1WTNT33 KNHC 041436 2TCPAT3 3 4BULLETIN 5TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 4 6NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 71100 AM AST TUE SEP 04 2012 8 9...TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... 10...MICHAEL POSES NO THREAT TO LAND... 11 12 13SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 14----------------------------------------------- 15LOCATION...27.0N 43.5W 16ABOUT 1220 MI...1965 KM SW OF THE AZORES 17MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H 18PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 19MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 20 21 22WATCHES AND WARNINGS 23-------------------- 24THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 25 26 27DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 28------------------------------ 29SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN 30INTENSIFIED AND BECAME TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL. AT 1100 AM 31AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL 32WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.5 WEST. MICHAEL 33IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A GENERAL 34SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO 35DAYS...KEEPING THE CYCLONE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WATERS. 36 37MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 38GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE 39NEXT 48 HOURS. 40 41TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM 42MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. 43 44THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 45 46HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 47---------------------- 48NONE. 49 50 51NEXT ADVISORY 52------------- 53NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 54 55$$ 56FORECASTER AVILA 57 58 59WTNT33 KNHC 042050 60TCPAT3 61 62BULLETIN 63TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 5 64NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 65500 PM AST TUE SEP 04 2012 66 67...SMALL MICHAEL STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... 68 69 70SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 71---------------------------------------------- 72LOCATION...27.5N 43.7W 73ABOUT 1210 MI...1945 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 74MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 75PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H 76MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 77 78 79WATCHES AND WARNINGS 80-------------------- 81THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 82 83 84DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 85------------------------------ 86AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS 87LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS 88MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. A NORTH- 89NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY... 90AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST TO BEGIN 91WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE ON THURSDAY. 92 93MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 94KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST 95DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 96 97TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM 98FROM THE CENTER. 99 100ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 101 102 103HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 104---------------------- 105NONE. 106 107 108NEXT ADVISORY 109------------- 110NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 111 112$$ 113FORECASTER BROWN 114 115 116WTNT33 KNHC 050236 117TCPAT3 118 119BULLETIN 120TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 6 121NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1221100 PM AST TUE SEP 04 2012 123 124...MICHAEL NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH... 125 126 127SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 128----------------------------------------------- 129LOCATION...27.4N 43.7W 130ABOUT 1215 MI...1950 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 131MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 132PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY 133MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 134 135 136WATCHES AND WARNINGS 137-------------------- 138THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 139 140 141DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 142------------------------------ 143AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS 144LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.7 WEST. MICHAEL HAS 145BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A SLOW NORTHWARD 146TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 147 148MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 149GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 150HOURS. 151 152MICHAEL IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS 153EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. 154 155THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 156 157 158HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 159---------------------- 160NONE. 161 162 163NEXT ADVISORY 164------------- 165NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 166 167$$ 168FORECASTER PASCH 169 170 171WTNT33 KNHC 050838 172TCPAT3 173 174BULLETIN 175TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 176NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 177500 AM AST WED SEP 05 2012 178 179...MICHAEL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... 180 181 182SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 183---------------------------------------------- 184LOCATION...28.1N 43.9W 185ABOUT 1190 MI...1915 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 186MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H 187PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 188MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 189 190 191WATCHES AND WARNINGS 192-------------------- 193THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 194 195 196DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 197------------------------------ 198AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS 199LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.9 WEST. MICHAEL IS 200MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A SLOW NORTHWARD TO 201NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 202 203MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 204GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 205HOURS. 206 207MICHAEL IS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 208EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. 209 210THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 211 212 213HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 214---------------------- 215NONE. 216 217 218NEXT ADVISORY 219------------- 220NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 221 222$$ 223FORECASTER BRENNAN 224 225 226WTNT33 KNHC 062031 227TCPAT3 228 229BULLETIN 230HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 15 231NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 232500 PM AST THU SEP 06 2012 233 234...MICHAEL WEAKENS A LITTLE... 235...NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... 236 237 238SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 239---------------------------------------------- 240LOCATION...30.6N 41.0W 241ABOUT 945 MI...1525 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 242MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H 243PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 244MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES 245 246 247WATCHES AND WARNINGS 248-------------------- 249THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 250 251 252DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 253------------------------------ 254AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 255LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.0 WEST. MICHAEL IS 256MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TO 257THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 258EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE 259NORTHWEST ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY NIGHT. 260 261MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 262GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 263HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 26448 HOURS. 265 266HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 267THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 268MILES...110 KM. 269 270THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES. 271 272 273HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 274---------------------- 275NONE. 276 277 278NEXT ADVISORY 279------------- 280NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 281 282$$ 283FORECASTER ROBERTS 284 285 286WTNT33 KNHC 070232 287TCPAT3 288 289BULLETIN 290HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 16 291NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 2921100 PM AST THU SEP 06 2012 293 294...MICHAEL CREEPING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD... 295 296 297SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 298----------------------------------------------- 299LOCATION...30.8N 40.8W 300ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 301MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H 302PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 303MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES 304 305 306WATCHES AND WARNINGS 307-------------------- 308THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 309 310 311DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 312------------------------------ 313AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED 314NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS 315MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE 316NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST AT A CONTINUED SLOW SPEED IS EXPECTED 317FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. 318 319MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H... 320WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 321SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST 322DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 323 324HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 325THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 326MILES...130 KM. 327 328ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. 329 330 331HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 332---------------------- 333NONE. 334 335 336NEXT ADVISORY 337------------- 338NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 339 340$$ 341FORECASTER BERG 342 343 344WTNT33 KNHC 070834 345TCPAT3 346 347BULLETIN 348HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 17 349NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 350500 AM AST FRI SEP 07 2012 351 352...MICHAEL MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS IT DRIFTS NORTHWARD... 353 354 355SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 356---------------------------------------------- 357LOCATION...31.0N 40.8W 358ABOUT 920 MI...1485 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 359MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H 360PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H 361MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES 362 363 364WATCHES AND WARNINGS 365-------------------- 366THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 367 368 369DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 370------------------------------ 371AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 372LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS 373MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 374NORTHWEST WITH A CONTINUED SLOW FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY 375TONIGHT. 376 377MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 378GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 379HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 38048 HOURS. 381 382HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 383THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 384MILES...130 KM. 385 386ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. 387 388 389HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 390---------------------- 391NONE. 392 393 394NEXT ADVISORY 395------------- 396NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 397 398$$ 399FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 400 401 402WTNT33 KNHC 071450 403TCPAT3 404 405BULLETIN 406HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 18 407NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 4081100 AM AST FRI SEP 07 2012 409 410...MICHAEL DRIFTING NORTHWESTWARD... 411 412 413SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 414----------------------------------------------- 415LOCATION...31.2N 41.1W 416ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 417MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H 418PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H 419MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES 420 421 422WATCHES AND WARNINGS 423-------------------- 424THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 425 426 427DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 428------------------------------ 429AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 430LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.1 WEST. MICHAEL IS 431MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL 432MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 433 434MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 435GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 436HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 437NEXT 48 HOURS. 438 439MICHAEL REMAINS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 440EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND 441TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. 442 443ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. 444 445 446HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 447---------------------- 448NONE. 449 450 451NEXT ADVISORY 452------------- 453NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 454 455$$ 456FORECASTER BLAKE 457 458 459WTNT33 KNHC 072030 460TCPAT3 461 462BULLETIN 463HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 19 464NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 465500 PM AST FRI SEP 07 2012 466 467...MICHAEL MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... 468 469 470SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 471---------------------------------------------- 472LOCATION...31.4N 41.3W 473ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 474MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H 475PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H 476MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB...28.64 INCHES 477 478 479WATCHES AND WARNINGS 480-------------------- 481THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 482 483 484DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 485------------------------------ 486AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 487LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.3 WEST. MICHAEL IS 488MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL 489MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 490 491MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 492GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 493SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 494 495MICHAEL REMAINS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 496EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND 497TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. 498 499ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES. 500 501 502HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 503---------------------- 504NONE. 505 506 507NEXT ADVISORY 508------------- 509NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 510 511$$ 512FORECASTER BLAKE 513 514 515WTNT33 KNHC 080243 516TCPAT3 517 518BULLETIN 519HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 20 520NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 5211100 PM AST FRI SEP 07 2012 522 523...MICHAEL WEAKENS WHILE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD... 524 525 526SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 527----------------------------------------------- 528LOCATION...31.8N 41.8W 529ABOUT 940 MI...1515 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 530MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H 531PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 532MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES 533 534 535WATCHES AND WARNINGS 536-------------------- 537THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 538 539 540DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 541------------------------------ 542AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 543LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS 544MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL 545MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 546 547MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H... 548WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 549SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN 550GRADUALLY THROUGH SUNDAY. 551 552HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 553THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 554MILES...110 KM. 555 556ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES. 557 558 559HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 560---------------------- 561NONE. 562 563 564NEXT ADVISORY 565------------- 566NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 567 568$$ 569FORECASTER BERG 570 571 572WTNT33 KNHC 080831 573TCPAT3 574 575BULLETIN 576HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 21 577NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 578500 AM AST SAT SEP 08 2012 579 580...MICHAEL MAINTAINING ITS STRENGTH AS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE... 581 582 583SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 584---------------------------------------------- 585LOCATION...32.2N 41.8W 586ABOUT 925 MI...1490 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 587MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H 588PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 589MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES 590 591 592WATCHES AND WARNINGS 593-------------------- 594THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 595 596 597DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 598------------------------------ 599AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 600LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS 601MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A SLOW 602NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 603 604MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 605GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 606HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 607COUPLE OF DAYS. 608 609HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 610THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 611MILES...110 KM. 612 613ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES. 614 615 616HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 617---------------------- 618NONE. 619 620 621NEXT ADVISORY 622------------- 623NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 624 625$$ 626FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 627 628 629WTNT33 KNHC 081451 630TCPAT3 631 632BULLETIN 633HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 22 634NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 6351100 AM AST SAT SEP 08 2012 636 637...MICHAEL A LITTLE STRONGER... 638 639 640SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 641----------------------------------------------- 642LOCATION...32.6N 42.1W 643ABOUT 930 MI...1495 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 644MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H 645PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 646MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES 647 648 649WATCHES AND WARNINGS 650-------------------- 651THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 652 653 654DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 655------------------------------ 656AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 657LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.1 WEST. MICHAEL IS 658MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL 659MOTION WITH A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY. 660 661MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 662KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON 663THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING 664THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 665 666HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 667THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 668MILES...110 KM. 669 670THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. 671 672 673HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 674---------------------- 675NONE. 676 677 678NEXT ADVISORY 679------------- 680NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 681 682$$ 683FORECASTER BLAKE 684 685 686WTNT33 KNHC 082041 687TCPAT3 688 689BULLETIN 690HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 23 691NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 692500 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2012 693 694...MICHAEL MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... 695 696 697SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 698---------------------------------------------- 699LOCATION...33.1N 42.3W 700ABOUT 925 MI...1485 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 701MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H 702PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 703MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...971 MB...28.67 INCHES 704 705 706WATCHES AND WARNINGS 707-------------------- 708THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 709 710 711DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 712------------------------------ 713AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED 714NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.3 WEST. MICHAEL IS MOVING 715TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD 716THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE 717WEST-NORTHWEST BY LATE SUNDAY. 718 719MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 720GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 721SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 722 723MICHAEL REMAINS A SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 724EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND 725TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM. 726 727THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES. 728 729 730HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 731---------------------- 732NONE. 733 734 735NEXT ADVISORY 736------------- 737NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 738 739$$ 740FORECASTER BLAKE 741 742 743WTNT33 KNHC 090236 744TCPAT3 745 746BULLETIN 747HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 24 748NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 7491100 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2012 750 751...MICHAEL FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE THROUGH MONDAY... 752 753 754SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 755----------------------------------------------- 756LOCATION...33.4N 42.4W 757ABOUT 920 MI...1480 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 758MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H 759PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 760MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES 761 762 763WATCHES AND WARNINGS 764-------------------- 765THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 766 767 768DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 769------------------------------ 770AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS LOCATED 771NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.4 WEST. MICHAEL IS MOVING 772TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AT A 773SIMILAR FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN 774BACK TO THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. 775 776MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H... 777WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 778SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE 779POSSIBLE...BUT OVERALL MICHAEL SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE 780NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 781 782HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 783THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 784MILES...110 KM. 785 786ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. 787 788 789HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 790---------------------- 791NONE. 792 793 794NEXT ADVISORY 795------------- 796NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 797 798$$ 799FORECASTER BERG 800 801 802WTNT33 KNHC 090847 803TCPAT3 804 805BULLETIN 806HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 25 807NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 808500 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 809 810...MICHAEL CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH... 811 812 813SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 814---------------------------------------------- 815LOCATION...33.8N 42.7W 816ABOUT 925 MI...1485 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 817MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/H 818PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 819MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB...28.79 INCHES 820 821 822WATCHES AND WARNINGS 823-------------------- 824THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 825 826 827DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 828------------------------------ 829AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 830LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS 831MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 832WEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN BACK TO THE 833NORTHWEST ON MONDAY. 834 835MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 836GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 837HURRICANE WIND SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE...BUT 838OVERALL MICHAEL SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF 839DAYS. 840 841HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 842THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 843MILES...110 KM. 844 845ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. 846 847 848HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 849---------------------- 850NONE. 851 852 853NEXT ADVISORY 854------------- 855NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 856 857$$ 858FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 859 860 861WTNT33 KNHC 091446 862TCPAT3 863 864BULLETIN 865HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 26 866NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 8671100 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 868 869...MICHAEL TURNS TOWARD THE WEST... 870...WEAKENS A LITTLE... 871 872 873SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 874----------------------------------------------- 875LOCATION...33.7N 43.2W 876ABOUT 955 MI...1535 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 877MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H 878PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 879MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES 880 881 882WATCHES AND WARNINGS 883-------------------- 884THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 885 886 887DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 888------------------------------ 889AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 890LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.2 WEST. MICHAEL IS 891MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS 892EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE 893NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN 894FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER MONDAY AND TUESDAY. 895 896MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 897GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 898HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 89948 HOURS...AND MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY 900TUESDAY. 901 902HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 903THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 904MILES...110 KM. 905 906THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES. 907 908 909HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 910---------------------- 911NONE. 912 913 914NEXT ADVISORY 915------------- 916NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 917 918$$ 919FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 920 921 922WTNT33 KNHC 092033 923TCPAT3 924 925BULLETIN 926HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 27 927NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 928500 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 929 930...MICHAEL MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD... 931...MAINTAINING A LARGE-SIZED EYE... 932 933 934SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 935---------------------------------------------- 936LOCATION...33.6N 43.8W 937ABOUT 990 MI...1590 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 938MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H 939PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H 940MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES 941 942 943WATCHES AND WARNINGS 944-------------------- 945THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 946 947 948DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 949------------------------------ 950AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 951LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.8 WEST. MICHAEL IS 952MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION 953SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND 954THEN NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SUBSTANTIAL INCREASE IN FORWARD 955SPEED IS FORECAST ON MONDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH 956ON TUESDAY. 957 958MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 959GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 960WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 961MICHAEL COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY. 962 963HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 964THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 965MILES...110 KM. 966 967THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES. 968 969 970HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 971---------------------- 972NONE. 973 974 975NEXT ADVISORY 976------------- 977NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 978 979$$ 980FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 981 982 983WTNT33 KNHC 100257 984TCPAT3 985 986BULLETIN 987HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 28 988NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 9891100 PM AST SUN SEP 09 2012 990 991...MICHAEL UNRAVELLING... 992...EXPECTED TO WEAKEN MORE... 993 994 995SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 996----------------------------------------------- 997LOCATION...33.6N 44.4W 998ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM WSW OF THE AZORES 999MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H 1000PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H 1001MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES 1002 1003 1004WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1005-------------------- 1006THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1007 1008 1009DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1010------------------------------ 1011AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 1012LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.4 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1013MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 1014NORTHWEST FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH AN 1015INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY. A 1016TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS ANTICIPATED ON TUESDAY NIGHT. 1017 1018MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1019GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 1020HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 1021HOURS...AND MICHAEL COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY 1022MORNING. 1023 1024HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 1025THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 1026MILES...130 KM. 1027 1028ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. 1029 1030 1031HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1032---------------------- 1033NONE. 1034 1035 1036NEXT ADVISORY 1037------------- 1038NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 1039 1040$$ 1041FORECASTER ROBERTS 1042 1043 1044WTNT33 KNHC 100842 1045TCPAT3 1046 1047BULLETIN 1048HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 29 1049NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1050500 AM AST MON SEP 10 2012 1051 1052...MICHAEL WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE... 1053 1054 1055SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1056---------------------------------------------- 1057LOCATION...33.5N 45.2W 1058ABOUT 1065 MI...1715 KM W OF THE AZORES 1059MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H 1060PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H 1061MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 1062 1063 1064WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1065-------------------- 1066THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1067 1068 1069DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1070------------------------------ 1071AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 1072LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.2 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1073MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H. MICHAEL IS EXPECTED TO 1074TURN NORTHWESTWARD BY TONIGHT...AND THEN NORTHWARD OR 1075NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY. 1076 1077MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE DECREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 1078KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON 1079THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST... 1080AND MICHAEL COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT. 1081 1082HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 1083THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 1084MILES...110 KM. 1085 1086ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 1087 1088 1089HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1090---------------------- 1091NONE. 1092 1093 1094NEXT ADVISORY 1095------------- 1096NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 1097 1098$$ 1099FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 1100 1101 1102WTNT33 KNHC 101449 1103TCPAT3 1104 1105BULLETIN 1106HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 30 1107NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 11081100 AM AST MON SEP 10 2012 1109 1110...MICHAEL EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWESTWARD TONIGHT AND WEAKEN... 1111 1112 1113SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1114----------------------------------------------- 1115LOCATION...33.6N 46.3W 1116ABOUT 1120 MI...1805 KM W OF THE AZORES 1117MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H 1118PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H 1119MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 1120 1121 1122WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1123-------------------- 1124THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1125 1126 1127DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1128------------------------------ 1129AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 1130LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.3 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1131MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 1132NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD 1133SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND THEN NORTH- 1134NORTHEAST WITH CONTINUED ACCELERATION ON TUESDAY. 1135 1136MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1137GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 1138WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MICHAEL COULD BECOME A 1139TROPICAL STORM BY TONIGHT. 1140 1141HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 1142THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 1143MILES...110 KM. 1144 1145THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 1146 1147 1148HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1149---------------------- 1150NONE. 1151 1152 1153NEXT ADVISORY 1154------------- 1155NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 1156 1157$$ 1158FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 1159 1160WTNT33 KNHC 102039 1161TCPAT3 1162 1163BULLETIN 1164HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 31 1165NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1166500 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012 1167 1168...MICHAEL TURNS TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND SLOWLY WEAKENS... 1169 1170 1171SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1172---------------------------------------------- 1173LOCATION...34.4N 47.6W 1174ABOUT 1175 MI...1885 KM W OF THE AZORES 1175MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H 1176PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H 1177MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES 1178 1179 1180WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1181-------------------- 1182THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1183 1184 1185DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1186------------------------------ 1187AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 1188LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.6 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1189MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 1190NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 1191SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. A TURN TOWARD THE 1192NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH FURTHER ACCELERATION IS FORECAST LATER TUESDAY 1193AND WEDNESDAY. 1194 1195MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H... 1196WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 1197SAFFIR-SIMPSON WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND 1198MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT. 1199 1200HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 1201THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 1202MILES...130 KM. 1203 1204THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. 1205 1206 1207HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1208---------------------- 1209NONE. 1210 1211 1212NEXT ADVISORY 1213------------- 1214NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 1215 1216$$ 1217FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN 1218 1219 1220WTNT33 KNHC 110248 1221TCPAT3 1222 1223BULLETIN 1224HURRICANE MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 32 1225NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 12261100 PM AST MON SEP 10 2012 1227 1228...MICHAEL MAINTAINING HURRICANE STRENGTH... 1229 1230 1231SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1232----------------------------------------------- 1233LOCATION...35.3N 48.0W 1234ABOUT 1175 MI...1895 KM W OF THE AZORES 1235MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H 1236PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H 1237MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES 1238 1239 1240WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1241-------------------- 1242THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1243 1244 1245DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1246------------------------------ 1247AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS 1248LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1249MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. A TURN 1250TOWARD THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 1251TUESDAY MORNING. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH FURTHER 1252ACCELERATION IS FORECAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 1253 1254MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER 1255GUSTS. MICHAEL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 1256HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND 1257MICHAEL COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY. 1258 1259HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 1260THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 1261MILES...130 KM. 1262 1263ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. 1264 1265 1266HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1267---------------------- 1268NONE. 1269 1270 1271NEXT ADVISORY 1272------------- 1273NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 1274 1275$$ 1276FORECASTER ROBERTS 1277 1278 1279WTNT33 KNHC 110851 1280TCPAT3 1281 1282BULLETIN 1283TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 33 1284NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 1285500 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012 1286 1287...MICHAEL WEAKENING FAST... 1288 1289 1290SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1291---------------------------------------------- 1292LOCATION...37.1N 47.7W 1293ABOUT 1135 MI...1825 KM W OF THE AZORES 1294MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H 1295PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H 1296MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 1297 1298 1299WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1300-------------------- 1301THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1302 1303 1304DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1305------------------------------ 1306AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS 1307LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.7 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1308MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE 1309NORTH-NORTHEAST OR NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 1310EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 1311 1312MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 1313KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND 1314MICHAEL IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN ABOUT 24 1315HOURS. 1316 1317TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM 1318FROM THE CENTER. 1319 1320ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 1321 1322 1323HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1324---------------------- 1325NONE. 1326 1327 1328NEXT ADVISORY 1329------------- 1330NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 1331 1332$$ 1333FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 1334 1335 1336WTNT33 KNHC 111438 1337TCPAT3 1338 1339BULLETIN 1340TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 34 1341NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012 13421100 AM AST TUE SEP 11 2012 1343 1344...MICHAEL FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... 1345 1346 1347SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1348----------------------------------------------- 1349LOCATION...39.2N 47.2W 1350ABOUT 1090 MI...1755 KM W OF THE AZORES 1351MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H 1352PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H 1353MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES 1354 1355 1356WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1357-------------------- 1358THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1359 1360 1361DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1362------------------------------ 1363AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL WAS 1364LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.2 WEST. MICHAEL IS 1365MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/H...AND THIS 1366MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. 1367 1368MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 1369KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL IS FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT 1370LOW LATER TODAY. 1371 1372TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM 1373FROM THE CENTER. 1374 1375THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES. 1376 1377 1378HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1379---------------------- 1380NONE. 1381 1382 1383NEXT ADVISORY 1384------------- 1385NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 1386 1387$$ 1388FORECASTER AVILA 1389 1390 1391