1WTNT33 KNHC 221459 2TCPAT3 3BULLETIN 4TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 5NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 61100 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 7 8...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...AIR FORCE 9RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE... 10 11 12SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 13----------------------------------------------- 14LOCATION...21.9N 75.0W 15ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF NASSAU 16ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA 17MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 18PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 19MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 20 21 22WATCHES AND WARNINGS 23-------------------- 24CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 25 26THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 27FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. 28 29A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST 30FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND 31FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO 32BONITA BEACH. 33 34A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA 35FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE 36OKEECHOBEE. 37 38SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 39 40A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 41* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 42* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 43THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 44OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 45 46A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 47* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 48INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 49 50A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 51EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 52 53A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 54POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 55 56FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 57STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 58MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 59FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 60UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 61METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 62 63 64DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 65------------------------------ 66AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL 67DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 6875.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6915 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 70SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 71 72MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 73GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 74 75ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 76 77 78HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 79---------------------- 80WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING 81PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 82WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 83TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON 84THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON 85FRIDAY. 86 87RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 88ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 89POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 90AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 91NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 92INCHES. 93 94STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 952 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 96FLORIDA KEYS. 97 98 99NEXT ADVISORY 100------------- 101NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 102NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 103 104$$ 105FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 106 107 108WTNT33 KNHC 221459 109TCPAT3 110BULLETIN 111TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 112NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 1131100 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 114 115...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...AIR FORCE 116RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE... 117 118 119SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 120----------------------------------------------- 121LOCATION...21.9N 75.0W 122ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF NASSAU 123ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA 124MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 125PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 126MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 127 128 129WATCHES AND WARNINGS 130-------------------- 131CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 132 133THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 134FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. 135 136A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST 137FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND 138FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO 139BONITA BEACH. 140 141A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA 142FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE 143OKEECHOBEE. 144 145SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 146 147A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 148* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 149* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 150THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 151OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 152 153A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 154* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 155INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 156 157A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 158EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 159 160A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 161POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 162 163FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 164STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 165MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 166FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 167UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 168METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 169 170 171DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 172------------------------------ 173AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL 174DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 17575.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17615 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 177SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 178 179MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 180GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 181 182ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 183 184 185HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 186---------------------- 187WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING 188PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 189WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 190TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON 191THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON 192FRIDAY. 193 194RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 195ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 196POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 197AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 198NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 199INCHES. 200 201STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2022 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 203FLORIDA KEYS. 204 205 206NEXT ADVISORY 207------------- 208NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 209NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 210 211$$ 212FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 213 214 215WTNT33 KNHC 221459 216TCPAT3 217BULLETIN 218TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 219NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 2201100 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 221 222...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...AIR FORCE 223RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE... 224 225 226SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 227----------------------------------------------- 228LOCATION...21.9N 75.0W 229ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF NASSAU 230ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA 231MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 232PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 233MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 234 235 236WATCHES AND WARNINGS 237-------------------- 238CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 239 240THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 241FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. 242 243A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST 244FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND 245FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO 246BONITA BEACH. 247 248A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA 249FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE 250OKEECHOBEE. 251 252SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 253 254A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 255* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 256* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 257THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 258OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 259 260A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 261* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 262INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 263 264A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 265EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 266 267A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 268POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 269 270FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 271STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 272MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 273FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 274UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 275METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 276 277 278DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 279------------------------------ 280AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL 281DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 28275.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 28315 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 284SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 285 286MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 287GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 288 289ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 290 291 292HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 293---------------------- 294WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING 295PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 296WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 297TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON 298THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON 299FRIDAY. 300 301RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 302ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 303POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 304AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 305NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 306INCHES. 307 308STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3092 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 310FLORIDA KEYS. 311 312 313NEXT ADVISORY 314------------- 315NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 316NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 317 318$$ 319FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 320 321 322WTNT33 KNHC 221459 323TCPAT3 324BULLETIN 325TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 326NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 3271100 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 328 329...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...AIR FORCE 330RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE... 331 332 333SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 334----------------------------------------------- 335LOCATION...21.9N 75.0W 336ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF NASSAU 337ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA 338MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 339PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 340MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 341 342 343WATCHES AND WARNINGS 344-------------------- 345CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 346 347THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 348FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. 349 350A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST 351FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND 352FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO 353BONITA BEACH. 354 355A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA 356FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE 357OKEECHOBEE. 358 359SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 360 361A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 362* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 363* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 364THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 365OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 366 367A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 368* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 369INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 370 371A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 372EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 373 374A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 375POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 376 377FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 378STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 379MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 380FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 381UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 382METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 383 384 385DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 386------------------------------ 387AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL 388DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 38975.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 39015 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 391SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 392 393MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 394GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 395 396ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 397 398 399HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 400---------------------- 401WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING 402PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 403WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 404TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON 405THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON 406FRIDAY. 407 408RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 409ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 410POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 411AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 412NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 413INCHES. 414 415STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 4162 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 417FLORIDA KEYS. 418 419 420NEXT ADVISORY 421------------- 422NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 423NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 424 425$$ 426FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 427 428 429WTNT33 KNHC 221459 430TCPAT3 431BULLETIN 432TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 433NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 4341100 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 435 436...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...AIR FORCE 437RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE... 438 439 440SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 441----------------------------------------------- 442LOCATION...21.9N 75.0W 443ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF NASSAU 444ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA 445MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 446PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 447MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 448 449 450WATCHES AND WARNINGS 451-------------------- 452CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 453 454THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 455FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. 456 457A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST 458FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND 459FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO 460BONITA BEACH. 461 462A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA 463FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE 464OKEECHOBEE. 465 466SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 467 468A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 469* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 470* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 471THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 472OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 473 474A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 475* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 476INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 477 478A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 479EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 480 481A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 482POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 483 484FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 485STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 486MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 487FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 488UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 489METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 490 491 492DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 493------------------------------ 494AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL 495DEPRESSION TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49675.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 49715 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 498SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 499 500MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 501GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 502 503ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 504 505 506HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 507---------------------- 508WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING 509PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 510WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 511TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON 512THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON 513FRIDAY. 514 515RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 516ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 517POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 518AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 519NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 520INCHES. 521 522STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 5232 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 524FLORIDA KEYS. 525 526 527NEXT ADVISORY 528------------- 529NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 530NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 531 532$$ 533FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 534 535 536WTNT33 KNHC 221737 537TCPAT3 538BULLETIN 539TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A 540NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 541200 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 542 543...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE 544DEPRESSION... 545 546 547SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 548---------------------------------------------- 549LOCATION...22.3N 74.9W 550ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF NASSAU 551ABOUT 400 MI...650 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA 552MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 553PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 554MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES 555 556 557WATCHES AND WARNINGS 558-------------------- 559CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 560 561NONE 562 563SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 564 565A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 566* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 567* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 568THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 569OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 570 571A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 572* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 573INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 574 575A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 576EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 577 578A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 579POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 580 581FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 582STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 583MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 584FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 585UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 586METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 587 588 589DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 590------------------------------ 591RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CENTER IS A LITTLE TO 592THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOCATION PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. AT 200 PM 593EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS 594ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST. THE 595DEPRESSION HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...IT 596SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 597KM/HR SOON...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. 598 599MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 600GUSTS. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE 601DEPRESSION AND WILL DETERMINE IF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME A TROPICAL 602STORM. 603 604ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. 605 606 607HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 608---------------------- 609WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING 610PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 611WILL SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND 612FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON THE FLORIDA 613COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON FRIDAY. 614 615RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 616ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 617POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 618AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 619NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 620INCHES. 621 622STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 6232 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 624FLORIDA KEYS. 625 626 627NEXT ADVISORY 628------------- 629NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 630 631$$ 632FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 633 634 635WTNT33 KNHC 222031 636TCPAT3 637BULLETIN 638TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2 639NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032010 640500 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010 641 642...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION 643HAS NOT STRENGTHENED... 644 645 646SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 647---------------------------------------------- 648LOCATION...22.7N 75.4W 649ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SE OF NASSAU 650ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM ESE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA 651MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 652PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 653MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 654 655 656WATCHES AND WARNINGS 657-------------------- 658CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 659 660NONE 661 662SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 663 664A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 665* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS 666* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING 667THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST 668OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH 669 670A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 671* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 672INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE 673 674A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 675EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 676 677A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 678POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 679 680FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 681STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 682MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 683FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 684UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 685METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 686 687 688DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 689------------------------------ 690AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN 691WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST. THE 692DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 693KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 694SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. 695 696DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS 697NOT STRENGTHENED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 698KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND THE 699DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR FRIDAY. 700 701THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE 702PLANE WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 703 704 705HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 706---------------------- 707WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND 708NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL 709BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN 710THE WARNING AREA FRIDAY MORNING. 711 712RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN 713ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH 714POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES. RAINFALL 715AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND 716NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7 717INCHES. 718 719STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 7202 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE 721FLORIDA KEYS. 722 723 724NEXT ADVISORY 725------------- 726NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. 727NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 728 729$$ 730FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS 731 732 733WTNT35 KNHC 060248 734TCPAT5 735BULLETIN 736TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1 737NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 7381000 PM CDT SUN SEP 05 2010 739 740...NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF 741MEXICO...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF MEXICO... 742 743 744SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 745----------------------------------------------- 746LOCATION...20.7N 95.2W 747ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 748ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 749MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR 750PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 751MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 752 753 754WATCHES AND WARNINGS 755-------------------- 756CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 757 758THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 759COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE. 760 761SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 762 763A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 764* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE 765 766A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 767EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 768TO 36 HOURS. 769 770FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 771STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 772MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 773FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 774THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 775METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 776 777 778DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 779------------------------------ 780AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN 781WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.2 WEST. THE 782DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN 783TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED 784BY LATE MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE 785DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO 786IN THE WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 787 788MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 789GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND THE 790DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON MONDAY. 791 792THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES... 793BASED ON REPORTS FROM NOAA BUOY 42055. 794 795 796HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 797---------------------- 798WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 799AREA MONDAY NIGHT. 800 801RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL 802ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH 803TEXAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE 804RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND 805MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN 806MEXICO. 807 808 809NEXT ADVISORY 810------------- 811NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT. 812NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 813 814$$ 815FORECASTER BLAKE/BRENNAN 816 817 818WTNT35 KNHC 060542 819TCPAT5 820BULLETIN 821TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A 822NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102010 823100 AM CDT MON SEP 06 2010 824 825...DEPRESSION A LITTLE STRONGER... 826 827 828SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 829---------------------------------------------- 830LOCATION...20.9N 95.0W 831ABOUT 270 MI...430 KM SE OF LA PESCA MEXICO 832ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM ESE OF TAMPICO MEXICO 833MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 834PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 835MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 836 837 838WATCHES AND WARNINGS 839-------------------- 840CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 841 842NONE. 843 844SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 845 846A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 847* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM TAMPICO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE 848 849A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 850EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 851ABOUT 24 HOURS. 852 853FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 854STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 855MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 856FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 857THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 858METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 859 860 861DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 862------------------------------ 863AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN 864WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.0 WEST. THE 865DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN 866TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED 867BY LATE TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION 868IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE 869WARNING AREA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. 870 871DATA FROM A NOAA BUOY IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO INDICATE 872THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH... 87355 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 874EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AND THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO 875BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 876 877THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 878 879 880HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 881---------------------- 882WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE WARNING 883AREA MONDAY NIGHT. 884 885RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL 886ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO INTO SOUTH 887TEXAS WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE 888RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND 889MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHEASTERN 890MEXICO. 891 892 893NEXT ADVISORY 894------------- 895NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT. 896 897$$ 898FORECASTER BROWN/BERG 899 900 901