1WTNT33 KNHC 212035 2TCPAT3 3 4BULLETIN 5TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 2 6NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 7500 PM AST MON OCT 21 2013 8 9...TWELFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS... 10 11 12SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 13---------------------------------------------- 14LOCATION...28.9N 54.9W 15ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF BERMUDA 16MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 17PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H 18MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 19 20 21WATCHES AND WARNINGS 22-------------------- 23THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 24 25 26DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 27------------------------------ 28AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 29LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.9 WEST. LORENZO IS 30MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A TURN 31TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN 32TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST ON TUESDAY. 33 34MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H... 35WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING 36THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH WEAKENING LIKELY BY WEDNESDAY. 37 38TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM 39FROM THE CENTER. 40 41THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 42 43 44HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 45---------------------- 46NONE 47 48 49NEXT ADVISORY 50------------- 51NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 52 53$$ 54FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 55 56 57WTNT33 KNHC 220232 58TCPAT3 59 60BULLETIN 61TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 3 62NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 631100 PM AST MON OCT 21 2013 64 65...LORENZO MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... 66 67 68SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 69----------------------------------------------- 70LOCATION...29.3N 53.8W 71ABOUT 685 MI...1100 KM ESE OF BERMUDA 72MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 73PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H 74MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 75 76 77WATCHES AND WARNINGS 78-------------------- 79THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 80 81 82DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 83------------------------------ 84AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 85LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.8 WEST. LORENZO IS 86MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. AN EAST- 87NORTHEASTWARD TO EASTWARD MOTION WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SPEED IS 88EXPECTED ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. 89 90MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 91GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 92HOURS. 93 94TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 95TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 96 97THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 98 99 100HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 101---------------------- 102NONE 103 104 105NEXT ADVISORY 106------------- 107NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 108 109$$ 110FORECASTER BERG 111 112 113WTNT33 KNHC 220832 114TCPAT3 115 116BULLETIN 117TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 4 118NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 119500 AM AST TUE OCT 22 2013 120 121...LORENZO TURNS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... 122 123 124SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 125---------------------------------------------- 126LOCATION...29.5N 53.0W 127ABOUT 725 MI...1165 KM ESE OF BERMUDA 128MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 129PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H 130MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 131 132 133WATCHES AND WARNINGS 134-------------------- 135THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 136 137 138DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 139------------------------------ 140AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 141LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.0 WEST. LORENZO IS 142MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. AN EASTWARD 143TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY... 144FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST BY EARLY THURSDAY. 145 146MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 147GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 148HOURS. 149 150TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 151FROM THE CENTER. 152 153THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 154 155 156HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 157---------------------- 158NONE. 159 160 161NEXT ADVISORY 162------------- 163NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 164 165$$ 166FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 167 168 169WTNT33 KNHC 221434 170TCPAT3 171 172BULLETIN 173TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 5 174NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 1751100 AM AST TUE OCT 22 2013 176 177...LORENZO A LITTLE STRONGER... 178...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN BY WEDNESDAY... 179 180 181SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 182----------------------------------------------- 183LOCATION...29.5N 52.0W 184ABOUT 785 MI...1260 KM E OF BERMUDA 185MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 186PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H 187MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 188 189 190WATCHES AND WARNINGS 191-------------------- 192THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 193 194 195DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 196------------------------------ 197AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 198LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST. LORENZO IS 199MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. THIS GENERAL 200MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY...WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 201EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. 202 203MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H... 204WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY... 205BUT WEAKENING IS FORECAST BY WEDNESDAY. 206 207TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 208FROM THE CENTER. 209 210THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 211 212 213HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 214---------------------- 215NONE. 216 217 218NEXT ADVISORY 219------------- 220NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 221 222$$ 223FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 224 225 226WTNT33 KNHC 222035 227TCPAT3 228 229BULLETIN 230TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 6 231NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 232500 PM AST TUE OCT 22 2013 233 234...LORENZO TURNS EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... 235...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON... 236 237 238SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 239---------------------------------------------- 240LOCATION...29.4N 51.2W 241ABOUT 830 MI...1335 KM E OF BERMUDA 242MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 243PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H 244MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 245 246 247WATCHES AND WARNINGS 248-------------------- 249THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 250 251 252DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 253------------------------------ 254AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 255LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST. LORENZO IS 256MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. LORENZO IS MOVING 257TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION 258AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. A TURN 259TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 260BY THURSDAY. 261 262MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 263GUSTS. WEAKENING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND LORENZO IS 264EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY. 265 266TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 267FROM THE CENTER. 268 269THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 270 271 272HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 273---------------------- 274NONE. 275 276 277NEXT ADVISORY 278------------- 279NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 280 281$$ 282FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 283 284 285WTNT33 KNHC 230239 286TCPAT3 287 288BULLETIN 289TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 7 290NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 2911100 PM AST TUE OCT 22 2013 292 293...LORENZO MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... 294...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN ON WEDNESDAY... 295 296 297SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 298----------------------------------------------- 299LOCATION...29.6N 50.0W 300ABOUT 895 MI...1440 KM E OF BERMUDA 301MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 302PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H 303MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 304 305 306WATCHES AND WARNINGS 307-------------------- 308THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 309 310 311DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 312------------------------------ 313AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 314LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.0 WEST. LORENZO IS 315MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 316EAST-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 317ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY AN INCREASE IN SPEED ON THURSDAY. 318 319MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 320GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND LORENZO COULD BECOME A REMNANT 321LOW ON THURSDAY. 322 323TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 324FROM THE CENTER. 325 326THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 327 328 329HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 330---------------------- 331NONE. 332 333 334NEXT ADVISORY 335------------- 336NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 337 338$$ 339FORECASTER BERG 340 341 342WTNT33 KNHC 230831 343TCPAT3 344 345BULLETIN 346TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 8 347NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 348500 AM AST WED OCT 23 2013 349 350...LORENZO MAINTAINING STRENGTH BUT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN LATER 351TODAY... 352 353 354SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 355---------------------------------------------- 356LOCATION...29.6N 49.2W 357ABOUT 940 MI...1515 KM E OF BERMUDA 358MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 359PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H 360MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 361 362 363WATCHES AND WARNINGS 364-------------------- 365THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 366 367 368DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 369------------------------------ 370AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 371LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.2 WEST. LORENZO IS 372MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST 373IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 374 375MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 376GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 377LORENZO COULD DEGENERATE TO A REMNANT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BY 378THURSDAY NIGHT. 379 380TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 381FROM THE CENTER. 382 383THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 384 385 386HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 387---------------------- 388NONE. 389 390 391NEXT ADVISORY 392------------- 393NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 394 395$$ 396FORECASTER FRANKLIN 397 398 399WTNT33 KNHC 231442 400TCPAT3 401 402BULLETIN 403TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 9 404NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 4051100 AM AST WED OCT 23 2013 406 407...LORENZO WEAKENS... 408 409 410SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 411----------------------------------------------- 412LOCATION...29.5N 49.0W 413ABOUT 955 MI...1540 KM E OF BERMUDA 414MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 415PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 416MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 417 418 419WATCHES AND WARNINGS 420-------------------- 421THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 422 423 424DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 425------------------------------ 426AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 427LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.0 WEST. LORENZO IS 428MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 429EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE 430NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. 431 432MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 433KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING 434THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND LORENZO IS LIKELY TO DEGENERATE TO A 435REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. 436 437TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 438FROM THE CENTER. 439 440THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 441 442 443HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 444---------------------- 445NONE. 446 447 448NEXT ADVISORY 449------------- 450NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 451 452$$ 453FORECASTER PASCH 454 455 456WTNT33 KNHC 232034 457TCPAT3 458 459BULLETIN 460TROPICAL STORM LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 10 461NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 462500 PM AST WED OCT 23 2013 463 464...LORENZO MOVING SLOWLY EASTWARD... 465...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN... 466 467 468SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 469---------------------------------------------- 470LOCATION...29.3N 48.7W 471ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM E OF BERMUDA 472MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 473PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 100 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 474MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 475 476 477WATCHES AND WARNINGS 478-------------------- 479THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 480 481 482DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 483------------------------------ 484AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS 485LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.7 WEST. LORENZO IS 486MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 487NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY 488THURSDAY. 489 490MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 491GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND LORENZO 492IS LIKELY TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW BY FRIDAY. 493 494TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 495FROM THE CENTER. 496 497THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 498 499 500HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 501---------------------- 502NONE. 503 504 505NEXT ADVISORY 506------------- 507NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 508 509$$ 510FORECASTER PASCH 511 512 513WTNT33 KNHC 240238 514TCPAT3 515 516BULLETIN 517TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 11 518NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 5191100 PM AST WED OCT 23 2013 520 521...LORENZO WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION... 522...SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY... 523 524 525SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 526----------------------------------------------- 527LOCATION...29.5N 48.2W 528ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF BERMUDA 529MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 530PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 85 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 531MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 532 533 534WATCHES AND WARNINGS 535-------------------- 536THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 537 538 539DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 540------------------------------ 541AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 542LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.2 WEST. 543LORENZO IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN 544TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST ON THURSDAY WITH A GRADUAL 545INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. 546 547MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H... 548WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND LORENZO 549COULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW ON THURSDAY. 550 551THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 552 553 554HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 555---------------------- 556NONE. 557 558 559NEXT ADVISORY 560------------- 561NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 562 563$$ 564FORECASTER BERG 565 566 567WTNT33 KNHC 240832 568TCPAT3 569 570BULLETIN 571TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO ADVISORY NUMBER 12 572NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132013 573500 AM AST THU OCT 24 2013 574 575...LORENZO BARELY A TROPICAL CYCLONE... 576 577 578SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 579---------------------------------------------- 580LOCATION...29.8N 47.8W 581ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM E OF BERMUDA 582MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H 583PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 584MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES 585 586 587WATCHES AND WARNINGS 588-------------------- 589THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 590 591 592DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 593------------------------------ 594AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LORENZO 595WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.8 WEST. THE 596DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. 597A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR LATER TODAY WITH A 598GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. 599 600MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 601GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND LORENZO COULD BECOME A REMNANT 602BY TONIGHT. 603 604THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. 605 606 607HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 608---------------------- 609NONE. 610 611 612NEXT ADVISORY 613------------- 614NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 615 616$$ 617FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 618 619 620