1WTNT33 KNHC 221459
2TCPAT3
3BULLETIN
4TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
5NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL032010
61100 AM EDT THU JUL 22 2010
7
8...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE BAHAMAS...AIR FORCE
9RECONNAISSANCE PLANE EN ROUTE...
10
11
12SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
13-----------------------------------------------
14LOCATION...21.9N 75.0W
15ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SE OF NASSAU
16ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
17MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
18PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
19MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
20
21
22WATCHES AND WARNINGS
23--------------------
24CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
25
26THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
27FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.
28
29A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
30FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND
31FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO
32BONITA BEACH.
33
34A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
35FROM NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET INCLUDING LAKE
36OKEECHOBEE.
37
38SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
39
40A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
41* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
42* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING
43THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST
44OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH
45
46A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
47* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET
48INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE
49
50A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
51EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
52
53A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
54POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
55
56FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
57STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
58MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
59FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
60UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
61METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
62
63
64DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
65------------------------------
66AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
67DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE
6875.0 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR
6915 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
70SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
71
72MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
73GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
74
75ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
76
77
78HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
79----------------------
80WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING
81PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
82WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
83TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON
84THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON
85FRIDAY.
86
87RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
88ACCUMULATIONS OF OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH
89POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES.  RAINFALL
90AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND
91NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7
92INCHES.
93
94STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO
952 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE
96FLORIDA KEYS.
97
98
99NEXT ADVISORY
100-------------
101NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
102NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
103
104$$
105FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
106
107
108WTNT33 KNHC 221737
109TCPAT3
110BULLETIN
111TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A
112NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL032010
113200 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010
114
115...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE
116DEPRESSION...
117
118
119SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
120----------------------------------------------
121LOCATION...22.3N 74.9W
122ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF NASSAU
123ABOUT 400 MI...650 KM ESE OF KEY LARGO FLORIDA
124MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
125PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR
126MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
127
128
129WATCHES AND WARNINGS
130--------------------
131CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
132
133NONE
134
135SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
136
137A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
138* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
139* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING
140THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST
141OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH
142
143A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
144* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET
145INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE
146
147A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
148EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
149
150A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
151POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
152
153FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
154STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
155MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
156FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
157UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
158METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
159
160
161DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
162------------------------------
163RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CENTER IS A LITTLE TO
164THE NORTHEAST OF THE LOCATION PREVIOUSLY INDICATED. AT 200 PM
165EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS
166ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST. THE
167DEPRESSION HAS MOVED LITTLE DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...IT
168SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24
169KM/HR SOON...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
170
171MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
172GUSTS.  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE
173DEPRESSION AND WILL DETERMINE IF THE SYSTEM HAS BECOME A TROPICAL
174STORM.
175
176ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
177
178
179HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
180----------------------
181WIND...WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE ALREADY AFFECTING
182PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
183WILL SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND
184FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON THE FLORIDA
185COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON FRIDAY.
186
187RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
188ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH
189POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES.  RAINFALL
190AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND
191NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7
192INCHES.
193
194STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO
1952 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE
196FLORIDA KEYS.
197
198
199NEXT ADVISORY
200-------------
201NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
202
203$$
204FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
205
206
207WTNT33 KNHC 222031
208TCPAT3
209BULLETIN
210TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER   2
211NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     AL032010
212500 PM EDT THU JUL 22 2010
213
214...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THAT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
215HAS NOT STRENGTHENED...
216
217
218SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
219----------------------------------------------
220LOCATION...22.7N 75.4W
221ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM SE OF NASSAU
222ABOUT 425 MI...685 KM ESE OF KEY WEST FLORIDA
223MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
224PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
225MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
226
227
228WATCHES AND WARNINGS
229--------------------
230CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
231
232NONE
233
234SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
235
236A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
237* CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
238* FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD INCLUDING
239THE ENTIRE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY...AND ALONG THE WEST COAST
240OF FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH
241
242A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
243* THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF GOLDEN BEACH TO JUPITER INLET
244INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE
245
246A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
247EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
248
249A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
250POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
251
252FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
253STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
254MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
255FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
256UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
257METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
258
259
260DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
261------------------------------
262AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE
263WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST. THE
264DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22
265KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
266SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
267
268DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS
269NOT STRENGTHENED. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55
270KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE AND THE
271DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR FRIDAY.
272
273THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
274PLANE WAS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
275
276
277HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
278----------------------
279WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD OVER THE CENTRAL AND
280NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
281BEGIN TO DETERIORATE ON THE FLORIDA COAST AND FLORIDA KEYS WITHIN
282THE WARNING AREA FRIDAY MORNING.
283
284RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
285ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...WITH
286POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES.  RAINFALL
287AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER THE CENTRAL AND
288NORTHWEST BAHAMAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 7
289INCHES.
290
291STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO
2922 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL OVER PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS AND THE
293FLORIDA KEYS.
294
295
296NEXT ADVISORY
297-------------
298NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
299NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
300
301$$
302FORECASTER AVILA/ROBERTS
303
304
305