITH A SLOW NORTHWARD 217MOTION EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. 218 219MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 220GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 221AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. 222 223TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 224FROM THE CENTER. 225 226ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 227 228 229HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 230---------------------- 231WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST 232WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT...AND COULD CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. 233 234RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2352 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 236MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 237 238STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2391 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 240THE WARNING AREA. 241 242 243NEXT ADVISORY 244------------- 245NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 246NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 247 248$$ 249FORECASTER BEVEN 250 251 252WTNT35 KNHC 080541 253TCPAT5 254 255BULLETIN 256TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A 257NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 258100 AM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 259 260...NATE MOVING LITTLE IN THE EASTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE... 261 262 263SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 264---------------------------------------------- 265LOCATION...20.4N 92.4W 266ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 267ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 268MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 269PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 270MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 271 272 273WATCHES AND WARNINGS 274-------------------- 275CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 276 277NONE. 278 279SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 280 281A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 282* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 283 284A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 285EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 286HOURS. 287 288FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 289PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 290 291 292DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 293------------------------------ 294AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 295LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 296DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. AN ERRATIC EASTWARD 297OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW 298NORTHWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. 299 300MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 301GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 302AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. 303 304TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 305FROM THE CENTER. 306 307ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 308 309 310HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 311---------------------- 312WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST 313WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 314 315RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3162 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 317MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 318 319STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3201 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 321THE WARNING AREA. 322 323 324NEXT ADVISORY 325------------- 326NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 327 328$$ 329FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH 330 331 332WTNT35 KNHC 080843 333TCPAT5 334 335BULLETIN 336TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3 337NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 338400 AM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 339 340...NATE NEARLY STATIONARY WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... 341 342 343SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 344---------------------------------------------- 345LOCATION...20.4N 92.4W 346ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 347ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 348MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 349PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H 350MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 351 352 353WATCHES AND WARNINGS 354-------------------- 355CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 356 357NONE. 358 359SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 360 361A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 362* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 363 364A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 365EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 366HOURS. 367 368FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 369PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 370 371 372DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 373------------------------------ 374AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 375LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 376DRIFTING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. AN ERRATIC EASTWARD 377OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A SLOW 378NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. 379 380MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 381GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 382 383TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 384FROM THE CENTER. 385 386ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 387 388 389HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 390---------------------- 391WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST 392WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 393 394RAINFALL... NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3952 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 396MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 397 398STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3991 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 400THE WARNING AREA. 401 402 403NEXT ADVISORY 404------------- 405NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 406NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 407 408$$ 409FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH 410 411 412WTNT35 KNHC 081146 413TCPAT5 414 415BULLETIN 416TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A 417NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 418700 AM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 419 420...NATE MEANDERING OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... 421 422 423SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 424---------------------------------------------- 425LOCATION...20.2N 92.4W 426ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 427ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 428MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 429PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H 430MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 431 432 433WATCHES AND WARNINGS 434-------------------- 435CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 436 437NONE. 438 439SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 440 441A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 442* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 443 444FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 445PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 446 447 448DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 449------------------------------ 450AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 451LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 452DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. AN ERRATIC 453EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY 454A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. 455 456MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 457GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 458 459TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 460FROM THE CENTER. 461 462ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 463 464 465HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 466---------------------- 467WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST 468WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 469 470RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4712 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 472MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 473 474STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 4751 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 476THE WARNING AREA. 477 478 479NEXT ADVISORY 480------------- 481NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 482 483$$ 484FORECASTER BROWN 485 486 487WTNT35 KNHC 081458 488TCPAT5 489 490BULLETIN 491TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4 492NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 4931000 AM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 494 495...NATE NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... 496 497 498SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 499----------------------------------------------- 500LOCATION...20.0N 92.4W 501ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 502ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 503MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 504PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H 505MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES 506 507 508WATCHES AND WARNINGS 509-------------------- 510CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 511 512THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE 513NORTHWEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO. 514 515SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 516 517A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 518* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 519 520A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 521* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 522 523A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 524POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 525 526FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 527PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 528 529 530DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 531------------------------------ 532AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 533LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 534MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. AN ERRATIC 535EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY 536A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. 537 538MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 539KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 540FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A 541HURRICANE BY SATURDAY. 542 543TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 544FROM THE CENTER. 545 546ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. 547 548 549HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 550---------------------- 551WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST 552WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 553 554RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 5552 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 556MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 557 558STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5591 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 560THE WARNING AREA. 561 562 563NEXT ADVISORY 564------------- 565NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 566NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 567 568$$ 569FORECASTER BROWN 570 571 572WTNT35 KNHC 081745 573TCPAT5 574 575BULLETIN 576TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A 577NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 578100 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 579 580...NATE A LITTLE STRONGER...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT APPROACHING... 581 582 583SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 584---------------------------------------------- 585LOCATION...19.9N 92.4W 586ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 587ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 588MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 589PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 145 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H 590MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 591 592 593WATCHES AND WARNINGS 594-------------------- 595CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 596 597NONE. 598 599SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 600 601A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 602* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 603 604A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 605* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 606 607FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 608PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 609 610 611DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 612------------------------------ 613AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 614LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 615MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 1 MPH...2 KM/H. AN ERRATIC 616EASTWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY 617A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ON FRIDAY. 618 619MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 620KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 621FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A 622HURRICANE TOMORROW OR SATURDAY. 623 624TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 625FROM THE CENTER. 626 627ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 628 629 630HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 631---------------------- 632WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF 633MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 634 635RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6362 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 637MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 638 639STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 6401 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 641THE WARNING AREA. 642 643 644NEXT ADVISORY 645------------- 646NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 647 648$$ 649FORECASTER BROWN 650 651 652WTNT35 KNHC 082054 653TCPAT5 654 655BULLETIN 656TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5 657NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 658400 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 659 660...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS NATE STRONGER... 661 662 663SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 664---------------------------------------------- 665LOCATION...19.7N 92.3W 666ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 667ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 668MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H 669PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 160 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 670MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES 671 672 673WATCHES AND WARNINGS 674-------------------- 675CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 676 677NONE. 678 679SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 680 681A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 682* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 683 684A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 685* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 686 687FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 688PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 689 690 691DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 692------------------------------ 693AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 694LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST. NATE IS 695MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. VERY LITTLE 696MOTION IS FORECAST TONIGHT. A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH- 697NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ON FRIDAY. 698 699DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 700THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 701MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 702FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A 703HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. 704 705TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 706FROM THE CENTER. 707 708THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 709995 MB...29.38 INCHES. 710 711 712HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 713---------------------- 714WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF 715MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. 716 717RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 7182 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 719MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 720 721STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 7221 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 723THE WARNING AREA. 724 725 726NEXT ADVISORY 727------------- 728NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 729NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 730 731$$ 732FORECASTER BROWN 733 734 735WTNT35 KNHC 082337 736TCPAT5 737 738BULLETIN 739TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A 740NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 741700 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 742 743...NATE NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE... 744 745 746SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 747---------------------------------------------- 748LOCATION...19.7N 92.2W 749ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 750ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 751MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H 752PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 753MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 754 755 756WATCHES AND WARNINGS 757-------------------- 758CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 759 760NONE. 761 762SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 763 764A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 765* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 766 767A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 768* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 769 770FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 771PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 772 773 774DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 775------------------------------ 776AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 777LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST. NATE IS 778NEARLY STATIONARY AND VERY LITTLE MOTION IS FORECAST TONIGHT. A 779SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN 780ON FRIDAY. 781 782MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 783GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND NATE 784IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY FRIDAY. 785 786TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 787FROM THE CENTER. AN ELEVATED PEMEX OIL RIG IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE 788RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH GUSTS 789UP TO 86 MPH...138 KM/HR. 790 791THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM PEMEX OIL RIG DATA IS 792994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 793 794 795HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 796---------------------- 797WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF 798MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. 799 800RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8012 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES OVER THE 802MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 803 804STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 8051 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 806THE WARNING AREA. 807 808 809NEXT ADVISORY 810------------- 811NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 812 813$$ 814FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 815 816 817WTNT35 KNHC 090245 818TCPAT5 819 820BULLETIN 821TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6 822NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 8231000 PM CDT THU SEP 08 2011 824 825...NATE CAUSING HEAVY RAINS AND HIGH WINDS ON THE COAST OF MEXICO... 826 827 828SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 829----------------------------------------------- 830LOCATION...19.7N 92.2W 831ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 832ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 833MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H 834PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 835MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 836 837 838WATCHES AND WARNINGS 839-------------------- 840CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 841 842NONE. 843 844SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 845 846A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 847* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 848 849A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 850* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 851 852FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 853PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 854 855 856DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 857------------------------------ 858AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 859LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST. NATE IS 860STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A SLOW 861NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN 862ON FRIDAY. 863 864MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 865GUSTS. NATE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY...WITH 866FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. 867 868TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 869FROM THE CENTER. 870 871THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM PEMEX OIL RIGS IS 994 872MB...29.35 INCHES. 873 874 875HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 876---------------------- 877WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST OF 878MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. 879 880RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 8814 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 882MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 883 884STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 8851 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 886THE WARNING AREA. 887 888 889NEXT ADVISORY 890------------- 891NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 892NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 893 894$$ 895FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 896 897 898WTNT35 KNHC 090538 899TCPAT5 900 901BULLETIN 902TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A 903NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 904100 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 905 906...NATE MOVING LITTLE... 907 908 909SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 910---------------------------------------------- 911LOCATION...19.7N 92.2W 912ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 913ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 914MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H 915PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 916MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 917 918 919WATCHES AND WARNINGS 920-------------------- 921CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 922 923NONE. 924 925SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 926 927A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 928* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 929 930A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 931* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 932 933FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 934PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 935 936 937DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 938------------------------------ 939AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 940LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.2 WEST. NATE IS 941STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. A SLOW 942NORTHWARD TO NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST TO BEGIN 943LATER TODAY. 944 945MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 946GUSTS. NATE IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...WITH 947FURTHER STRENGTHENING EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY. 948 949TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 950FROM THE CENTER. 951 952THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 953 954 955HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 956---------------------- 957WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE 958COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 959 960RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 9614 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 962MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE...TABASCO...AND SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 963 964STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 9651 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 966THE WARNING AREA. 967 968 969NEXT ADVISORY 970------------- 971NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 972 973$$ 974FORECASTER FRANKLIN 975 976 977WTNT35 KNHC 090852 978TCPAT5 979 980BULLETIN 981TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7 982NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 983400 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 984 985...NATE WEAKENS SLIGHTLY...STILL NEARLY STATIONARY... 986 987 988SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 989---------------------------------------------- 990LOCATION...19.9N 92.3W 991ABOUT 115 MI...190 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 992ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 993MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H 994PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 995MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 996 997 998WATCHES AND WARNINGS 999-------------------- 1000CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1001 1002NONE. 1003 1004SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1005 1006A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1007* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 1008 1009A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1010* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 1011 1012ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WESTERN GULF 1013COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. 1014 1015FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1016PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1017 1018 1019DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1020------------------------------ 1021AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1022LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST. NATE HAS 1023BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST IS 1024EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A TURN TO THE 1025WEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. 1026 1027MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1028GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NATE HAS WEAKENED A LITTLE OVERNIGHT...CONDITIONS 1029APPEAR TO BE GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION...AND NATE IS 1030EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE EITHER TODAY OR TOMORROW. 1031 1032TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1033FROM THE CENTER. 1034 1035THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AND AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT 1036RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1037 1038 1039HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1040---------------------- 1041WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE 1042COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 1043 1044RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 10454 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1046MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO...AND OVER SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 1047 1048STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 10491 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 1050THE WARNING AREA. 1051 1052 1053NEXT ADVISORY 1054------------- 1055NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 1056NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1057 1058$$ 1059FORECASTER FRANKLIN 1060 1061 1062WTNT35 KNHC 091134 1063TCPAT5 1064 1065BULLETIN 1066TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A 1067NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1068700 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 1069 1070...NATE DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD... 1071 1072 1073SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 1074---------------------------------------------- 1075LOCATION...20.0N 92.4W 1076ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1077ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO 1078MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H 1079PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 1080MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1081 1082 1083WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1084-------------------- 1085CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1086 1087NONE. 1088 1089SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1090 1091A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1092* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 1093 1094A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1095* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 1096 1097ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE WESTERN GULF 1098COAST OF MEXICO LATER TODAY. 1099 1100FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1101PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1102 1103 1104DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1105------------------------------ 1106AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1107LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.4 WEST. NATE IS 1108DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H...AND A SLOW 1109NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR 1110SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED 1111BY SUNDAY. 1112 1113MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1114GUSTS. CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE GENERALLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME 1115INTENSIFICATION...AND NATE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER 1116TODAY OR TOMORROW. 1117 1118TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1119FROM THE CENTER. 1120 1121THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1122 1123 1124HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1125---------------------- 1126WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE 1127COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY. 1128 1129RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 11304 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1131MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO...AND OVER SOUTHERN VERACRUZ. 1132 1133STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 11341 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 1135THE WARNING AREA. 1136 1137 1138NEXT ADVISORY 1139------------- 1140NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1141 1142$$ 1143FORECASTER BRENNAN 1144 1145 1146WTNT35 KNHC 091433 1147TCPAT5 1148 1149BULLETIN 1150TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8 1151NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 11521000 AM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 1153 1154...NATE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FROM 1155TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ... 1156 1157 1158SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1159----------------------------------------------- 1160LOCATION...20.3N 92.6W 1161ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM WNW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1162ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM E OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1163MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H 1164PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H 1165MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1166 1167 1168WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1169-------------------- 1170CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1171 1172THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM TAMPICO 1173TO VERACRUZ. 1174 1175THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM 1176TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ AND FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 1177 1178SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1179 1180A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1181* MEXICO FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 1182 1183A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1184* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1185 1186A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1187* MEXICO FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO 1188* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 1189* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1190 1191A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1192WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1193BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1194WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1195DANGEROUS. 1196 1197A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1198POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1199 1200FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1201PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1202 1203 1204DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1205------------------------------ 1206AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1207LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.6 WEST. NATE IS 1208MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 1209WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN 1210FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE 1211FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF 1212MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY. 1213 1214MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1215GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 1216AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY. 1217 1218TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1219FROM THE CENTER. 1220 1221ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1222 1223 1224HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1225---------------------- 1226WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE 1227COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN 1228TODAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH 1229AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY 1230EARLY SUNDAY. 1231 1232RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 12334 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1234MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO. 1235 1236STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 12371 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN 1238THE WARNING AREA. 1239 1240 1241NEXT ADVISORY 1242------------- 1243NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 1244NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1245 1246$$ 1247FORECASTER BRENNAN 1248 1249 1250WTNT35 KNHC 091750 1251TCPAT5 1252 1253BULLETIN 1254TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A 1255NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1256100 PM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 1257 1258...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS NATE WEAKER AND DRIFTING 1259WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD... 1260 1261 1262SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 1263---------------------------------------------- 1264LOCATION...20.0N 92.8W 1265ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO 1266ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1267MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1268PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H 1269MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES 1270 1271 1272WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1273-------------------- 1274CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1275 1276THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 1277FROM CHILITEPEC TO CELESTUN AND DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 1278WATCH FROM CELESTUN TO PROGRESO. 1279 1280SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1281 1282A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1283* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1284 1285A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1286* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 1287* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1288 1289A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1290WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1291BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1292WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1293DANGEROUS. 1294 1295A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1296POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1297 1298FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1299PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1300 1301 1302DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1303------------------------------ 1304AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1305LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 1306LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST. NATE HAS BEEN DRIFTING 1307TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H OVER THE PAST FEW 1308HOURS. A SLOW WESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO 1309RESUME THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD 1310SPEED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 1311CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE 1312WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY. 1313 1314PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 1315WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 1316SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NATE 1317COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY. 1318 1319TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1320FROM THE CENTER. 1321 1322THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT 1323IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. 1324 1325 1326HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1327---------------------- 1328WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH 1329AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY 1330EARLY SUNDAY. 1331 1332RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 13334 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1334MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND TABASCO. 1335 1336STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN 1337PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS NATE 1338MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. 1339 1340 1341NEXT ADVISORY 1342------------- 1343NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1344 1345$$ 1346FORECASTER BRENNAN 1347 1348 1349WTNT35 KNHC 092036 1350TCPAT5 1351 1352BULLETIN 1353TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9 1354NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1355400 PM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 1356 1357...NATE STATIONARY AGAIN...EXPECTED TO MOVE WESTWARD TOWARD THE 1358SOUTHWEST GULF COAST OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND... 1359 1360 1361SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1362---------------------------------------------- 1363LOCATION...20.0N 92.8W 1364ABOUT 230 MI...365 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1365ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1366MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1367PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 1368MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1369 1370 1371WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1372-------------------- 1373CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1374 1375NONE 1376 1377SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1378 1379A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1380* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1381 1382A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1383* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 1384* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1385 1386A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1387WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1388BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1389WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1390DANGEROUS. 1391 1392A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1393POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1394 1395FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1396PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1397 1398 1399DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1400------------------------------ 1401AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1402LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 1403LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST. NATE HAS BEEN NEARLY 1404STATIONARY FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A SLOW WESTWARD MOTION IS 1405EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1406ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST 1407IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY. 1408 1409DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 1410NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS 1411FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND NATE COULD BECOME A 1412HURRICANE BY SUNDAY. 1413 1414TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1415FROM THE CENTER. 1416 1417THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 998 1418MB...29.47 INCHES. 1419 1420 1421HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1422---------------------- 1423WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH 1424AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY 1425EARLY SUNDAY. 1426 1427RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 14284 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1429MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 14302 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND 1431TABASCO. 1432 1433STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN 1434PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS NATE 1435MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA. 1436 1437 1438NEXT ADVISORY 1439------------- 1440NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 1441NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1442 1443$$ 1444FORECASTER BRENNAN 1445 1446 1447WTNT35 KNHC 092339 1448TCPAT5 1449 1450BULLETIN 1451TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A 1452NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1453700 PM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 1454 1455...LITTLE CHANGE WITH NATE... 1456 1457 1458SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1459---------------------------------------------- 1460LOCATION...20.1N 92.9W 1461ABOUT 225 MI...360 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1462ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1463MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1464PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 1465MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1466 1467 1468WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1469-------------------- 1470CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1471 1472NONE 1473 1474SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1475 1476A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1477* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1478 1479A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1480* MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 1481* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1482 1483A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1484WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1485BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1486WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1487DANGEROUS. 1488 1489A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1490POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1491 1492FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1493PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1494 1495 1496DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1497------------------------------ 1498AT 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1499LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.9 WEST. NATE HAS 1500BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT A SLOW 1501WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE 1502NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE 1503WILL APPROACH THE COAST IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY. 1504 1505MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1506GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 1507AND NATE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY. 1508 1509TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1510FROM THE CENTER. 1511 1512THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1513 1514 1515HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1516---------------------- 1517WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH 1518AREA BY LATE SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE BY 1519EARLY SUNDAY. 1520 1521RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 15224 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1523MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 15242 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATES OF CAMPECHE AND 1525TABASCO. 1526 1527STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN 1528PENINSULA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT AS NATE MOVES AWAY 1529FROM THE AREA. 1530 1531 1532NEXT ADVISORY 1533------------- 1534NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 1535 1536$$ 1537FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN 1538 1539 1540WTNT35 KNHC 100250 1541TCPAT5 1542 1543BULLETIN 1544TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10 1545NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 15461000 PM CDT FRI SEP 09 2011 1547 1548...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR MEXICO... 1549 1550 1551SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1552----------------------------------------------- 1553LOCATION...20.1N 93.2W 1554ABOUT 205 MI...330 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1555ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1556MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1557PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 1558MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1559 1560 1561WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1562-------------------- 1563CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1564 1565THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 1566COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO SOUTHWARD TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 1567 1568SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1569 1570A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1571* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1572 1573A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1574* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 1575 1576A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1577* MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1578 1579A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1580WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1581 1582A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1583EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1584 1585A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1586POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1587 1588FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1589PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1590 1591 1592DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1593------------------------------ 1594AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1595LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.2 WEST. NATE IS 1596MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION 1597WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. 1598ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL APPROACH THE COAST 1599IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA ON SUNDAY. 1600 1601MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1602GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36-48 1603HOURS...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES 1604THE COAST OF MEXICO. 1605 1606TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1607FROM THE CENTER. 1608 1609ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1610 1611 1612HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1613---------------------- 1614WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 1615AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE 1616HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 1617 1618RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 16194 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1620MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 16212 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE. 1622 1623STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 1624TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 1625AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 1626COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 1627 1628 1629NEXT ADVISORY 1630------------- 1631NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 1632NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1633 1634$$ 1635FORECASTER BLAKE/BEVEN 1636 1637 1638WTNT35 KNHC 100537 1639TCPAT5 1640 1641BULLETIN 1642TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A 1643NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1644100 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 1645 1646...NATE MOVING WESTWARD AT A FASTER PACE... 1647 1648 1649SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 1650---------------------------------------------- 1651LOCATION...20.0N 93.5W 1652ABOUT 185 MI...300 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1653ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1654MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1655PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H 1656MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 1657 1658 1659WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1660-------------------- 1661CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1662 1663NONE. 1664 1665SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1666 1667A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1668* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1669 1670A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1671* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 1672 1673A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1674* MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1675 1676A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1677WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1678 1679A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1680EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1681 1682A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1683POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1684 1685FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1686PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1687 1688 1689DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1690------------------------------ 1691AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1692LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST. NATE IS 1693MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION 1694WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY 1695OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE 1696COAST IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. 1697 1698MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1699GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36-48 1700HOURS...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES 1701THE COAST OF MEXICO. 1702 1703TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1704FROM THE CENTER. 1705 1706ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 1707 1708 1709HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1710---------------------- 1711WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 1712AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE 1713HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 1714 1715RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 17164 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1717MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 17182 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF CAMPECHE. 1719 1720STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 1721TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 1722AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 1723COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 1724 1725 1726NEXT ADVISORY 1727------------- 1728NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 1729 1730$$ 1731FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA 1732 1733 1734WTNT35 KNHC 100844 1735TCPAT5 1736 1737BULLETIN 1738TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11 1739NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1740400 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 1741 1742...HURRICANE HUNTER DATA INDICATE THAT NATE HAS NOT STRENGTHENED... 1743 1744 1745SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1746---------------------------------------------- 1747LOCATION...20.0N 93.7W 1748ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1749ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1750MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1751PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 1752MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1753 1754 1755WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1756-------------------- 1757CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1758 1759NONE. 1760 1761SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1762 1763A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1764* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1765 1766A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1767* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 1768 1769A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1770* MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1771 1772FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1773PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1774 1775 1776DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1777------------------------------ 1778AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1779LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.7 WEST. NATE IS 1780MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION 1781WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY 1782OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE 1783COAST IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. 1784 1785MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1786GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 1787SO...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES 1788THE COAST OF MEXICO. 1789 1790TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1791FROM THE CENTER. 1792 1793ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1794 1795 1796HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1797---------------------- 1798WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 1799AREA BY SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE 1800POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 1801 1802RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 18034 TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1804MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1805ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE 1806OF CAMPECHE. 1807 1808STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 1809TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 1810AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 1811COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 1812 1813 1814NEXT ADVISORY 1815------------- 1816NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT. 1817NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1818 1819$$ 1820FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/AVILA 1821 1822 1823WTNT35 KNHC 101148 1824TCPAT5 1825 1826BULLETIN 1827TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A 1828NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 1829700 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 1830 1831...NATE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE GULF OF 1832MEXICO... 1833 1834 1835SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 1836---------------------------------------------- 1837LOCATION...20.0N 94.0W 1838ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1839ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1840MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1841PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 1842MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1843 1844 1845WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1846-------------------- 1847CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1848 1849NONE. 1850 1851SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1852 1853A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1854* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1855 1856A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1857* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 1858 1859A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1860* MEXICO FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ 1861 1862FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1863PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1864 1865 1866DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1867------------------------------ 1868AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1869LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST. NATE IS 1870MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION 1871WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY 1872OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE 1873COAST IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. 1874 1875MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1876GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 1877SO...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES 1878THE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY. 1879 1880TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1881FROM THE CENTER. 1882 1883ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1884 1885 1886HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1887---------------------- 1888WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 1889AREA BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1890WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 1891 1892RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 1893TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1894MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL 1895ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE MEXICAN STATE 1896OF CAMPECHE. 1897 1898STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 1899TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 1900AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 1901COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 1902 1903 1904NEXT ADVISORY 1905------------- 1906NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT. 1907 1908$$ 1909FORECASTER BRENNAN 1910 1911 1912WTNT35 KNHC 101431 1913TCPAT5 1914 1915BULLETIN 1916TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12 1917NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 19181000 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 1919 1920...NATE MOVING WESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF THE GULF OF 1921MEXICO... 1922 1923 1924SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1925----------------------------------------------- 1926LOCATION...20.0N 94.2W 1927ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 1928ABOUT 220 MI...350 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 1929MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 1930PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 1931MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1932 1933 1934WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1935-------------------- 1936CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1937 1938THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH 1939FROM NORTH OF TAMPICO TO LA CRUZ. 1940 1941SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1942 1943A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1944* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 1945 1946A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1947* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 1948 1949FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1950PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1951 1952 1953DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1954------------------------------ 1955AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 1956LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST. NATE IS 1957MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL 1958MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE 1959FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO 1960IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. 1961 1962MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1963GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 1964SO...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES 1965THE COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY. 1966 1967TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1968FROM THE CENTER. 1969 1970ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1971 1972 1973HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1974---------------------- 1975WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 1976AREA BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1977WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 1978 1979RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 1980TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 1981MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. 1982 1983STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 1984TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 1985AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 1986COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 1987 1988 1989NEXT ADVISORY 1990------------- 1991NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. 1992NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 1993 1994$$ 1995FORECASTER BRENNAN 1996 1997 1998WTNT35 KNHC 101746 1999TCPAT5 2000 2001BULLETIN 2002TROPICAL STORM NATE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A 2003NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 2004100 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 2005 2006...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS NATE STRONGER AND MOVING SLOWLY 2007WESTWARD... 2008 2009 2010SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 2011---------------------------------------------- 2012LOCATION...20.1N 94.2W 2013ABOUT 145 MI...230 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 2014ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 2015MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H 2016PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H 2017MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 2018 2019 2020WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2021-------------------- 2022CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2023 2024NONE. 2025 2026SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2027 2028A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2029* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO VERACRUZ 2030 2031A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2032* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 2033 2034FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2035PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2036 2037 2038DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2039------------------------------ 2040AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 2041LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 2042LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.2 WEST. NATE HAS BEEN MOVING 2043SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. 2044A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 2045OF DAYS...AND ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF NATE WILL REACH 2046THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE WARNING AREA ON SUNDAY. 2047 2048PRELIMINARY DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 2049WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 2050SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 2051SO...AND NATE COULD BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES THE 2052COAST OF MEXICO ON SUNDAY. 2053 2054TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 2055FROM THE CENTER. 2056 2057THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT 2058IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 2059 2060 2061HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2062---------------------- 2063WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING 2064AREA BY TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 2065WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 2066 2067RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 2068TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 2069MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. 2070 2071STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 2072TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 2073AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 2074COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 2075 2076 2077NEXT ADVISORY 2078------------- 2079NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. 2080 2081$$ 2082FORECASTER BRENNAN 2083 2084 2085WTNT35 KNHC 102039 2086TCPAT5 2087 2088BULLETIN 2089TROPICAL STORM NATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13 2090NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152011 2091400 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2011 2092 2093...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ MEXICO... 2094PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO 2095COMPLETION... 2096 2097 2098SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 2099---------------------------------------------- 2100LOCATION...20.1N 94.6W 2101ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO 2102ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO 2103MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H 2104PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 2105MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES 2106 2107 2108WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2109-------------------- 2110CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2111 2112THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FROM TUXPAN 2113TO VERACRUZ. 2114 2115THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FROM SOUTH OF 2116VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO. 2117 2118SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2119 2120A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2121* MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO VERACRUZ 2122 2123A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2124* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN 2125* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 2126 2127A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2128* MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO NORTH OF TUXPAN 2129* MEXICO FROM SOUTH OF VERACRUZ TO PUNTA EL LAGARTO 2130 2131A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 2132SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 2133HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED 2134TO COMPLETION. 2135 2136A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 2137WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 2138 2139FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2140PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2141 2142 2143DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2144------------------------------ 2145AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NATE WAS 2146LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 2147LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.6 WEST. NATE IS MOVING TOWARD 2148THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO 2149CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER 2150OF NATE WILL REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING 2151AREA ON SUNDAY. 2152 2153DATA FROM THE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE 2154INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME 2155ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND 2156NATE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR HURRICANE INTENSITY WHEN IT MAKES 2157LANDFALL ON SUNDAY. 2158 2159TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 2160FROM THE CENTER. 2161 2162THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIRCRAFT WAS 999 2163MB...29.50 INCHES. 2164 2165 2166HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2167---------------------- 2168WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 2169HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY...WITH 2170HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 2171 2172RAINFALL...NATE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 2173TO 6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES OVER THE 2174MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ AND TABASCO. 2175 2176STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 2 2177TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR 2178AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE 2179COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. 2180 2181 2182NEXT ADVISORY 2183------------- 2184NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. 2185NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. 2186 2187$$ 2188FORECASTER BRENNAN 2189 2190 2191