1WTNT24 KNHC 070850 2TCMAT4 3 4TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 5NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 60900 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 7 8CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 9 10THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS UPGRADED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM 11TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 12 13SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 14 15A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 16* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH 17* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE 18 19A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 20EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 21HOURS. 22 23INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST SHOULD 24MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. 25 26TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.9W AT 07/0900Z 27POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM 28 29PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 3 KT 30 31ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB 32MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 33WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 34MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 35 36REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 86.9W AT 07/0900Z 37AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 87.0W 38 39FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 19.4N 86.7W 40MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 4134 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 42 43FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.8N 86.4W 44MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 4534 KT...110NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 46 47FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 22.3N 86.6W 48MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 4950 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 5034 KT...130NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. 51 52FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.9N 87.1W 53MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 5450 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 5534 KT...130NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. 56 57FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.6N 87.3W 58MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 5950 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 6034 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 80NW. 61 62EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 63ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 64 65OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 32.0N 84.0W...INLAND 66MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 67 68OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 37.0N 76.0W...NEAR THE VA COAST 69MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 70 71REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 86.9W 72 73NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z 74 75$$ 76FORECASTER BERG 77 78 79 80 81------------=_1538902265-25255-1244 82Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 83Content-Disposition: inline 84Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 85 86= = = == = = 87WTNT24 KNHC 071452 88TCMAT4 89 90TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 91NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 921500 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 93 94CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 95 96NONE 97 98SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 99 100A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 101* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH 102* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE 103 104A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 105EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 106HOURS. 107 108INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST SHOULD 109MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION. 110 111TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 86.9W AT 07/1500Z 112POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM 113 114PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT 115 116ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB 117MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. 118WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 119MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 120 121REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 86.9W AT 07/1500Z 122AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 86.9W 123 124FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 20.0N 86.5W 125MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 12634 KT... 70NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 127 128FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.5N 86.5W 129MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 13034 KT...110NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 131 132FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 23.2N 86.8W 133MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 13450 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 20NW. 13534 KT...130NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. 136 137FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.9N 87.2W 138MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 13950 KT... 60NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 14034 KT...130NE 120SE 50SW 100NW. 141 142FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N 86.5W 143MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 14450 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 14534 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 80NW. 146 147EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 148ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 149 150OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 33.0N 82.5W...INLAND 151MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 152 153OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 37.8N 73.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 154MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 155 156REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 86.9W 157 158NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/2100Z 159 160$$ 161FORECASTER BROWN 162 163 164 165 166------------=_1538923988-25255-1331 167Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 168Content-Disposition: inline 169Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 170 171= = = == = = 172WTNT24 KNHC 072058 173TCMAT4 174 175TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5 176NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 1772100 UTC SUN OCT 07 2018 178 179CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 180 181NONE. 182 183SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 184 185A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 186* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH 187* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE... INCLUDING 188COZUMEL 189 190A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 191EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 19224 HOURS. 193 194INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST SHOULD 195MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 196 197TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 85.5W AT 07/2100Z 198POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 199 200PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 KT 201 202ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB 203MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 20434 KT.......120NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 20512 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 206WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 207MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 208 209REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 85.5W AT 07/2100Z 210AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 86.0W 211 212FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 20.1N 85.6W 213MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 21450 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 21534 KT...120NE 180SE 0SW 40NW. 216 217FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.5N 85.8W 218MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 21950 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 20NW. 22034 KT...120NE 150SE 30SW 50NW. 221 222FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.2N 86.2W 223MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 22464 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 20NW. 22550 KT... 60NE 60SE 20SW 40NW. 22634 KT...140NE 140SE 40SW 80NW. 227 228FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.0N 86.7W 229MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 23064 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 23150 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 23234 KT...130NE 130SE 60SW 100NW. 233 234FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.2N 85.7W 235MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 23650 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 23734 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 80NW. 238 239EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 240ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 241 242OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 33.7N 80.4W...INLAND 243MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 244 245OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 39.0N 68.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 246MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 247 248REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.2N 85.5W 249 250NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z 251 252$$ 253FORECASTER BROWN 254 255 256 257 258------------=_1538945921-25255-1472 259Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 260Content-Disposition: inline 261Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 262 263= = = == = = 264WTNT24 KNHC 080256 265TCMAT4 266 267TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 268NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 2690300 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 270 271CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 272 273NONE. 274 275SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 276 277A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 278* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH 279* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE... INCLUDING 280COZUMEL 281 282A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 283EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN 284THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 285 286INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST SHOULD 287MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE 288REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA ON MONDAY. 289 290TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 85.4W AT 08/0300Z 291POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM 292 293PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 5 DEGREES AT 4 KT 294 295ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB 296MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 29750 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 29834 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. 29912 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 300WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 301MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 302 303REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 85.4W AT 08/0300Z 304AT 08/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N 85.4W 305 306FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 21.1N 85.3W 307MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 30850 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW. 30934 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. 310 311FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.7N 85.6W 312MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 31364 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 31450 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 31534 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. 316 317FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.4N 86.0W 318MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 31964 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 32050 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 0NW. 32134 KT...130NE 130SE 80SW 90NW. 322 323FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.3N 86.1W 324MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 32564 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 25NW. 32650 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 32734 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 90NW. 328 329FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.4N 84.5W...INLAND ERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE 330MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 33150 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 33234 KT...130NE 130SE 70SW 80NW. 333 334EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 335ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 336 337OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 34.9N 78.4W...INLAND 338MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 339 340OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 40.7N 64.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP OVER WATER 341MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 342 343REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 85.4W 344 345NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0900Z 346 347$$ 348FORECASTER STEWART 349 350 351 352 353------------=_1538967377-25255-1585 354Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 355Content-Disposition: inline 356Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 357 358= = = == = = 359WTNT24 KNHC 080855 360TCMAT4 361 362TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7 363NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 3640900 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 365 366CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 367 368THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE 369PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. 370 371A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NAVARRE FLORIDA TO ANNA 372MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. 373 374A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER 375EASTWARD TO THE SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA. 376 377A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER TO 378ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM 379WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE 380MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER. 381 382SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 383 384A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 385* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO 386 387A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 388* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH 389* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE... INCLUDING 390COZUMEL 391 392A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 393* NAVARRE FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA 394BAY 395 396A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 397* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA 398 399A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 400* SUWANEE RIVER TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 401* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER 402 403A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 404SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 405HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED 406TO COMPLETION. 407 408A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 409THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 410COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 411FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 412SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT 413HURRICANES.GOV. 414 415A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 416WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 417BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 418WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 419DANGEROUS. 420 421A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 422POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 423 424INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 425MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 426 427TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 85.5W AT 08/0900Z 428POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 429 430PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 6 KT 431 432ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB 433MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 43450 KT....... 80NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. 43534 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 100NW. 43612 FT SEAS..135NE 120SE 30SW 60NW. 437WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 438MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 439 440REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 85.5W AT 08/0900Z 441AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 85.5W 442 443FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 21.7N 85.6W 444MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 44564 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 44650 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 30NW. 44734 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. 448 449FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.5N 86.1W 450MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 45164 KT... 30NE 30SE 15SW 15NW. 45250 KT... 80NE 80SE 30SW 30NW. 45334 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. 454 455FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.2N 86.7W 456MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 45764 KT... 35NE 30SE 15SW 20NW. 45850 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 40NW. 45934 KT...140NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 460 461FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.2N 86.7W 462MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 46364 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 46450 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 46534 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. 466 467FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.2N 84.5W...INLAND 468MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 46950 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 47034 KT... 90NE 100SE 60SW 50NW. 471 472EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 473ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 474 475OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 35.5N 77.5W...INLAND 476MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 477 478OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 40.5N 64.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 479MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 480 481REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 85.5W 482 483NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z 484 485$$ 486FORECASTER BERG 487 488 489 490 491------------=_1538988913-25255-1687 492Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 493Content-Disposition: inline 494Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 495 496= = = == = = 497WTNT24 KNHC 081437 498TCMAT4 499 500HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 501NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 5021500 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 503 504CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 505 506NONE 507 508SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 509 510A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 511* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO 512 513A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 514* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH 515* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE... INCLUDING 516COZUMEL 517 518A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 519* NAVARRE FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA 520BAY 521 522A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 523* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 524 525A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 526* SUWANNEE RIVER TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 527* ALABAMA-FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER 528 529A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 530SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 531 532A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 533EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING. 534 535A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 536THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 537COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 538FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 539SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT 540HURRICANES.GOV. 541 542A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 543WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 544BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 545WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 546DANGEROUS. 547 548A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 549POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA... GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 550 551INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 552MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 553 554HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 84.9W AT 08/1500Z 555POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 556 557PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 10 DEGREES AT 6 KT 558 559ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 982 MB 560MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 56164 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 56250 KT....... 70NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. 56334 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. 56412 FT SEAS..135NE 135SE 60SW 120NW. 565WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 566MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 567 568REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.2N 84.9W AT 08/1500Z 569AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 85.1W 570 571FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 22.6N 85.3W 572MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 57364 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 57450 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 57534 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 100NW. 576 577FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.4N 85.9W 578MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 57964 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 58050 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 58134 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 582 583FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.4N 86.4W 584MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 58564 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 58650 KT... 70NE 70SE 30SW 40NW. 58734 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 588 589FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.6N 86.1W 590MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 59164 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 59250 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 40NW. 59334 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 100NW. 594 595FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.0N 82.5W...INLAND 596MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 59734 KT... 90NE 140SE 60SW 50NW. 598 599EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 600ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 601 602OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 37.8N 73.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 603MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 604 605OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 42.8N 59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 606MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 607 608REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.2N 84.9W 609 610NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z 611 612$$ 613FORECASTER BROWN 614 615 616 617 618------------=_1539009435-25255-1828 619Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 620Content-Disposition: inline 621Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 622 623= = = == = = 624WTNT24 KNHC 082039 625TCMAT4 626 627HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9 628NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 6292100 UTC MON OCT 08 2018 630 631CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 632 633A STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA 634FROM THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO ANCLOTE RIVER. 635 636THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED WEST OF NAVARRE FLORIDA TO 637THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER. 638 639A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA 640FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO SUWANNEE RIVER. 641 642A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER 643WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER. 644 645A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA 646BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER AND FROM SUWANNEE 647RIVER FLORIDA SOUTHWARD TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA. 648 649A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA 650BORDER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER. 651 652SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 653 654A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 655* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 656 657A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 658* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING 659TAMPA BAY 660* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA 661 662A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 663* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 664* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO 665 666A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 667* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 668 669A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 670* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 671* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 672* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH 673* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE...INCLUDING 674COZUMEL 675 676A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 677* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 678* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 679 680A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 681INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 682DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 683OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE 684WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS A 685LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 686SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 687RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 688PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 689OFFICIALS. 690 691A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 692SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 69336 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF 694TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE 695PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE 696AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 697 698A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 699EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 700 701A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 702THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 703COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 704 705A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 706WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 707BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 708WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 709DANGEROUS. 710 711A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 712POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 713 714INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 715MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 716 717HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 85.2W AT 08/2100Z 718POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 719 720PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 8 KT 721 722ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB 723MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 72464 KT....... 30NE 0SE 0SW 25NW. 72550 KT....... 60NE 50SE 20SW 50NW. 72634 KT.......120NE 150SE 80SW 90NW. 72712 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 60SW 240NW. 728WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 729MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 730 731REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 85.2W AT 08/2100Z 732AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.7N 85.1W 733 734FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 23.7N 85.7W 735MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 73664 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 73750 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 73834 KT...130NE 150SE 90SW 100NW. 739 740FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.7N 86.4W 741MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 74264 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 74350 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 74434 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 110NW. 745 746FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.9N 86.6W 747MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 74864 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 74950 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 75034 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 120NW. 751 752FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 30.2N 85.8W...NEAR THE COAST 753MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 75464 KT... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 75550 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 75634 KT...100NE 140SE 90SW 100NW. 757 758FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.5N 80.5W...INLAND 759MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 76034 KT... 70NE 140SE 50SW 50NW. 761 762EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 763ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 764 765OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 39.8N 68.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 766MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 767 768OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 46.2N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 769MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 770 771REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.2N 85.2W 772 773NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z 774 775$$ 776FORECASTER BROWN 777 778 779 780 781------------=_1539031193-25255-2009 782Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 783Content-Disposition: inline 784Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 785 786= = = == = = 787WTNT24 KNHC 090254 788TCMAT4 789 790HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 791NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 7920300 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 793 794CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 795 796THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 797WARNING FOR THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL. 798 799SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 800 801A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 802* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 803 804A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 805* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING 806TAMPA BAY 807* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA 808 809A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 810* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 811* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO 812 813A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 814* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 815 816A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 817* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 818* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 819* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH 820 821A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 822* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 823* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 824 825A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 826INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 827DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 828OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 829SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS 830IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 831SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 832RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 833PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 834OFFICIALS. 835 836A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 837SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 83836 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 839FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 840OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 841RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 842 843A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 844EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 845 846A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 847THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 848COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 849 850A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 851WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 852BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 853WINDS... CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 854DANGEROUS. 855 856A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 857POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 858 859INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 860MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 861 862HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 85.3W AT 09/0300Z 863POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 864 865PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT 866 867ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB 868MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 86964 KT....... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 87050 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 87134 KT.......150NE 150SE 80SW 110NW. 87212 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 90SW 210NW. 873WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 874MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 875 876REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 85.3W AT 09/0300Z 877AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 85.2W 878 879FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 24.7N 85.9W 880MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 88164 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 88250 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 88334 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 110NW. 884 885FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.8N 86.3W 886MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 88764 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 88850 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 88934 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 110NW. 890 891FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 29.1N 85.9W 892MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 89364 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 89450 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 89534 KT...150NE 150SE 90SW 110NW. 896 897FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.4N 84.4W...INLAND 898MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 89950 KT... 40NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 90034 KT... 90NE 140SE 80SW 80NW. 901 902FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.9N 77.3W...INLAND 903MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 90434 KT... 70NE 140SE 50SW 50NW. 905 906EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 907ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 908 909OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 41.5N 63.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 910MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 911 912OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 47.8N 46.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 913MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 914 915REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.2N 85.3W 916 917NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z 918 919$$ 920FORECASTER STEWART 921 922 923 924 925------------=_1539053696-25255-2171 926Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 927Content-Disposition: inline 928Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 929 930= = = == = = 931WTNT24 KNHC 090856 932TCMAT4 933 934HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 935NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 9360900 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 937 938CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 939 940A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 941COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO SOUTH 942SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. 943 944THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE 945PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HAS 946DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. 947 948SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 949 950A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 951* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 952 953A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 954* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING 955TAMPA BAY 956* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA 957 958A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 959* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 960 961A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 962* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 963 964A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 965* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 966* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 967* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO 968 969A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 970* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 971* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 972* FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA 973 974A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 975INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 976DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 977OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 978SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS 979IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 980SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 981RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 982PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 983OFFICIALS. 984 985A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 986SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 98736 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 988FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 989OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 990RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 991 992A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 993EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 994 995A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 996THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 997COASTLINE...IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 998 999A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 1000WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 1001BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 1002WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 1003DANGEROUS. 1004 1005A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1006POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1007 1008INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1009MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1010 1011HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 85.9W AT 09/0900Z 1012POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 1013 1014PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT 1015 1016ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB 1017MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 101864 KT....... 35NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 101950 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 102034 KT.......170NE 130SE 70SW 140NW. 102112 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 120SW 240NW. 1022WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1023MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1024 1025REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N 85.9W AT 09/0900Z 1026AT 09/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 85.7W 1027 1028FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 25.7N 86.3W 1029MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 103064 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 103150 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 103234 KT...170NE 130SE 80SW 140NW. 1033 1034FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.9N 86.4W 1035MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 103664 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 103750 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 103834 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. 1039 1040FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.9N 85.6W 1041MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 104264 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 104350 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 104434 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 120NW. 1045 1046FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.3N 83.4W...INLAND 1047MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 104850 KT... 30NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 104934 KT... 80NE 140SE 80SW 50NW. 1050 1051FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.5N 75.5W...OVER WATER 1052MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 105334 KT... 90NE 140SE 90SW 60NW. 1054 1055EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1056ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1057 1058OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 42.5N 60.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1059MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 1060 1061OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 49.0N 40.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1062MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 1063 1064REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N 85.9W 1065 1066NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/1500Z 1067 1068$$ 1069FORECASTER BEVEN 1070 1071 1072 1073 1074------------=_1539075412-25255-2277 1075Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1076Content-Disposition: inline 1077Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1078 1079= = = == = = 1080WTNT24 KNHC 091442 1081TCMAT4 1082 1083HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 1084NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 10851500 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 1086 1087CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1088 1089THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE COAST OF ALABAMA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1090 1091SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1092 1093A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1094* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 1095 1096A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1097* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING 1098TAMPA BAY 1099* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA 1100 1101A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1102* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 1103 1104A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1105* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 1106* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 1107 1108A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1109* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 1110* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 1111* FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA 1112 1113A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1114INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 1115DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 1116OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 1117SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS 1118IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 1119SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 1120RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 1121PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 1122OFFICIALS. 1123 1124A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1125SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 112636 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 1127FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 1128OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 1129RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1130 1131A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1132EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 1133 1134A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1135THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1136COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1137 1138A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1139POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 1140 1141INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1142MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1143 1144HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 86.2W AT 09/1500Z 1145POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 1146 1147PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT 1148 1149ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 965 MB 1150EYE DIAMETER 25 NM 1151MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 115264 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 115350 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 115434 KT.......160NE 130SE 60SW 140NW. 115512 FT SEAS..270NE 150SE 150SW 300NW. 1156WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1157MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1158 1159REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 86.2W AT 09/1500Z 1160AT 09/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 86.1W 1161 1162FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 26.7N 86.5W 1163MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 116464 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 116550 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 116634 KT...160NE 130SE 70SW 140NW. 1167 1168FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.8N 86.3W 1169MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 117064 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 117150 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 117234 KT...160NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. 1173 1174FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.8N 85.1W...INLAND 1175MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 117664 KT... 25NE 30SE 20SW 15NW. 117750 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 30NW. 117834 KT...110NE 150SE 90SW 90NW. 1179 1180FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.0N 82.5W...INLAND 1181MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 118234 KT... 70NE 140SE 60SW 50NW. 1183 1184FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 37.5N 74.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1185MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 118650 KT... 0NE 70SE 60SW 0NW. 118734 KT...120NE 180SE 90SW 60NW. 1188 1189EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1190ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1191 1192OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 44.0N 56.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1193MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 1194 1195OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 50.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1196MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 1197 1198REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N 86.2W 1199 1200NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/2100Z 1201 1202$$ 1203FORECASTER BROWN 1204 1205 1206 1207 1208------------=_1539096149-25255-2454 1209Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1210Content-Disposition: inline 1211Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1212 1213= = = == = = 1214WTNT24 KNHC 092054 1215TCMAT4 1216 1217HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 1218NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 12192100 UTC TUE OCT 09 2018 1220 1221CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1222 1223A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM FERNANDINA BEACH 1224FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. 1225 1226A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH 1227CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE 1228SOUNDS. 1229 1230SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1231 1232A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1233* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 1234 1235A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1236* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING 1237TAMPA BAY 1238* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA 1239 1240A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1241* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 1242 1243A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1244* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 1245* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 1246* FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA 1247 1248A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1249* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 1250* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 1251* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1252* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1253 1254A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1255INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 1256DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 1257OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 1258SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS 1259IS A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 1260SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 1261RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 1262PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 1263OFFICIALS. 1264 1265A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1266SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA... IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 126724 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 1268RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1269 1270A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1271EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1272 1273A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1274THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1275COASTLINE. 1276 1277A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1278POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. 1279 1280INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1281MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1282 1283HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 86.4W AT 09/2100Z 1284POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 1285 1286PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT 1287 1288ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 957 MB 1289EYE DIAMETER 20 NM 1290MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 129164 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 129250 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 129334 KT.......150NE 140SE 70SW 140NW. 129412 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 210SW 270NW. 1295WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1296MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1297 1298REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N 86.4W AT 09/2100Z 1299AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N 86.4W 1300 1301FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 27.6N 86.6W 1302MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 130364 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 130450 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 130534 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 140NW. 1306 1307FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.7N 85.9W 1308MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 130964 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 131050 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 131134 KT...130NE 140SE 90SW 130NW. 1312 1313FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.8N 84.1W...INLAND 1314MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 131550 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 20NW. 131634 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. 1317 1318FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 33.9N 81.0W...INLAND 1319MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 132034 KT... 50NE 140SE 40SW 40NW. 1321 1322FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 39.0N 70.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1323MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 132450 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 132534 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 70NW. 1326 1327EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1328ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1329 1330OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 45.5N 51.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1331MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 1332 1333OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 50.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1334MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 1335 1336REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N 86.4W 1337 1338NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z 1339 1340$$ 1341FORECASTER BROWN 1342 1343 1344 1345 1346------------=_1539118471-25255-2687 1347Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1348Content-Disposition: inline 1349Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1350 1351= = = == = = 1352WTNT24 KNHC 100251 1353TCMAT4 1354 1355HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 1356NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 13570300 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 1358 1359CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1360 1361NONE. 1362 1363SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1364 1365A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1366* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 1367 1368A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1369* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING 1370TAMPA BAY 1371* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA 1372 1373A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1374* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 1375 1376A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1377* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 1378* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 1379* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH 1380CAROLINA 1381 1382A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1383* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA... INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 1384* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 1385* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1386* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1387 1388A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1389INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 1390DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 1391OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 1392SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS 1393IS A 1394LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 1395SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 1396RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 1397PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 1398OFFICIALS. 1399 1400A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1401SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 140224 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 1403RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1404 1405A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1406EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 1407 1408A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1409THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1410COASTLINE. 1411 1412A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1413POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. 1414 1415INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1416MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1417 1418HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 86.5W AT 10/0300Z 1419POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 1420 1421PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT 10 KT 1422 1423ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 947 MB 1424MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 142564 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 142650 KT....... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 142734 KT.......150NE 140SE 70SW 140NW. 142812 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 150SW 240NW. 1429WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1430MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1431 1432REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 86.5W AT 10/0300Z 1433AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 86.5W 1434 1435FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 28.7N 86.2W 1436MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 143764 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 143850 KT... 70NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 143934 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 140NW. 1440 1441FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 30.8N 84.9W...INLAND 1442MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 144364 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 144450 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 144534 KT...120NE 140SE 90SW 90NW. 1446 1447FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.0N 82.4W...INLAND 1448MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 144934 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. 1450 1451FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.2N 78.6W...INLAND 1452MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 145334 KT... 50NE 140SE 40SW 40NW. 1454 1455FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 40.8N 65.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1456MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 145750 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 145834 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 70NW. 1459 1460EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1461ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1462 1463OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 47.2N 44.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1464MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 1465 1466OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 51.2N 24.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1467MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 1468 1469REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 86.5W 1470 1471NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z 1472 1473$$ 1474FORECASTER STEWART 1475 1476 1477 1478 1479------------=_1539139893-25255-2873 1480Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1481Content-Disposition: inline 1482Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1483 1484= = = == = = 1485WTNT24 KNHC 100847 1486TCMAT4 1487 1488HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 1489NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 14900900 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 1491 1492CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1493 1494A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE 1495RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA. 1496 1497THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF THE 1498OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA. 1499 1500SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1501 1502A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1503* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 1504 1505A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1506* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING 1507TAMPA BAY 1508 1509A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1510* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 1511 1512A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1513* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 1514* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 1515* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA 1516 1517A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1518* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 1519* MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER 1520* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1521* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1522 1523A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1524INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE... 1525DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION 1526OF AREAS AT RISK...PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM 1527SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC...AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV. THIS IS 1528A LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION. PERSONS LOCATED WITHIN THESE AREAS 1529SHOULD TAKE ALL NECESSARY ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY FROM 1530RISING WATER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OTHER DANGEROUS CONDITIONS. 1531PROMPTLY FOLLOW EVACUATION AND OTHER INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL 1532OFFICIALS. 1533 1534A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1535SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 153624 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 1537RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 1538 1539A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1540EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE DURING 1541THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 1542 1543A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1544THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1545COASTLINE. 1546 1547A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1548POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. 1549 1550INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1551MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1552 1553HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 86.5W AT 10/0900Z 1554POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 1555 1556PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 11 KT 1557 1558ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 943 MB 1559EYE DIAMETER 20 NM 1560MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 156164 KT....... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 156250 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 156334 KT.......160NE 140SE 70SW 140NW. 156412 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 210SW 210NW. 1565WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1566MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1567 1568REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 86.5W AT 10/0900Z 1569AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 86.6W 1570 1571FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 29.9N 85.7W 1572MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 157364 KT... 35NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 157450 KT... 70NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 157534 KT...150NE 140SE 70SW 140NW. 1576 1577FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.1N 83.8W...INLAND 1578MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 157964 KT... 20NE 30SE 20SW 0NW. 158050 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 158134 KT... 90NE 140SE 90SW 70NW. 1582 1583FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 34.4N 80.5W...INLAND 1584MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 158534 KT... 90NE 120SE 60SW 60NW. 1586 1587FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 36.8N 75.6W...OVER WATER 1588MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 158934 KT... 50NE 140SE 50SW 40NW. 1590 1591FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 43.5N 59.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1592MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 159350 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 159434 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 70NW. 1595 1596EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1597ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1598 1599OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 49.5N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1600MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 1601 1602OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 52.0N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1603MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 1604 1605REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.3N 86.5W 1606 1607NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z 1608 1609$$ 1610FORECASTER BEVEN 1611 1612 1613 1614 1615------------=_1539161282-25255-3001 1616Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1617Content-Disposition: inline 1618Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1619 1620= = = == = = 1621WTNT24 KNHC 101449 1622TCMAT4 1623 1624HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 1625NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 16261500 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 1627 1628CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1629 1630A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH 1631CAROLINA FROM SURF CITY TO DUCK INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE 1632SOUNDS. 1633 1634A STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA 1635FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO DUCK. 1636 1637THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE GULF COAST WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI/ 1638ALABAMA BORDER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1639 1640SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1641 1642A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1643* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 1644 1645A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1646* ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING 1647TAMPA BAY 1648* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1649 1650A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1651* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 1652 1653A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1654* ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER 1655* SUWANEE RIVER FLORIDA TO CHASSAHOWITZKA FLORIDA 1656* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1657* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1658 1659A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1660* CHASSAHOWITZKA TO ANNA MARIA ISLAND FLORIDA...INCLUDING TAMPA BAY 1661 1662A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1663INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. 1664FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 1665SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT 1666HURRICANES.GOV. 1667 1668A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1669SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1670 1671A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1672EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1673 1674A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1675THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1676COASTLINE. 1677 1678A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1679POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. 1680 1681INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1682MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1683 1684HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 86.0W AT 10/1500Z 1685POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM 1686 1687PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 12 KT 1688 1689ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 928 MB 1690EYE DIAMETER 15 NM 1691MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT. 169264 KT....... 40NE 35SE 25SW 30NW. 169350 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 50NW. 169434 KT.......150NE 140SE 80SW 120NW. 169512 FT SEAS..120NE 240SE 210SW 120NW. 1696WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1697MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1698 1699REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 86.0W AT 10/1500Z 1700AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N 86.3W 1701 1702FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 31.3N 84.7W...INLAND 1703MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 170464 KT... 25NE 25SE 15SW 15NW. 170550 KT... 50NE 60SE 30SW 30NW. 170634 KT...100NE 130SE 60SW 90NW. 1707 1708FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.6N 82.1W...INLAND 1709MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 171034 KT... 70NE 140SE 60SW 50NW. 1711 1712FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 35.8N 78.0W...INLAND 1713MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 171434 KT... 90NE 180SE 60SW 60NW. 1715 1716FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 38.7N 71.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1717MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 171850 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 171934 KT...120NE 240SE 180SW 90NW. 1720 1721FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 45.5N 52.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1722MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 172350 KT... 0NE 210SE 180SW 0NW. 172434 KT...150NE 360SE 270SW 90NW. 1725 1726EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1727ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1728 1729OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 49.0N 29.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1730MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 1731 1732OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 50.0N 13.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1733MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 1734 1735REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.4N 86.0W 1736 1737NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z 1738 1739$$ 1740FORECASTER BROWN 1741 1742 1743 1744 1745------------=_1539183021-25255-3192 1746Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1747Content-Disposition: inline 1748Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1749 1750= = = == = = 1751WTNT24 KNHC 102050 1752TCMAT4 1753 1754HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 1755NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 17562100 UTC WED OCT 10 2018 1757 1758CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1759 1760THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF THE OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE HAS 1761BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1762 1763THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN 1764DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE SUWANEE RIVER. 1765 1766THE STORM SURGE WATCH SOUTH OF ANCLOTE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 1767 1768SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1769 1770A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1771* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE FLORIDA TO ANCLOTE RIVER FLORIDA 1772 1773A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1774* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1775 1776A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1777* OKALOOSA/WALTON COUNTY LINE TO SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA 1778 1779A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1780* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1781* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1782 1783A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1784INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. 1785FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 1786SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT 1787HURRICANES.GOV. 1788 1789A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 1790SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1791 1792A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1793EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1794 1795A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1796THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1797COASTLINE. 1798 1799INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1800MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1801 1802HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 85.1W AT 10/2100Z 1803POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 1804 1805PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 25 DEGREES AT 14 KT 1806 1807ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 932 MB 1808EYE DIAMETER 20 NM 1809MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT. 181064 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW. 181150 KT....... 60NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. 181234 KT....... 90NE 140SE 100SW 80NW. 181312 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 240SW 0NW. 1814WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1815MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1816 1817REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.9N 85.1W AT 10/2100Z 1818AT 10/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.2N 85.5W 1819 1820FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 32.6N 83.2W...INLAND 1821MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 182250 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 20NW. 182334 KT... 70NE 130SE 60SW 60NW. 1824 1825FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.1N 79.6W...INLAND 1826MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 182734 KT... 70NE 160SE 60SW 50NW. 1828 1829FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 37.6N 74.4W...OVER WATER 1830MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 183150 KT... 0NE 0SE 90SW 0NW. 183234 KT...150NE 210SE 120SW 80NW. 1833 1834FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 40.7N 66.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1835MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 183650 KT... 0NE 140SE 120SW 0NW. 183734 KT...150NE 300SE 210SW 120NW. 1838 1839FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 46.7N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1840MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 184150 KT... 0NE 200SE 180SW 0NW. 184234 KT...160NE 420SE 360SW 150NW. 1843 1844EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1845ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1846 1847OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 49.2N 19.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1848MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 1849 1850OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z...ABSORBED 1851 1852REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.9N 85.1W 1853 1854NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0300Z 1855 1856$$ 1857FORECASTER BROWN 1858 1859 1860 1861 1862------------=_1539204637-25255-3453 1863Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1864Content-Disposition: inline 1865Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1866 1867= = = == = = 1868WTNT24 KNHC 110253 1869TCMAT4 1870 1871HURRICANE MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 1872NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 18730300 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 1874 1875CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1876 1877THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN 1878DISCONTINUED. THE STORM SURGE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF 1879PANAMA CITY AND SOUTHEAST OF KEATON BEACH. 1880 1881SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1882 1883A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1884* PANAMA CITY FLORIDA TO KEATON BEACH FLORIDA 1885 1886A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1887* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1888 1889A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1890* NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1891* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1892 1893A STORM SURGE WARNING MEANS THERE IS A DANGER OF LIFE-THREATENING 1894INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE COASTLINE. 1895FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER 1896SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT 1897HURRICANES.GOV. 1898 1899A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1900EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1901 1902A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 1903THREATENING INUNDATION...FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 1904COASTLINE. 1905 1906INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 1907MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 1908 1909HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 83.8W AT 11/0300Z 1910POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM 1911 1912PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 17 KT 1913 1914ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 970 MB 1915MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 191664 KT....... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW. 191750 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 191834 KT....... 60NE 140SE 60SW 40NW. 191912 FT SEAS.. 0NE 210SE 240SW 0NW. 1920WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 1921MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 1922 1923REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 83.8W AT 11/0300Z 1924AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 84.5W 1925 1926FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 34.0N 81.5W...INLAND 1927MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 192834 KT... 50NE 130SE 50SW 0NW. 1929 1930FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 36.4N 77.1W...INLAND 1931MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 193234 KT... 60NE 160SE 40SW 30NW. 1933 1934FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.3N 70.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP OVR WATER 1935MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 193650 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 193734 KT...150NE 210SE 120SW 80NW. 1938 1939FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 42.4N 60.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1940MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 194150 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 194234 KT...150NE 300SE 210SW 120NW. 1943 1944FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 47.9N 35.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1945MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 194650 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. 194734 KT...160NE 420SE 360SW 150NW. 1948 1949EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 1950ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 1951 1952OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 49.7N 13.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 1953MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 1954 1955OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...ABSORBED 1956 1957REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.1N 83.8W 1958 1959NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z 1960 1961$$ 1962FORECASTER STEWART 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967------------=_1539226390-25255-3681 1968Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 1969Content-Disposition: inline 1970Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 1971 1972= = = == = = 1973WTNT24 KNHC 110848 1974TCMAT4 1975 1976TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 1977NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 19780900 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 1979 1980CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1981 1982THE STORM SURGE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FOR THE GULF COAST OF 1983FLORIDA. 1984 1985THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ALONG THE GEORGIA AND 1986FLORIDA COAST SOUTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND. 1987 1988SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1989 1990A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1991* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1992 1993A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1994* ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 1995* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 1996 1997A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 1998EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 1999 2000A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 2001THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 2002COASTLINE. 2003 2004INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD 2005MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MICHAEL. 2006 2007TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 82.5W AT 11/0900Z 2008POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 2009 2010PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 18 KT 2011 2012ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB 2013MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 201434 KT....... 50NE 140SE 50SW 0NW. 2015WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 2016MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 2017 2018REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.5N 82.5W AT 11/0900Z...INLAND 2019AT 11/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 83.2W...INLAND 2020 2021FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 35.4N 79.4W...INLAND 2022MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 202334 KT... 30NE 140SE 30SW 0NW. 2024 2025FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 37.9N 74.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2026MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 202734 KT... 60NE 160SE 130SW 100NW. 2028 2029FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 40.9N 65.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2030MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 203150 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 203234 KT...150NE 240SE 200SW 100NW. 2033 2034FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 44.1N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2035MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 203650 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 203734 KT...150NE 300SE 210SW 120NW. 2038 2039FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 48.0N 29.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2040MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 204150 KT... 0NE 150SE 150SW 0NW. 204234 KT...160NE 420SE 360SW 150NW. 2043 2044EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 2045ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 2046 2047OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 49.0N 9.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2048MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 2049 2050OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z...ABSORBED 2051 2052REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.5N 82.5W 2053 2054NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/1500Z 2055 2056$$ 2057FORECASTER BEVEN 2058 2059 2060 2061 2062------------=_1539247724-25255-3807 2063Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 2064Content-Disposition: inline 2065Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 2066 2067= = = == = = 2068WTNT24 KNHC 111448 2069TCMAT4 2070 2071TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 2072NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 20731500 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 2074 2075CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2076 2077THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF THE SAVANNAH RIVER HAS BEEN 2078DISCONTINUED. 2079 2080SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2081 2082A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2083* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 2084 2085A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2086* SAVANNAH RIVER TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 2087* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 2088 2089A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2090EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 2091 2092A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 2093THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 2094COASTLINE. 2095 2096TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 80.8W AT 11/1500Z 2097POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM 2098 2099PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 20 KT 2100 2101ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB 2102MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 210334 KT....... 40NE 160SE 40SW 0NW. 210412 FT SEAS.. 0NE 270SE 0SW 0NW. 2105WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 2106MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 2107 2108REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 80.8W AT 11/1500Z 2109AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 81.7W 2110 2111FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 36.6N 77.3W...INLAND 2112MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 211334 KT... 0NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 2114 2115FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.3N 71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2116MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 211750 KT... 0NE 90SE 120SW 0NW. 211834 KT...100NE 270SE 180SW 90NW. 2119 2120FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 42.8N 61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2121MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 212250 KT... 0NE 180SE 150SW 0NW. 212334 KT...150NE 320SE 240SW 110NW. 2124 2125FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 45.5N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2126MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 212750 KT... 0NE 200SE 180SW 0NW. 212834 KT...150NE 360SE 300SW 150NW. 2129 2130FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 48.2N 23.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2131MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 213250 KT... 0NE 240SE 210SW 0NW. 213334 KT...150NE 480SE 480SW 150NW. 2134 2135EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 2136ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 2137 2138OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 49.0N 9.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2139MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 2140 2141OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z...DISSIPATED 2142 2143REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.7N 80.8W 2144 2145NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z 2146 2147$$ 2148FORECASTER BROWN 2149 2150 2151 2152 2153------------=_1539269304-25255-4036 2154Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 2155Content-Disposition: inline 2156Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 2157 2158= = = == = = 2159WTNT24 KNHC 112050 2160TCMAT4 2161 2162TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 2163NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 21642100 UTC THU OCT 11 2018 2165 2166CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2167 2168THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH 2169CAROLINA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 2170 2171SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2172 2173A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2174* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 2175 2176A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2177* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 2178* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 2179 2180A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2181EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 2182 2183A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 2184THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 2185COASTLINE. 2186 2187TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 78.8W AT 11/2100Z 2188POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM 2189 2190PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 21 KT 2191 2192ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB 2193MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 219434 KT....... 0NE 200SE 60SW 40NW. 219512 FT SEAS.. 0NE 270SE 0SW 0NW. 2196WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 2197MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 2198 2199REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.1N 78.8W AT 11/2100Z 2200AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.6N 80.0W 2201 2202FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 38.1N 74.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2203MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 220434 KT... 60NE 240SE 120SW 90NW. 2205 2206FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 41.2N 66.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2207MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 220850 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 220934 KT...100NE 270SE 180SW 110NW. 2210 2211FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 44.5N 55.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2212MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 221350 KT... 0NE 180SE 150SW 0NW. 221434 KT...120NE 360SE 270SW 110NW. 2215 2216FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 47.0N 42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2217MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 221850 KT... 0NE 210SE 210SW 0NW. 221934 KT...150NE 360SE 360SW 150NW. 2220 2221FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 48.5N 17.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2222MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 222350 KT... 0NE 210SE 150SW 0NW. 222434 KT...150NE 360SE 360SW 150NW. 2225 2226EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 2227ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 2228 2229OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 46.5N 7.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2230MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. 2231 2232OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z...DISSIPATED 2233 2234REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.1N 78.8W 2235 2236NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z 2237 2238$$ 2239FORECASTER BROWN 2240 2241 2242 2243 2244------------=_1539291045-25255-4369 2245Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 2246Content-Disposition: inline 2247Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 2248 2249= = = == = = 2250WTNT24 KNHC 120252 2251TCMAT4 2252 2253TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 2254NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142018 22550300 UTC FRI OCT 12 2018 2256 2257CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2258 2259THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED WEST OF CAPE 2260LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. 2261 2262SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2263 2264A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2265* OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 2266 2267A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2268* CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA 2269* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS 2270 2271A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2272EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. 2273 2274A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE- 2275THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE 2276COASTLINE. 2277 2278TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 76.1W AT 12/0300Z 2279POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM 2280 2281PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 22 KT 2282 2283ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB 2284MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 228534 KT....... 60NE 240SE 0SW 60NW. 228612 FT SEAS.. 0NE 270SE 0SW 0NW. 2287WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 2288MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 2289 2290REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.1N 76.1W AT 12/0300Z 2291AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.5N 77.7W 2292 2293FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 39.2N 71.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2294MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 229550 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW. 229634 KT... 90NE 330SE 120SW 90NW. 2297 2298FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 42.5N 61.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2299MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 230050 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 230134 KT... 90NE 360SE 240SW 90NW. 2302 2303FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 45.4N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2304MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 230550 KT... 0NE 180SE 150SW 0NW. 230634 KT... 90NE 360SE 300SW 90NW. 2307 2308FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 47.1N 34.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2309MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 231050 KT... 0NE 120SE 120SW 0NW. 231134 KT...120NE 300SE 270SW 90NW. 2312 2313FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 47.6N 14.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 2314MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 231534 KT... 90NE 210SE 150SW 90NW. 2316 2317EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 2318ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 2319 2320OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED 2321 2322REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.1N 76.1W 2323 2324NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z 2325 2326$$ 2327FORECASTER BERG 2328 2329 2330 2331 2332------------=_1539312771-25255-4601 2333Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 2334Content-Disposition: inline 2335Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 2336 2337= = = == = = 2338