1WTNT31 KNHC 292036 2TCPAT1 3BULLETIN 4TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 1 5NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 6500 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010 7 8...THE NINETEENTH NAMED STORM OF THE SEASON FORMS SOUTHEAST OF THE 9WINDWARD ISLANDS...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED... 10 11 12SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 13---------------------------------------------- 14LOCATION...11.1N 57.5W 15ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM SE OF BARBADOS 16ABOUT 290 MI...470 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT 17MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 18PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR 19MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 20 21 22WATCHES AND WARNINGS 23-------------------- 24CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 25 26THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR 27BARBADOS...AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES. 28 29THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL WARNING FOR 30MARTINIQUE. 31 32THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 33FOR ST. LUCIA. 34 35THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM 36WARNING FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO...AND GRENADA. 37 38THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR 39DOMINICA. 40 41 42SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 43 44A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 45* BARBADOS...MARTINIQUE...ST. LUCIA...ST. VINCENT AND THE 46GRENADINES...GRENADA...AND TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 47 48A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 49* DOMINICA 50 51A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 52EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 5324 HOURS. 54 55A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 56POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. 57 58FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 59PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 60 61 62DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 63------------------------------ 64AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 65LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST. TOMAS IS 66MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND THIS 67GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 68ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PASS 69THROUGH THE CENTRAL WINDWARD ISLANDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 70 71MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 72GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 73TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SUNDAY. 74 75TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM 76FROM THE CENTER. 77 78THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE 79RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 80 81 82HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 83---------------------- 84RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 85OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 86INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 87ISLANDS. 88 89STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING 90WITHIN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 91LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 92 93 94NEXT ADVISORY 95------------- 96NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. 97NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 98 99$$ 100FORECASTER STEWART 101 102 103WTNT31 KNHC 292358 104TCPAT1 105BULLETIN 106TROPICAL STORM TOMAS SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 2 107NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 108800 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010 109 110...TOMAS STRENGTHENING QUICKLY EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... 111 112 113SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 114---------------------------------------------- 115LOCATION...11.6N 57.6W 116ABOUT 170 MI...270 KM SE OF BARBADOS 117ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT 118MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 119PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 120MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES 121 122 123WATCHES AND WARNINGS 124-------------------- 125CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 126 127NONE. 128 129SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 130 131A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 132* MARTINIQUE 133* ST. LUCIA 134* BARBADOS 135* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 136* GRENADA 137* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 138 139A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR... 140* DOMINICA 141 142A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 143EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 14424 HOURS. 145 146A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 147POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. 148 149HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD 150ISLANDS LATER THIS EVENING. 151 152FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 153PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 154 155 156DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 157------------------------------ 158AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 159LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.6 WEST. TOMAS IS 160MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS 161MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 162ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PASS 163THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 164 165AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 166HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME 167ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 168TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY LATE SATURDAY. 169 170TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 171FROM THE CENTER. 172 173THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY RECONNAISSANCE 174AIRCRAFT WAS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES. 175 176 177HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 178---------------------- 179WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE 180WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY. 181 182RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 183OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 184INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 185ISLANDS. 186 187STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING 188WITHIN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 189LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 190 191 192NEXT ADVISORY 193------------- 194NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 195 196$$ 197FORECASTER BERG/BROWN 198 199 200WTNT31 KNHC 300242 201TCPAT1 202BULLETIN 203TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 3 204NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2051100 PM AST FRI OCT 29 2010 206 207...TOMAS NEARING BARBADOS...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PORTIONS 208OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS... 209 210 211SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 212----------------------------------------------- 213LOCATION...12.2N 58.4W 214ABOUT 100 MI...165 KM SE OF BARBADOS 215ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT 216MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 217PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/HR 218MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 219 220 221WATCHES AND WARNINGS 222-------------------- 223CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 224 225THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 226FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES TO A HURRICANE 227WARNING. 228 229THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 230FOR ST. LUCIA TO A HURRICANE WARNING. 231 232THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR 233MARTINIQUE TO A HURRICANE WARNING. 234 235SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 236 237A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 238* BARBADOS 239* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 240* ST. LUCIA 241* MARTINIQUE 242 243A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 244* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 245* GRENADA 246* DOMINICA 247 248A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 249SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. 250PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING 251COMPLETION. 252 253A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 254EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 25524 HOURS. 256 257FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 258PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 259 260 261DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 262------------------------------ 263AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 264LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST. TOMAS IS 265MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. THIS 266GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY... 267FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD 268SPEED LATE SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS 269WILL APPROACH BARBADOS OVERNIGHT AND MOVE ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF 270THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. 271 272MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 273GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 274TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY MORNING AS IT PASSES 275NEAR BARBADOS AND MOVES ACROSS THE OTHER WINDWARD ISLANDS. 276 277TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 278FROM THE CENTER. 279 280BARBADOS REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 55 MPH...89 KM/HR...IN A SQUALL 281EARLIER THIS EVENING. 282 283ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 284 285 286HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 287---------------------- 288WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS 289BARBADOS SOON AND THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA EARLY SATURDAY. 290HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON BARBADOS EARLY SATURDAY AND 291WITHIN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER SATURDAY 292MORNING. 293 294RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 295OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 296INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 297ISLANDS. 298 299STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 300AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 301ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 302POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 303 304 305NEXT ADVISORY 306------------- 307NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. 308NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 309 310$$ 311FORECASTER BERG/BROWN 312 313WTNT31 KNHC 300539 314TCPAT1 315BULLETIN 316TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A 317NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 318200 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 319 320...CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS NEAR BARBADOS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS... 321 322 323SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 324---------------------------------------------- 325LOCATION...12.4N 58.8W 326ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM SE OF BARBADOS 327ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT 328MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 329PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 330MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 331 332 333WATCHES AND WARNINGS 334-------------------- 335CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 336 337NONE. 338 339SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 340 341A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 342* BARBADOS 343* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 344* ST. LUCIA 345* MARTINIQUE 346 347A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 348* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 349* GRENADA 350* DOMINICA 351 352A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 353SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS. 354PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING 355COMPLETION. 356 357A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 358EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 35924 HOURS. 360 361FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 362PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 363 364 365DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 366------------------------------ 367AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 368LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.8 WEST. TOMAS IS 369MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. THIS 370GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY... 371WITH A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 372EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS 373WILL APPROACH BARBADOS IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND MOVE ACROSS THE 374REMAINDER OF THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SATURDAY. 375 376MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 377GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND 378TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY MORNING. 379 380TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 381FROM THE CENTER. 382 383BARBADOS RECENTLY REPORTED A 10-MINUTE WIND OF 38 MPH...61 KM/HR. 384A WIND GUST TO 58 MPH...93 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON BARBADOS A 385COUPLE OF HOURS AGO. 386 387ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 388 389 390HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 391---------------------- 392WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON BARBADOS...AND 393WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA EARLY 394SATURDAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BARBADOS EARLY 395SATURDAY AND WITHIN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 396LATER SATURDAY MORNING. 397 398RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 399OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 400INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 401ISLANDS. 402 403STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 404AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 405ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 406POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 407 408 409NEXT ADVISORY 410------------- 411NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 412 413$$ 414FORECASTER BRENNAN 415 416 417WTNT31 KNHC 300848 418TCPAT1 419BULLETIN 420TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 4 421NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 422500 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 423 424...TOMAS NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT PASSES NEAR BARBADOS AND 425HEADS TOWARD THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS... 426 427 428SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 429---------------------------------------------- 430LOCATION...12.9N 59.5W 431ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM S OF BARBADOS 432ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM ESE OF ST. VINCENT 433MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 434PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 435MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 436 437 438WATCHES AND WARNINGS 439-------------------- 440CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 441 442NONE. 443 444SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 445 446A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 447* BARBADOS 448* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 449* ST. LUCIA 450* MARTINIQUE 451 452A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 453* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 454* GRENADA 455* DOMINICA 456 457A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 458SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. 459PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. 460 461A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 462EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 463THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 464 465FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 466PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 467 468 469DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 470------------------------------ 471AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 472LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST. TOMAS IS 473MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS 474MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD 475SPEED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 476TOMAS WILL PASS THROUGH THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS TODAY AND 477ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TONIGHT. 478 479MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR... 480WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 481HOURS...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE TODAY. 482 483TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 484FROM THE CENTER. 485 486BARBADOS RECENTLY REPORTED A 10-MINUTE WIND OF 36 MPH...57 KM/HR 487...AND A PRESSURE OF 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 488 489ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 490 491 492HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 493---------------------- 494WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON BARBADOS...AND 495WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. 496HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 497LATER THIS MORNING. 498 499RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 500OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 501INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 502ISLANDS. 503 504STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 505AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 506ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 507POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 508 509 510NEXT ADVISORY 511------------- 512NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. 513NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 514 515$$ 516FORECASTER BRENNAN 517 518 519WTNT31 KNHC 301157 520TCPAT1 521BULLETIN 522TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A 523NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 524800 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 525 526...TOMAS CAUSES DAMAGE ON BARBADOS...NOW HEADING TOWARD THE 527NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AT NEAR-HURRICANE STRENGTH... 528 529 530SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 531---------------------------------------------- 532LOCATION...13.1N 60.1W 533ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM SE OF ST. LUCIA 534ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM E OF ST. VINCENT 535MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 536PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 537MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES 538 539 540WATCHES AND WARNINGS 541-------------------- 542CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 543 544NONE. 545 546SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 547 548A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 549* BARBADOS 550* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 551* ST. LUCIA 552* MARTINIQUE 553 554A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 555* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 556* GRENADA 557* DOMINICA 558 559A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 560SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. 561PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. 562 563A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 564EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 565THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 566 567FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED 568STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 569METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 570 571 572DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 573------------------------------ 574AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 575LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST. TOMAS IS 576MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS 577MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD 578SPEED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 579TOMAS WILL PASS THROUGH THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON 580AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TONIGHT. 581 582MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR... 583WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 584HOURS...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 585 586TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 587FROM THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A WIND GUST TO 63 MPH...100 588KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON BARBADOS. INFORMATION FROM THE BARBADOS 589METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE INDICATES THAT DAMAGE TO HOMES AND DOWNED 590POWER LINES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ON THE ISLAND. 591 592THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE 593RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. 594 595 596HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 597---------------------- 598WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON BARBADOS...AND 599WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. 600HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 601LATER THIS MORNING. 602 603RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 604OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 605INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 606ISLANDS. 607 608STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 609AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 610ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 611POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 612 613 614NEXT ADVISORY 615------------- 616NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 617 618$$ 619FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI 620 621 622WTNT31 KNHC 301432 623TCPAT1 624BULLETIN 625HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 5 626NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 6271100 AM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 628 629...TWELFTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON BEARING DOWN ON ST. LUCIA 630AND ST. VINCENT... 631 632 633SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 634----------------------------------------------- 635LOCATION...13.3N 60.7W 636ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM SSE OF ST. LUCIA 637ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM E OF ST. VINCENT 638MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 639PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 640MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES 641 642 643WATCHES AND WARNINGS 644-------------------- 645CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 646 647THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING 648WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS 649 650SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 651 652A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 653* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 654* ST. LUCIA 655* MARTINIQUE 656 657A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 658* BARBADOS 659* DOMINICA 660* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 661* GRENADA 662 663A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 664SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. 665PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. 666 667A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 668EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 669THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 670 671FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 672STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 673MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 674FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 675THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 676METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 677 678 679DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 680------------------------------ 681AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 682LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST. TOMAS IS 683MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THIS 684MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD 685SPEED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 686TOMAS WILL PASS NEAR ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT THIS AFTERNOON... 687AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TONIGHT. 688 689RECENT REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT 690INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH... 691120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A NOW CATEGORY ONE 692HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING 693IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 694 695HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 696THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 697175 MILES...280 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A WIND GUST TO 53 MPH... 69885 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON ST. LUCIA. 699 700THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE 701RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. 702 703 704HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 705---------------------- 706WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA...AND 707WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGHOUT THE 708DAY. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING 709AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. 710 711RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 712OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 713INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 714ISLANDS. 715 716STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 717AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 718ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 719POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 720 721 722NEXT ADVISORY 723------------- 724NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST. 725NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 726 727$$ 728FORECASTER STEWART 729 730 731WTNT31 KNHC 301737 732TCPAT1 733BULLETIN 734HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 5A 735NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 736200 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 737 738...TOMAS LASHING ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT WITH STRONG WINDS 739AND HEAVY RAINS... 740 741 742SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 743---------------------------------------------- 744LOCATION...13.4N 61.0W 745ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF ST. VINCENT 746ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM S OF ST. LUCIA 747MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 748PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 749MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES 750 751 752WATCHES AND WARNINGS 753-------------------- 754CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 755 756THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL 757STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD. 758 759SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 760 761A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 762* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 763* ST. LUCIA 764* MARTINIQUE 765 766A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 767* BARBADOS 768* DOMINICA 769* TOBAGO 770* GRENADA 771 772A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 773SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. 774PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. 775 776A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 777EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 778THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 779 780FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED 781STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 782METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 783 784 785DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 786------------------------------ 787AT 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 788LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 789MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS 790MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD 791SPEED TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 792TOMAS WILL PASS NEAR ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT THIS AFTERNOON... 793AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TONIGHT. 794 795MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 796GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 797SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 798 799HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 800THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 801175 MILES...280 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 80248 MPH...78 KM/HR...WITH A GUST TO 69 MPH...110 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED 803ON ST. LUCIA. A WIND GUST TO 51 MPH...82 KM/HR...WAS RECENTLY 804REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE. 805 806THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE 807RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. 808 809 810HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 811---------------------- 812WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA...ST. 813VINCENT...AND MARTINIQUE...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF 814THE WARNING AREA THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. 815HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING 816AREA THIS AFTERNOON AT ANY TIME. 817 818RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 819OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 820INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 821ISLANDS. 822 823STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 824AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 825ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 826POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 827 828 829NEXT ADVISORY 830------------- 831NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 832 833$$ 834FORECASTER STEWART 835 836 837WTNT31 KNHC 302043 838TCPAT1 839BULLETIN 840HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 6 841NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 842500 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 843 844...TOMAS CONTINUES TO LASH ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT WITH STRONG 845WINDS...HEAVY RAINS...AND BATTERING SURF CONDITIONS... 846 847 848SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 849---------------------------------------------- 850LOCATION...13.5N 61.4W 851ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SW OF ST. LUCIA 852ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM NW OF ST. VINCENT 853MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 854PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 855MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES 856 857 858WATCHES AND WARNINGS 859-------------------- 860CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 861 862THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 863WARNING FOR BARBADOS. 864 865SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 866 867A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 868* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 869* ST. LUCIA 870* MARTINIQUE 871 872A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 873* DOMINICA 874* TOBAGO 875* GRENADA 876 877A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 878SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. 879PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. 880 881A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 882EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 883THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 884 885FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 886PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 887 888 889DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 890------------------------------ 891AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 892NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.4 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 893TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION 894IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 895CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS BETWEEN ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT THIS 896AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND ENTER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA LATER 897TONIGHT. 898 899MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 900GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 901HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 902NEXT 48 HOURS. 903 904HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 905THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 906175 MILES...280 KM. DURING THE PAST HOUR...A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH... 90772 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE AND A WIND GUST TO 40 MPH... 90865 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON DOMINICA. RECENT REPORTS FROM HAM RADIO 909OPERATORS INDICATE WIDESPREAD DAMAGE TO HOMES AND POWER LINES HAS 910OCCURRED ON BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...AND ST. VINCENT. ALSO... 911HEWANORRA AIRPORT ON ST. LUCIA HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS. 912 913ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. 914 915 916HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 917---------------------- 918WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA...ST. 919VINCENT...AND MARTINIQUE...AND WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF 920THE WARNING AREA THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND 921CONTINUING INTO THIS EVENING. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY 922OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA AND ST. VINCENT...AND ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN 923ELSEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS EVENING. 924 925RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 926OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 927INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 928ISLANDS. 929 930STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 931AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 932ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 933POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 934 935 936NEXT ADVISORY 937------------- 938NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. 939NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 940 941$$ 942FORECASTER STEWART 943 944 945WTNT31 KNHC 302201 946TCPAT1 947BULLETIN 948HURRICANE TOMAS SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 7 949NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 950600 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 951 952...OBSERVATIONS FROM ST. LUCIA INDICATE THAT TOMAS HAS 953STRENGTHENED... 954 955 956SUMMARY OF 600 PM AST...2200 UTC...INFORMATION 957---------------------------------------------- 958LOCATION...13.5N 61.6W 959ABOUT 45 MI...75 KM WSW OF ST. LUCIA 960ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT 961MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR 962PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 963MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES 964 965 966WATCHES AND WARNINGS 967-------------------- 968CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 969 970NONE. 971 972SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 973 974A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 975* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 976* ST. LUCIA 977* MARTINIQUE 978 979A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 980* DOMINICA 981* TOBAGO 982* GRENADA 983 984A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 985SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS. 986PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE. 987 988A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 989EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 990THE NEXT 12 HOURS. 991 992FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 993PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 994 995 996DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 997------------------------------ 998AT 600 PM AST...2200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 999NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.6 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 1000TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION 1001IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 1002CENTER OF TOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM ST. LUCIA AND ST. 1003VINCENT THIS EVENING. 1004 1005MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1006GUSTS BASED ON RECENT REPORTS FROM THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ST. 1007LUCIA. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 1008HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 1009DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1010 1011HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 1012THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1013MILES...280 KM. 1014 1015ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. 1016 1017 1018HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1019---------------------- 1020WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING ON ST. LUCIA AND ARE ALSO 1021LIKELY OCCURRING WITHIN OTHER PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING 1022AREA. THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS 1023TOMAS MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM 1024CONDITIONS ARE ALSO OCCURRING ON THE OTHER ISLANDS WITHIN THE 1025TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. 1026 1027RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 1028OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 1029INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 1030ISLANDS. 1031 1032STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 1033AS MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITHIN AREAS OF 1034ONSHORE FLOW. THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND 1035POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 1036 1037 1038NEXT ADVISORY 1039------------- 1040NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST. 1041NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 1042 1043$$ 1044FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN 1045 1046 1047WTNT31 KNHC 302352 1048TCPAT1 1049BULLETIN 1050HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 7A 1051NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1052800 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 1053 1054...CORE OF TOMAS MOVING AWAY FROM ST. VINCENT AND ST. LUCIA... 1055 1056 1057SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 1058---------------------------------------------- 1059LOCATION...13.5N 61.7W 1060ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM NW OF ST. VINCENT 1061ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM WSW OF ST. LUCIA 1062MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR 1063PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 1064MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES 1065 1066 1067WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1068-------------------- 1069CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1070 1071NONE. 1072 1073SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1074 1075A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1076* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 1077* ST. LUCIA 1078* MARTINIQUE 1079 1080A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1081* DOMINICA 1082* TOBAGO 1083* GRENADA 1084 1085FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1086PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1087 1088 1089DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1090------------------------------ 1091AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 1092NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.7 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 1093TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION 1094IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 1095CENTER OF TOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM ST. LUCIA AND ST. 1096VINCENT THIS EVENING. 1097 1098MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1099GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 1100HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 1101DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1102 1103HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 1104THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1105MILES...280 KM. 1106 1107ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. 1108 1109 1110HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1111---------------------- 1112WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING WITHIN PORTIONS OF 1113THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA...PARTICULARLY ON ST. LUCIA AND ST. 1114VINCENT...BUT THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL 1115HOURS AS TOMAS MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. 1116TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING ON THE OTHER ISLANDS 1117WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. 1118 1119RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 1120OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 1121INCHES...ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD 1122ISLANDS. 1123 1124STORM SURGE...LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES ARE STILL 1125POSSIBLE...BUT STORM SURGE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA WILL 1126GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 1127 1128 1129NEXT ADVISORY 1130------------- 1131NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 1132 1133$$ 1134FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN 1135 1136 1137WTNT31 KNHC 310246 1138TCPAT1 1139BULLETIN 1140HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 8 1141NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 11421100 PM AST SAT OCT 30 2010 1143 1144...CENTER OF TOMAS NOW OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...TROPICAL 1145STORM CONDITIONS STILL OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD 1146ISLANDS... 1147 1148 1149SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1150----------------------------------------------- 1151LOCATION...13.6N 62.1W 1152ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT 1153ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1154MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR 1155PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 1156MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES 1157 1158 1159WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1160-------------------- 1161CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1162 1163THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR ST. 1164VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 1165 1166THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR 1167ST. LUCIA TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 1168 1169THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR 1170MARTINIQUE TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 1171 1172SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1173 1174A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1175* DOMINICA 1176* MARTINIQUE 1177* ST. LUCIA 1178* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 1179* TOBAGO 1180* GRENADA 1181 1182THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO WILL BE DISCONTINUING THE 1183TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST. 1184 1185FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1186PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1187 1188 1189DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1190------------------------------ 1191AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 1192LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.1 WEST. TOMAS IS 1193MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS 1194GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... 1195FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST 1196TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE 1197WINDWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. 1198 1199MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1200GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 1201HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 1202NEXT 48 HOURS. 1203 1204HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM 1205THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1206MILES...280 KM. OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...A WIND GUST TO 53 1207MPH...85 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE. A WIND GUST TO 49 1208MPH...80 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED ON BARBADOS WITHIN A RAINBAND WELL TO 1209THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 1210 1211ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. 1212 1213 1214HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1215---------------------- 1216WIND...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS HAVE MOVED WEST OF THE WINDWARD 1217ISLANDS. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING ON THE 1218ISLANDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 1219SUNDAY MORNING. 1220 1221RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN 1222ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND 1223SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM 1224TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. 1225 1226STORM SURGE...LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES ARE STILL 1227POSSIBLE...BUT WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO 1228DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 1229 1230 1231NEXT ADVISORY 1232------------- 1233NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM AST. 1234NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 1235 1236$$ 1237FORECASTER BERG/FRANKLIN 1238 1239 1240WTNT31 KNHC 310556 1241TCPAT1 1242BULLETIN 1243HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A 1244NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1245200 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1246 1247...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS TOMAS A LITTLE STRONGER... 1248 1249 1250SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 1251---------------------------------------------- 1252LOCATION...13.8N 62.4W 1253ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT 1254ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1255MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR 1256PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 1257MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES 1258 1259 1260WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1261-------------------- 1262CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1263 1264THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL 1265STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST. 1266 1267SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1268 1269A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1270* DOMINICA 1271* MARTINIQUE 1272* ST. LUCIA 1273* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 1274 1275FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1276PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1277 1278 1279DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1280------------------------------ 1281AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 1282LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 1283LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD 1284THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION 1285IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN 1286TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 1287TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS 1288OVERNIGHT. 1289 1290DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM 1291SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/HR...WITH 1292HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 1293SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS 1294FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1295 1296HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM 1297THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1298MILES...280 KM. IN THE PAST HOUR A WIND GUST TO 48 MPH...78 KM/HR 1299...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE. 1300 1301THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. 1302 1303 1304HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1305---------------------- 1306WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING ON THE 1307ISLANDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 1308THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 1309 1310RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN 1311ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND 1312SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM 1313TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. 1314 1315STORM SURGE...LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES ARE STILL 1316POSSIBLE...BUT WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO 1317DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 1318 1319 1320NEXT ADVISORY 1321------------- 1322NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 1323 1324$$ 1325FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS 1326 1327 1328WTNT31 KNHC 310608 CCA 1329TCPAT1 1330 1331BULLETIN 1332HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A...CORRECTED 1333NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1334200 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1335 1336CORRECTED EXTENT OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS 1337 1338...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS TOMAS A LITTLE STRONGER... 1339 1340 1341SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 1342---------------------------------------------- 1343LOCATION...13.8N 62.4W 1344ABOUT 90 MI...140 KM WNW OF ST. VINCENT 1345ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1346MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/HR 1347PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 1348MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB...29.00 INCHES 1349 1350 1351WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1352-------------------- 1353CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1354 1355THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL 1356STORM WARNING FOR TOBAGO AND GRENADA AT MIDNIGHT AST. 1357 1358SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1359 1360A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1361* DOMINICA 1362* MARTINIQUE 1363* ST. LUCIA 1364* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 1365 1366FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1367PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1368 1369 1370DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1371------------------------------ 1372AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 1373LOCATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT NEAR 1374LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.4 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD 1375THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION 1376IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN 1377TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 1378TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS 1379OVERNIGHT. 1380 1381DATA FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM 1382SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...155 KM/HR...WITH 1383HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 1384SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS 1385FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1386 1387HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM 1388THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1389MILES...280 KM. IN THE PAST HOUR A WIND GUST TO 48 MPH...78 KM/HR 1390...WAS REPORTED ON MARTINIQUE. 1391 1392THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. 1393 1394 1395HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1396---------------------- 1397WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING ON THE 1398ISLANDS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...AND ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE 1399THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. 1400 1401RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN 1402ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND 1403SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH SUNDAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM 1404TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. 1405 1406STORM SURGE...LARGE AND POTENTIALLY DESTRUCTIVE WAVES ARE STILL 1407POSSIBLE...BUT WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO 1408DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. 1409 1410 1411NEXT ADVISORY 1412------------- 1413NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 1414 1415$$ 1416FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS 1417 1418 1419WTNT31 KNHC 310838 1420TCPAT1 1421BULLETIN 1422HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 9 1423NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1424500 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1425 1426...TOMAS STILL PRODUCING RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE WINDWARD 1427ISLANDS... 1428 1429 1430SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1431---------------------------------------------- 1432LOCATION...14.0N 62.9W 1433ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1434ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO 1435MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR 1436PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 1437MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES 1438 1439 1440WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1441-------------------- 1442CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1443 1444NONE. 1445 1446SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1447 1448A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1449* DOMINICA 1450* MARTINIQUE 1451* ST. LUCIA 1452* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 1453 1454THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. 1455 1456FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1457PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1458 1459 1460DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1461------------------------------ 1462AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 1463NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 1464TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL 1465MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN 1466TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 1467TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS OVERNIGHT. 1468 1469MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH 1470HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 1471SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED 1472TODAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY NIGHT 1473THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY. 1474 1475HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM 1476THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1477MILES...280 KM. 1478 1479IN THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...MARTINIQUE REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 43 1480MPH...69 KM/HR. 1481 1482THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM AN AIR 1483FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. 1484 1485 1486HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1487---------------------- 1488WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING WITHIN THE 1489WARNING AREA...BUT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. 1490 1491RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN 1492ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND 1493SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM 1494TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. 1495 1496STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO 1497DIMINISH TODAY. 1498 1499 1500NEXT ADVISORY 1501------------- 1502NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST. 1503NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 1504 1505$$ 1506FORECASTER BRENNAN 1507 1508 1509WTNT31 KNHC 311147 1510TCPAT1 1511BULLETIN 1512HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 9A 1513NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1514800 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1515 1516...TOMAS SLOWLY MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...HEAVY RAINS 1517LINGER OVER MUCH OF THE LESSER ANTILLES... 1518 1519 1520SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 1521---------------------------------------------- 1522LOCATION...14.0N 63.3W 1523ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1524ABOUT 355 MI...575 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO 1525MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR 1526PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 1527MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES 1528 1529 1530WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1531-------------------- 1532CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1533 1534NONE. 1535 1536SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1537 1538A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 1539* DOMINICA 1540* MARTINIQUE 1541* ST. LUCIA 1542* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES 1543 1544THESE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. 1545 1546FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1547PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1548 1549 1550DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1551------------------------------ 1552AT 800 AM AST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 1553NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.3 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 1554TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL 1555MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN 1556TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 1557TOMAS WILL CONTINUE MOVING AWAY FROM THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS 1558MORNING. 1559 1560MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH 1561HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE 1562SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE 1563TODAY...WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH EXPECTED FROM TONIGHT 1564THROUGH TUESDAY. 1565 1566HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM 1567THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1568MILES...280 KM. 1569 1570THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. 1571 1572 1573HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1574---------------------- 1575WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE STILL OCCURRING WITHIN THE 1576WARNING AREA...BUT WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. 1577 1578RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN 1579ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND 1580SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM 1581TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. 1582 1583STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WILL CONTINUE TO 1584DIMINISH TODAY. 1585 1586 1587NEXT ADVISORY 1588------------- 1589NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 1590 1591$$ 1592FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 1593 1594 1595WTNT31 KNHC 311443 1596TCPAT1 1597BULLETIN 1598HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 10 1599NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 16001100 AM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1601 1602...TOMAS WEAKENS SLIGHTLY... 1603 1604 1605SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1606----------------------------------------------- 1607LOCATION...14.0N 63.7W 1608ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1609ABOUT 345 MI...550 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO 1610MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR 1611PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 1612MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES 1613 1614 1615WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1616-------------------- 1617CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 1618 1619THE GOVERNMENTS OF BARBADOS...FRANCE...AND ST. LUCIA HAVE 1620DISCONTINUED ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS. 1621 1622SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 1623 1624THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1625 1626FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 1627PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 1628 1629 1630DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1631------------------------------ 1632AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 1633LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.7 WEST. TOMAS IS 1634MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. THIS 1635GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...FOLLOWED 1636BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST ON MONDAY. TOMAS IS FORECAST TO MOVE 1637ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1638 1639MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH 1640HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 1641SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING IS 1642FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN 1643STRENGTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. 1644 1645HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES...65 KM...FROM 1646THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 1647MILES...280 KM. 1648 1649ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. 1650 1651 1652HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1653---------------------- 1654RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN 1655ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND 1656SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM 1657TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH TOMAS. 1658 1659 1660NEXT ADVISORY 1661------------- 1662NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 1663 1664$$ 1665FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 1666 1667 1668WTNT31 KNHC 312030 1669TCPAT1 1670BULLETIN 1671HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 11 1672NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1673500 PM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1674 1675...HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT FINDS TOMAS WEAKER... 1676 1677 1678SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1679---------------------------------------------- 1680LOCATION...14.4N 64.9W 1681ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM W OF ST. LUCIA 1682ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO 1683MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 1684PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 1685MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 1686 1687 1688WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1689-------------------- 1690THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1691 1692 1693DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1694------------------------------ 1695AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 1696NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 1697TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS 1698EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 1699 1700MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 1701KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST 1702DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH 1703MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. 1704 1705HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 1706THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 1707MILES...240 KM. 1708 1709ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 1710 1711 1712HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1713---------------------- 1714RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE 1715OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS THROUGH 1716TONIGHT. 1717 1718 1719NEXT ADVISORY 1720------------- 1721NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 1722 1723$$ 1724FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 1725 1726 1727WTNT31 KNHC 010234 1728TCPAT1 1729BULLETIN 1730TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 12 1731NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 17321100 PM AST SUN OCT 31 2010 1733 1734...TOMAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... 1735 1736 1737SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 1738----------------------------------------------- 1739LOCATION...14.2N 66.5W 1740ABOUT 215 MI...350 KM NE OF CURACAO 1741ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM S OF PONCE PUERTO RICO 1742MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 1743PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 1744MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 1745 1746 1747WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1748-------------------- 1749THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1750 1751 1752DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1753------------------------------ 1754AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 1755LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST. TOMAS IS 1756MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A WESTWARD MOTION 1757WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 1758HOURS. 1759 1760MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 1761KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING 1762THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 1763 1764TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM 1765FROM THE CENTER. 1766 1767ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 1768 1769 1770HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1771---------------------- 1772RAINFALL...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE 1773OVER PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND SOUTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS 1774OVERNIGHT. 1775 1776 1777NEXT ADVISORY 1778------------- 1779NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 1780 1781$$ 1782FORECASTER BERG 1783 1784 1785WTNT31 KNHC 010831 1786TCPAT1 1787BULLETIN 1788TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 13 1789NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1790500 AM AST MON NOV 01 2010 1791 1792...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT TOMAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... 1793 1794 1795SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1796---------------------------------------------- 1797LOCATION...13.8N 67.7W 1798ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM NE OF CURACAO 1799MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 1800PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 1801MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 1802 1803 1804WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1805-------------------- 1806THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1807 1808 1809DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1810------------------------------ 1811AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 1812LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST. TOMAS IS 1813MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 1814MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 1815HOURS. 1816 1817MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 1818KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER 1819THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT RESTRENGTHENING IS COULD BEGIN BY LATE 1820TUESDAY. 1821 1822TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM 1823FROM THE CENTER. 1824 1825AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM 1826CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 1827 1828 1829HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1830---------------------- 1831NONE 1832 1833 1834NEXT ADVISORY 1835------------- 1836NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 1837 1838$$ 1839FORECASTER PASCH 1840 1841 1842WTNT31 KNHC 010857 1843TCPAT1 1844BULLETIN 1845TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 13...CORRECTED 1846NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1847500 AM AST MON NOV 01 2010 1848 1849DELETED EXTRANEOUS WORD IN INTENSITY FORECAST STATEMENT 1850 1851...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT TOMAS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... 1852 1853 1854SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 1855---------------------------------------------- 1856LOCATION...13.8N 67.7W 1857ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM NE OF CURACAO 1858MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 1859PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 1860MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 1861 1862 1863WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1864-------------------- 1865THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1866 1867 1868DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1869------------------------------ 1870AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 1871LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST. TOMAS IS 1872MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 1873MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 48 1874HOURS. 1875 1876MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 1877KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER 1878THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT RESTRENGTHENING COULD BEGIN BY LATE 1879TUESDAY. 1880 1881TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM 1882FROM THE CENTER. 1883 1884AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM 1885CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 1886 1887 1888HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1889---------------------- 1890NONE 1891 1892 1893NEXT ADVISORY 1894------------- 1895NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 1896 1897$$ 1898FORECASTER PASCH 1899 1900 1901WTNT31 KNHC 011436 1902TCPAT1 1903BULLETIN 1904TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 14 1905NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 19061100 AM AST MON NOV 01 2010 1907 1908...TOMAS WEAKENS A LITTLE MORE OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN 1909SEA... 1910 1911 1912SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 1913----------------------------------------------- 1914LOCATION...13.6N 68.7W 1915ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM NNE OF CURACAO 1916ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 1917MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 1918PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 255 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 1919MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1920 1921 1922WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1923-------------------- 1924THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1925 1926 1927DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1928------------------------------ 1929AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 1930LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.7 WEST. TOMAS IS 1931MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A GENERAL 1932WESTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING 1933THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. 1934 1935MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR... 1936WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST TODAY...BUT 1937RESTRENGTHENING COULD BEGIN BY LATE TUESDAY. 1938 1939TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 1940MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 1941 1942ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 1943 1944 1945HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 1946---------------------- 1947NONE 1948 1949 1950NEXT ADVISORY 1951------------- 1952NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 1953 1954$$ 1955FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 1956 1957 1958WTNT31 KNHC 012041 1959TCPAT1 1960BULLETIN 1961TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 15 1962NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 1963500 PM AST MON NOV 01 2010 1964 1965...DISORGANIZED TOMAS MOVING TOWARD THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... 1966 1967 1968SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 1969---------------------------------------------- 1970LOCATION...13.4N 69.7W 1971ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNE OF ARUBA 1972ABOUT 400 MI...640 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 1973MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 1974PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 1975MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 1976 1977 1978WATCHES AND WARNINGS 1979-------------------- 1980THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 1981 1982INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND HAITI SHOULD 1983MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. 1984 1985 1986DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 1987------------------------------ 1988AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 1989LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST. TOMAS IS 1990MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION 1991WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR 1992TWO. 1993 1994MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 1995GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOME 1996STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY. 1997 1998TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 1999FROM THE CENTER. 2000 2001ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 2002 2003 2004HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2005---------------------- 2006NONE 2007 2008 2009NEXT ADVISORY 2010------------- 2011NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 2012 2013$$ 2014FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 2015 2016 2017WTNT31 KNHC 020232 2018TCPAT1 2019BULLETIN 2020TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 16 2021NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 20221100 PM EDT MON NOV 01 2010 2023 2024...TOMAS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA...NO 2025CHANGE IN INTENSITY... 2026 2027 2028SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 2029----------------------------------------------- 2030LOCATION...13.5N 70.8W 2031ABOUT 365 MI...590 KM SSE OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2032ABOUT 505 MI...815 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2033MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 2034PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 2035MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES 2036 2037 2038WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2039-------------------- 2040THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 2041 2042INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...HAITI...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD 2043MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. 2044 2045 2046DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2047------------------------------ 2048AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2049LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST. TOMAS IS 2050MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A WESTWARD MOTION 2051WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 2052TUESDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND 2053NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. 2054 2055MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2056GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 2057HOURS...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY. 2058 2059TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM 2060MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 2061 2062ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. 2063 2064 2065HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2066---------------------- 2067NONE. 2068 2069 2070NEXT ADVISORY 2071------------- 2072NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 2073 2074$$ 2075FORECASTER BERG 2076 2077 2078WTNT31 KNHC 020833 2079TCPAT1 2080BULLETIN 2081TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 17 2082NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2083500 AM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 2084 2085...TOMAS BECOMES A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT CONTINUES WESTWARD ACROSS 2086THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA... 2087 2088 2089SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 2090---------------------------------------------- 2091LOCATION...13.5N 72.0W 2092ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM S OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2093ABOUT 445 MI...715 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2094MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 2095PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 2096MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 2097 2098 2099WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2100-------------------- 2101THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 2102 2103 2104DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2105------------------------------ 2106AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2107LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 2108MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 2109WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 2110HOURS. 2111 2112REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT 2113INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 2114MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL SLOW STRENGTHENING 2115IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2116 2117TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 2118FROM THE CENTER. 2119 2120THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTERS WAS 21211003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 2122 2123 2124HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2125---------------------- 2126NONE. 2127 2128 2129NEXT ADVISORY 2130------------- 2131NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 2132 2133$$ 2134FORECASTER PASCH 2135 2136 2137WTNT31 KNHC 021452 2138TCPAT1 2139BULLETIN 2140TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 18 2141NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 21421100 AM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 2143 2144...TOMAS CONTINUES WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN 2145SEA...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN... 2146 2147 2148SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 2149----------------------------------------------- 2150LOCATION...13.5N 72.6W 2151ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM S OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2152ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2153MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 2154PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 2155MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 2156 2157 2158WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2159-------------------- 2160THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 2161 2162INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...HAITI...AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD 2163MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A SIGNIFICANT 2164THREAT TO THESE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2165 2166 2167DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2168------------------------------ 2169AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2170LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST. TOMAS IS 2171MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 2172WEST-NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 2173IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2174 2175MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2176GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TOMAS 2177COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH ON WEDNESDAY. 2178 2179TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 2180FROM THE CENTER. 2181 2182ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 2183 2184 2185HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2186---------------------- 2187RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2188OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. 2189RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN COASTAL 2190AREAS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. 2191 2192 2193NEXT ADVISORY 2194------------- 2195NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 2196 2197$$ 2198FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 2199 2200 2201WTNT31 KNHC 022046 2202TCPAT1 2203BULLETIN 2204TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 19 2205NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2206500 PM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 2207 2208...HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND TOMAS WEAKER BUT STILL FORECAST TO 2209STRENGTHEN...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR JAMAICA... 2210 2211 2212SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 2213---------------------------------------------- 2214LOCATION...13.5N 74.6W 2215ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2216ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2217MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 2218PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 2219MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2220 2221 2222WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2223-------------------- 2224CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2225 2226THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA. 2227 2228SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2229 2230A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2231* JAMAICA 2232 2233INTERESTS IN HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD MONITOR THE 2234PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THESE 2235AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2236 2237FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2238PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2239 2240 2241DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2242------------------------------ 2243AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2244LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.6 WEST. TOMAS IS 2245MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 2246WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 2247EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2248 2249MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65 2250KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND TOMAS 2251COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH BY THURSDAY. 2252 2253TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 2254FROM THE CENTER. 2255 2256ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2257 2258 2259HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2260---------------------- 2261RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2262OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. 2263RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN COASTAL 2264AREAS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. 2265 2266 2267NEXT ADVISORY 2268------------- 2269NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. 2270NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 2271 2272$$ 2273FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 2274 2275 2276WTNT31 KNHC 022340 2277TCPAT1 2278BULLETIN 2279TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A 2280NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2281800 PM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 2282 2283...TOMAS SLOWS DOWN... 2284 2285 2286SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 2287---------------------------------------------- 2288LOCATION...13.5N 75.0W 2289ABOUT 395 MI...665 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2290ABOUT 325 MI...525 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2291MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 2292PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 2293MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2294 2295 2296WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2297-------------------- 2298CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2299 2300NONE 2301 2302SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2303 2304A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2305* JAMAICA 2306 2307INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA 2308SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A 2309SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2310 2311FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2312PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2313 2314 2315DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2316------------------------------ 2317AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2318ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 2319NOW MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. 2320A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...NORTHWEST...AND NORTH 2321WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 2322HOURS. 2323 2324MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2325GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND TOMAS COULD REGAIN HURRICANE 2326STRENGTH BY THURSDAY. 2327 2328TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 2329FROM THE CENTER. 2330 2331ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2332 2333 2334HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2335---------------------- 2336RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2337OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER MUCH OF ARUBA...BONAIRE...AND CURACAO. 2338RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN COASTAL 2339AREAS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA. 2340 2341 2342NEXT ADVISORY 2343------------- 2344NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 2345 2346$$ 2347FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 2348 2349 2350WTNT31 KNHC 030237 2351TCPAT1 2352BULLETIN 2353TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 20 2354NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 23551100 PM EDT TUE NOV 02 2010 2356 2357...TOMAS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON WEDNESDAY... 2358 2359 2360SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 2361----------------------------------------------- 2362LOCATION...13.7N 75.1W 2363ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2364ABOUT 320 MI...510 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2365MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 2366PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 2367MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2368 2369 2370WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2371-------------------- 2372CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2373 2374NONE 2375 2376SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2377 2378A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2379* JAMAICA 2380 2381INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA 2382SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A 2383SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2384 2385FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2386PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2387 2388 2389DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2390------------------------------ 2391AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2392LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.1 WEST. TOMAS IS 2393MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD 2394THE WEST-NORTHWEST...NORTHWEST...AND NORTH WITH A DECREASE IN 2395FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2396 2397MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2398GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND TOMAS 2399COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH BY FRIDAY. 2400 2401TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 2402FROM THE CENTER. 2403 2404ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2405 2406 2407HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2408---------------------- 2409NONE 2410 2411 2412NEXT ADVISORY 2413------------- 2414NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. 2415NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 2416 2417$$ 2418FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 2419 2420 2421WTNT31 KNHC 030544 2422TCPAT1 2423BULLETIN 2424TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 20A 2425NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2426200 AM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2427 2428...TOMAS BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...BUT EXPECTED TO RESTRENGTHEN... 2429 2430 2431SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 2432---------------------------------------------- 2433LOCATION...13.2N 75.2W 2434ABOUT 415 MI...670 KM SSW OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI 2435ABOUT 350 MI...560 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2436MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR 2437PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 2438MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2439 2440 2441WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2442-------------------- 2443CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2444 2445NONE 2446 2447SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2448 2449A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2450* JAMAICA 2451 2452INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA 2453SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A 2454SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2455 2456FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2457PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2458 2459 2460DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2461------------------------------ 2462AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2463LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST. TOMAS HAS 2464BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN 2465TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST...NORTHWEST...AND NORTH IS EXPECTED 2466DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2467 2468MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 40 MPH...65 2469KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE 2470HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT TOMAS MAY BE WEAKENING TO A TROPICAL 2471DEPRESSION. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN 2472RESTRENGTHENING LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 2473 2474TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 2475FROM THE CENTER. 2476 2477ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2478 2479 2480HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2481---------------------- 2482NONE 2483 2484 2485NEXT ADVISORY 2486------------- 2487NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 2488 2489$$ 2490FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS 2491 2492 2493WTNT31 KNHC 030835 2494TCPAT1 2495BULLETIN 2496TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 21 2497NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2498500 AM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2499 2500...TOMAS WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION BUT STILL EXPECTED TO 2501RESTRENGTHEN... 2502 2503 2504SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 2505---------------------------------------------- 2506LOCATION...13.5N 75.5W 2507ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SSW OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI 2508ABOUT 325 MI...520 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2509MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 2510PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR 2511MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2512 2513 2514WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2515-------------------- 2516CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2517 2518NONE 2519 2520SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2521 2522A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2523* JAMAICA 2524 2525INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA 2526SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A 2527SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2528 2529FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2530PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2531 2532 2533DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2534------------------------------ 2535AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS 2536WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST. THE 2537DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. 2538A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS 2539EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2540 2541REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE 2542INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 2543MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RESTRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 2544DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2545 2546ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2547 2548 2549HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2550---------------------- 2551NONE 2552 2553 2554NEXT ADVISORY 2555------------- 2556NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. 2557NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 2558 2559$$ 2560FORECASTER PASCH/ROBERTS 2561 2562 2563WTNT31 KNHC 031146 2564TCPAT1 2565BULLETIN 2566TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 21A 2567NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2568800 AM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2569 2570...DISORGANIZED TOMAS MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE 2571CENTRAL CARIBBEAN... 2572 2573 2574SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 2575---------------------------------------------- 2576LOCATION...13.7N 75.8W 2577ABOUT 410 MI...660 KM SW OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI 2578ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2579MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 2580PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR 2581MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2582 2583 2584WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2585-------------------- 2586CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2587 2588NONE 2589 2590SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2591 2592A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2593* JAMAICA 2594 2595INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA 2596SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. TOMAS COULD POSE A 2597SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK. 2598 2599FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE THE UNITED 2600STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 2601METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2602 2603 2604DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2605------------------------------ 2606AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS 2607WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST. THE 2608DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. 2609A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS 2610EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2611 2612MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2613GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 2614 2615ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2616 2617 2618HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2619---------------------- 2620NONE 2621 2622 2623NEXT ADVISORY 2624------------- 2625NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 2626 2627$$ 2628FORECASTER BEVEN 2629 2630 2631WTNT31 KNHC 031448 2632TCPAT1 2633BULLETIN 2634TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 22 2635NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 26361100 AM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2637 2638...TOMAS REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER 2639TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON... 2640 2641 2642SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 2643----------------------------------------------- 2644LOCATION...14.1N 75.9W 2645ABOUT 390 MI...630 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2646ABOUT 275 MI...445 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2647MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 2648PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 2649MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2650 2651 2652WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2653-------------------- 2654CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2655 2656THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR 2657JAMAICA TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH. 2658 2659SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2660 2661A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2662* JAMAICA 2663 2664INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA... 2665THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD 2666ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 2667WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. 2668 2669FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2670PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2671 2672 2673DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2674------------------------------ 2675AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS 2676WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST. THE 2677DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. 2678A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST...NORTH...AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS 2679EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER 2680OF TOMAS COULD APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY. 2681 2682MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2683GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 2684AND TOMAS COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ON THURSDAY. 2685 2686ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2687 2688 2689HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2690---------------------- 2691RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2692OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 2693MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE- 2694THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2695 2696 2697NEXT ADVISORY 2698------------- 2699NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 2700NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 2701 2702$$ 2703FORECASTER BEVEN 2704 2705 2706WTNT31 KNHC 031753 2707TCPAT1 2708BULLETIN 2709TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 22A 2710NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2711200 PM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2712 2713...CENTER OF TOMAS RE-FORMING FARTHER NORTHEAST... 2714 2715 2716SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 2717---------------------------------------------- 2718LOCATION...14.8N 75.0W 2719ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2720ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2721MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR 2722PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 2723MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES 2724 2725 2726WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2727-------------------- 2728CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2729 2730NONE. 2731 2732SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2733 2734A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2735* JAMAICA 2736 2737INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA... 2738THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD 2739ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 2740WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY. 2741 2742FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2743PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2744 2745 2746DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2747------------------------------ 2748SATELLITE IMAGERY AND PRELIMINARY DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE 2749HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS 2750RE-FORMING TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY POSITION. AT 2751200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS 2752WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.0 WEST. THE 2753DEPRESSION IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH... 275411 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED 2755OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF 2756TOMAS COULD APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY. 2757 2758MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2759GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS... 2760AND TOMAS COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH BY THURSDAY. 2761 2762ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. 2763 2764 2765HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2766---------------------- 2767RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2768OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED 2769MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE- 2770THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2771 2772 2773NEXT ADVISORY 2774------------- 2775NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 2776 2777$$ 2778FORECASTER BEVEN 2779 2780 2781WTNT31 KNHC 032037 2782TCPAT1 2783BULLETIN 2784TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 23 2785NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2786500 PM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2787 2788...TOMAS RE-INTENSIFIES INTO A TROPICAL STORM...NEW WARNINGS AND 2789WATCHES ISSUED... 2790 2791 2792SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 2793---------------------------------------------- 2794LOCATION...14.9N 74.8W 2795ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2796ABOUT 250 MI...405 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2797MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 2798PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 2799MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 2800 2801 2802WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2803-------------------- 2804CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2805 2806A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR 2807HAITI. 2808 2809THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE 2810CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN. 2811 2812THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM 2813WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM 2814BARAHONA WESTWARD. 2815 2816THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR 2817THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND... 2818LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS 2819WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 2820 2821SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2822 2823A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2824* HAITI 2825 2826A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2827* HAITI 2828 2829A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2830* JAMAICA 2831* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 2832BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 2833* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 2834* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 2835 2836A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 2837WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 2838BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 2839WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 2840DANGEROUS. 2841 2842A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2843EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 2844 2845A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2846POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 2847 2848INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA 2849SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 2850WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR 2851THURSDAY. 2852 2853FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2854PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2855 2856 2857DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2858------------------------------ 2859AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2860LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST. A TURN 2861TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 2862HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO 2863APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY. 2864 2865REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 2866THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 2867KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 2868DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE 2869STRENGTH AS THE CENTER NEARS HAITI. 2870 2871TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 2872MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 2873 2874THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 28751003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 2876 2877 2878HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2879---------------------- 2880STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2881AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 2882IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 2883ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 2884 2885WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 2886COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE THURSDAY... 2887MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 2888CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY 2889FRIDAY. 2890 2891RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 2892OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 2893WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 2894ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 2895RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER 2896MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 2897 2898 2899NEXT ADVISORY 2900------------- 2901NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. 2902NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 2903 2904$$ 2905FORECASTER BEVEN 2906 2907 2908WTNT31 KNHC 032350 2909TCPAT1 2910BULLETIN 2911TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A 2912NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 2913800 PM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 2914 2915...TOMAS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... 2916 2917 2918SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 2919---------------------------------------------- 2920LOCATION...15.0N 74.9W 2921ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 2922ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 2923MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 2924PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 2925MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 2926 2927 2928WATCHES AND WARNINGS 2929-------------------- 2930CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 2931 2932NONE 2933 2934SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 2935 2936A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2937* HAITI 2938 2939A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2940* HAITI 2941 2942A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 2943* JAMAICA 2944* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 2945BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 2946* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 2947* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 2948 2949A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 2950WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 2951BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 2952WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 2953DANGEROUS. 2954 2955A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2956EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 2957 2958A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 2959POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 2960 2961INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA 2962SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 2963WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR 2964THURSDAY. 2965 2966FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 2967PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 2968 2969 2970DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 2971------------------------------ 2972AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 2973LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST. A TURN 2974TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 2975HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO 2976APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY..AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. 2977 2978MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 2979GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 2980HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE 2981CENTER NEARS HAITI. 2982 2983TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 2984MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 2985 2986THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 29871003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 2988 2989 2990HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 2991---------------------- 2992STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 2993AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 2994IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 2995ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 2996 2997WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 2998COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE THURSDAY... 2999MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3000CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY 3001FRIDAY. 3002 3003RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3004OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3005WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 3006ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 3007RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER 3008MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3009 3010 3011NEXT ADVISORY 3012------------- 3013NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 3014 3015$$ 3016FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 3017 3018 3019WTNT31 KNHC 040014 3020TCPAT1 3021BULLETIN 3022TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A...CORRECTED 3023NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 3024800 PM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 3025 3026CORRECTED TO ADD MOTION TO DISCUSSION SECTION 3027 3028...TOMAS MOVING SLOWLY TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST... 3029 3030 3031SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 3032---------------------------------------------- 3033LOCATION...15.0N 74.9W 3034ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3035ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3036MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 3037PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 3038MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 3039 3040 3041WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3042-------------------- 3043CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3044 3045NONE 3046 3047SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3048 3049A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3050* HAITI 3051 3052A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3053* HAITI 3054 3055A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3056* JAMAICA 3057* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3058BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3059* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 3060* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3061 3062A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 3063WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 3064BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 3065WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 3066DANGEROUS. 3067 3068A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3069EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. 3070 3071A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3072POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 3073 3074INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA 3075SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 3076WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT OR 3077THURSDAY. 3078 3079FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 3080PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3081 3082 3083DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3084------------------------------ 3085AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3086LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST. TOMAS IS 3087MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN 3088TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 3089HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO 3090APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY..AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. 3091 3092MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3093GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 3094HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BE APPROACHING HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE 3095CENTER NEARS HAITI. 3096 3097TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 3098MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 3099 3100THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 31011003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 3102 3103 3104HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3105---------------------- 3106STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3107AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3108IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3109ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3110 3111WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3112COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE THURSDAY... 3113MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3114CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY 3115FRIDAY. 3116 3117RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3118OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3119WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 3120ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 3121RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER 3122MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3123 3124 3125NEXT ADVISORY 3126------------- 3127NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 3128 3129$$ 3130FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 3131 3132 3133WTNT31 KNHC 040243 3134TCPAT1 3135BULLETIN 3136TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 24 3137NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 31381100 PM EDT WED NOV 03 2010 3139 3140...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR HAITI... 3141 3142 3143SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 3144----------------------------------------------- 3145LOCATION...15.4N 75.2W 3146ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3147ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3148MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 3149PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 3150MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES 3151 3152 3153WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3154-------------------- 3155CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3156 3157A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF HAITI. 3158 3159THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE 3160SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING MAYAGUANA AND THE INAGUAS...AS WELL 3161AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3162 3163SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3164 3165A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3166* HAITI 3167 3168A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3169* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3170 3171A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3172* JAMAICA 3173* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3174BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3175* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 3176 3177A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3178SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3179HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3180FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3181OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3182BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3183 3184A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 3185WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 3186BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 3187WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 3188DANGEROUS. 3189 3190A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3191POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 3192 3193INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA 3194SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 3195WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS ON THURSDAY. 3196 3197FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 3198PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3199 3200 3201DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3202------------------------------ 3203AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3204LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST. TOMAS IS 3205MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN 3206TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 3207HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO 3208APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. 3209 3210MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3211GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND 3212TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. 3213 3214TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 3215FROM THE CENTER. 3216 3217DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MINIMUM 3218CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. 3219 3220 3221HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3222---------------------- 3223STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3224AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3225IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3226ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3227 3228WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3229COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE THURSDAY... 3230MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3231CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA BY 3232FRIDAY. 3233 3234RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3235OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3236WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 3237ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 3238RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER 3239MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3240 3241 3242NEXT ADVISORY 3243------------- 3244NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. 3245NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 3246 3247$$ 3248FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART 3249 3250 3251WTNT31 KNHC 040603 3252TCPAT1 3253BULLETIN 3254TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A 3255NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 3256200 AM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3257 3258...TOMAS HAS NOT STRENGTHENED YET... 3259 3260 3261SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 3262---------------------------------------------- 3263LOCATION...15.7N 75.8W 3264ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SW OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI 3265ABOUT 170 MI...275 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3266MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 3267PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 3268MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES 3269 3270 3271WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3272-------------------- 3273CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3274 3275NONE. 3276 3277SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3278 3279A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3280* HAITI 3281 3282A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3283* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3284 3285A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3286* JAMAICA 3287* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3288BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3289* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 3290 3291A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3292SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3293HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3294FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3295OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3296BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3297 3298A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE 3299WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS 3300BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE 3301WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR 3302DANGEROUS. 3303 3304A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3305POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. 3306 3307INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND EASTERN CUBA 3308SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND 3309WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS ON THURSDAY. 3310 3311FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 3312PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3313 3314 3315DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3316------------------------------ 3317AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3318LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST. TOMAS IS 3319MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN 3320TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 3321HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO 3322APPROACH HAITI ON FRIDAY...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON SATURDAY. 3323 3324MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3325GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND 3326TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY. 3327 3328TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM 3329FROM THE CENTER. 3330 3331THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. 3332 3333 3334HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3335---------------------- 3336STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3337AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3338IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3339ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3340 3341WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3342COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA BY LATE THURSDAY... 3343MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3344CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 3345BY EARLY FRIDAY. 3346 3347RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3348OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3349WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 3350ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 3351RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 3352MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 3353 3354 3355NEXT ADVISORY 3356------------- 3357NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 3358 3359$$ 3360FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH 3361 3362 3363WTNT31 KNHC 040838 3364TCPAT1 3365BULLETIN 3366TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 25 3367NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 3368500 AM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3369 3370...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED... 3371 3372SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 3373---------------------------------------------- 3374LOCATION...15.8N 76.1W 3375ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3376ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3377MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 3378PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 3379MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 3380 3381 3382WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3383-------------------- 3384CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3385 3386THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR 3387JAMAICA. 3388 3389THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE 3390SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3391 3392SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3393 3394A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3395* HAITI 3396* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3397 3398A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3399* JAMAICA 3400 3401A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3402* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3403BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3404* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 3405 3406A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3407SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3408HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3409FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3410OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3411BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3412 3413A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3414EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 3415TO 36 HOURS. 3416 3417A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3418POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3419 3420FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 3421PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3422 3423 3424DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3425------------------------------ 3426AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3427LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST. TOMAS IS 3428MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN 3429TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 3430IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE 3431CENTER WILL PASS NEAR HAITI OR EXTREME EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND 3432EARLY FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON FRIDAY. 3433 3434MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3435GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 3436 3437TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 3438FROM THE CENTER. 3439 3440AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM 3441CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 3442 3443 3444HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3445---------------------- 3446STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3447AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3448IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3449ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3450 3451WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3452COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.. 3453MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3454CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 3455BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. 3456 3457RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3458OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3459WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 3460ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 3461RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 3462MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE 3463OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3464 3465 3466NEXT ADVISORY 3467------------- 3468NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. 3469NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 3470 3471$$ 3472FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH 3473 3474 3475WTNT31 KNHC 041148 3476TCPAT1 3477BULLETIN 3478TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 25A 3479NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 3480800 AM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3481 3482...HURRICANE HUNTER DATA SHOWS TOMAS CHANGING LITTLE IN STRENGTH... 3483 3484 3485SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 3486---------------------------------------------- 3487LOCATION...15.9N 76.0W 3488ABOUT 305 MI...490 KM SW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3489ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3490MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 3491PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...10 KM/HR 3492MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...998 MB...29.47 INCHES 3493 3494 3495WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3496-------------------- 3497CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3498 3499NONE. 3500 3501 3502SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3503 3504A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3505* HAITI 3506* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3507 3508A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3509* JAMAICA 3510 3511A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3512* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3513BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3514* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN 3515 3516A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3517SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3518HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3519FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3520OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3521BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3522 3523A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3524EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 3525TO 36 HOURS. 3526 3527A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3528POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3529 3530FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3531STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3532MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3533FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3534THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3535METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3536 3537 3538DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3539------------------------------ 3540AT 800 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3541LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 3542MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...10 KM/HR. A TURN 3543TOWARD THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 3544IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE 3545CENTER WILL PASS NEAR HAITI OR EXTREME EASTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND 3546EARLY FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS ON FRIDAY. 3547 3548MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3549GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 3550 3551TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 3552FROM THE CENTER. 3553 3554AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE JUST REPORTED A MINIMUM 3555CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 998 MB...29.47 INCHES. 3556 3557 3558HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3559---------------------- 3560STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3561AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3562IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3563ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3564 3565WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3566COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.. 3567MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3568CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 3569BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. 3570 3571RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3572OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3573WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. TOTAL RAINFALL 3574ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. THESE 3575RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 3576MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE 3577OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3578 3579 3580NEXT ADVISORY 3581------------- 3582NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 3583 3584$$ 3585FORECASTER BEVEN 3586 3587 3588WTNT31 KNHC 041448 3589TCPAT1 3590BULLETIN 3591TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 26 3592NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 35931100 AM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3594 3595...CENTER OF TOMAS NOW MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD JAMAICA AND 3596HAITI...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR CUBA... 3597 3598 3599SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 3600----------------------------------------------- 3601LOCATION...16.3N 76.1W 3602ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3603ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3604MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR 3605PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 3606MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES 3607 3608 3609WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3610-------------------- 3611CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3612 3613THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN 3614PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 3615PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN. 3616 3617SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3618 3619A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3620* HAITI 3621* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3622* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 3623 3624A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3625* JAMAICA 3626* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 3627 3628A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3629* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3630BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3631 3632A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3633SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3634HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3635FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3636OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3637BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3638 3639A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3640EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 3641TO 36 HOURS. 3642 3643A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3644POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3645 3646FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 3647PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3648 3649 3650DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3651------------------------------ 3652AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3653LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST. TOMAS IS 3654MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 3655NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 3656IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE 3657CENTER WILL PASS NEAR JAMAICA OR HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR OVER 3658EXTREME EASTERN CUBA FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 3659BAHAMAS LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. 3660 3661REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM 3662SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 3663STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND 3664TOMAS COULD BE NEAR OR AT HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE CENTER PASSES 3665EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. 3666 3667TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM 3668MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 3669 3670THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER 3671DATA IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 3672 3673 3674HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3675---------------------- 3676STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3677AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3678IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3679ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3680 3681WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3682COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.. 3683MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3684CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 3685BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. 3686 3687RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3688OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3689WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3690COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 3691MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 3692ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE 3693POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 3694TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3695 3696 3697NEXT ADVISORY 3698------------- 3699NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 3700NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 3701 3702$$ 3703FORECASTER BEVEN 3704 3705 3706WTNT31 KNHC 041534 3707TCPAT1 3708BULLETIN 3709TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 26...CORRECTED 3710NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 37111100 AM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3712 3713CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 50 MPH 3714 3715...CENTER OF TOMAS NOW MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD JAMAICA AND 3716HAITI...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR CUBA... 3717 3718 3719SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 3720----------------------------------------------- 3721LOCATION...16.3N 76.1W 3722ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3723ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3724MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 3725PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 3726MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES 3727 3728 3729WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3730-------------------- 3731CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3732 3733THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN 3734PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE 3735PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN. 3736 3737SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3738 3739A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3740* HAITI 3741* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3742* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 3743 3744A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3745* JAMAICA 3746* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 3747 3748A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3749* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3750BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3751 3752A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3753SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3754HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3755FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3756OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3757BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3758 3759A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3760EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 3761TO 36 HOURS. 3762 3763A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3764POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3765 3766FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED 3767STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE 3768MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE 3769FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE 3770THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL 3771METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3772 3773 3774DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3775------------------------------ 3776AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3777LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST. TOMAS IS 3778MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 3779NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 3780IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE 3781CENTER WILL PASS NEAR JAMAICA OR HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR OVER 3782EXTREME EASTERN CUBA FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 3783BAHAMAS LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. 3784 3785REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM 3786SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 3787STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS...AND 3788TOMAS COULD BE NEAR OR AT HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE CENTER PASSES 3789EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. 3790 3791TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM 3792MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 3793 3794THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER 3795DATA IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 3796 3797 3798HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3799---------------------- 3800STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3801AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3802IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3803ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3804 3805WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3806COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.. 3807MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3808CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 3809BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. 3810 3811RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3812OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3813WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3814COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 3815MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 3816ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE 3817POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 3818TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3819 3820 3821NEXT ADVISORY 3822------------- 3823NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 3824NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 3825 3826$$ 3827FORECASTER BEVEN 3828 3829 3830WTNT31 KNHC 041746 3831TCPAT1 3832BULLETIN 3833TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 26A 3834NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 3835200 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3836 3837...RAINBANDS OF TOMAS MOVING ACROSS JAMAICA AND SOUTHWESTERN 3838HAITI... 3839 3840 3841SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 3842---------------------------------------------- 3843LOCATION...16.4N 76.2W 3844ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3845ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3846MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 3847PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 3848MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES 3849 3850 3851WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3852-------------------- 3853CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3854 3855NONE. 3856 3857 3858SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3859 3860A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3861* HAITI 3862* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3863* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 3864 3865A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3866* JAMAICA 3867* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 3868 3869A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3870* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3871BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3872 3873A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3874SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 3875HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM- 3876FORCE WINDS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3877OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3878BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3879 3880A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3881EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 3882TO 36 HOURS. 3883 3884A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3885POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3886 3887FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 3888PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 3889 3890 3891DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 3892------------------------------ 3893AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 3894LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.2 WEST. TOMAS IS 3895MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 3896NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 3897IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE 3898CENTER WILL PASS NEAR JAMAICA OR HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR OVER 3899EXTREME EASTERN CUBA FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 3900BAHAMAS LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. 3901 3902MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 3903GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 3904HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BE NEAR OR AT HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE 3905CENTER PASSES EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. 3906 3907TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM 3908MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 3909 3910THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. 3911 3912 3913HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 3914---------------------- 3915STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 3916AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 3917IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 3918ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 3919 3920WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 3921COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY... 3922MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 3923CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 3924BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. 3925 3926RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 3927OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 3928WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 3929COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 3930MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 3931ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE 3932POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 3933TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 3934 3935 3936NEXT ADVISORY 3937------------- 3938NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 3939 3940$$ 3941FORECASTER BEVEN 3942 3943 3944WTNT31 KNHC 042055 3945TCPAT1 3946BULLETIN 3947TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 27 3948NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 3949500 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 3950 3951...TOMAS STILL A TROPICAL STORM WITH RAINBANDS AFFECTING 3952HAITI...JAMAICA...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA... 3953 3954 3955SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 3956---------------------------------------------- 3957LOCATION...16.6N 76.0W 3958ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM SSE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 3959ABOUT 280 MI...450 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 3960MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR 3961PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HR 3962MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.38 INCHES 3963 3964 3965WATCHES AND WARNINGS 3966-------------------- 3967CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 3968 3969NONE. 3970 3971SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 3972 3973A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3974* HAITI 3975* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 3976* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 3977 3978A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3979* JAMAICA 3980* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 3981 3982A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 3983* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 3984BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 3985 3986A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 3987SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 36 3988HOURS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 3989OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 3990BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 3991 3992A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3993EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 3994NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 3995 3996A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 3997POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 3998 3999FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4000PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4001 4002 4003DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4004------------------------------ 4005AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 4006LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 4007MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE 4008NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 4009IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE 4010CENTER WILL PASS NEAR JAMAICA OR HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR OVER 4011EXTREME EASTERN CUBA FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 4012BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY. 4013 4014MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 4015GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 4016HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BE NEAR OR AT HURRICANE STRENGTH AS THE 4017CENTER PASSES HAITI...EASTERN CUBA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. 4018 4019TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM 4020MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 4021 4022THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE 4023HUNTERS IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. 4024 4025 4026HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4027---------------------- 4028STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4029AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4030ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4031COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4032SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4033 4034WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 4035COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA THIS EVENING... 4036MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE 4037CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA 4038BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. 4039 4040RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4041OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4042WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4043COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4044MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4045ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE 4046POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4047TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4048 4049 4050NEXT ADVISORY 4051------------- 4052NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. 4053NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 4054 4055$$ 4056FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN 4057 4058 4059WTNT31 KNHC 042331 4060TCPAT1 4061BULLETIN 4062TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 27A 4063NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4064800 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 4065 4066...TOMAS SHOWING SIGNS OF GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES 4067NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD EASTERN JAMAICA AND HAITI... 4068 4069 4070SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 4071---------------------------------------------- 4072LOCATION...16.9N 75.9W 4073ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 4074ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4075MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 4076PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 020 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR 4077MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES 4078 4079 4080WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4081-------------------- 4082CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4083 4084NONE. 4085 4086SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4087 4088A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4089* HAITI 4090* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4091* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4092 4093A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4094* JAMAICA 4095* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4096 4097A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4098* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4099BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4100 4101A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4102SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 36 4103HOURS. THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT 4104OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD 4105BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. 4106 4107A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4108EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4109NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4110 4111A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4112POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 4113 4114FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4115PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4116 4117 4118DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4119------------------------------ 4120AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 4121LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.9 WEST. TOMAS IS 4122MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A TURN 4123TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 4124OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE CENTER OF TOMAS 4125WILL PASS NEAR EASTERN JAMAICA OR WESTERN HAITI TONIGHT...NEAR OR 4126OVER EXTREME EASTERN CUBA FRIDAY AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 4127BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATE FRIDAY. 4128 4129RECENT REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER 4130AIRCRAFT INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 4131MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST 4132DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BE A HURRICANE AS THE 4133CENTER PASSES HAITI...EASTERN CUBA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. 4134 4135TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES... 4136195 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 4137 4138THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON REPORTS FROM AIR 4139FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. 4140 4141 4142HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4143---------------------- 4144STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4145AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4146ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4147COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4148SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4149 4150WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FIRST REACH THE 4151COAST WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA AND IN THE HURRICANE 4152WARNING AREA IN HAITI THIS EVENING...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS 4153DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4154SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY LATE TONIGHT OR 4155EARLY FRIDAY. 4156 4157RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4158OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4159WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4160COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4161MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4162ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE 4163POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4164TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4165 4166 4167NEXT ADVISORY 4168------------- 4169NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 4170 4171$$ 4172FORECASTER STEWART/BRENNAN 4173 4174 4175WTNT31 KNHC 050243 4176TCPAT1 4177BULLETIN 4178TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 28 4179NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 41801100 PM EDT THU NOV 04 2010 4181 4182...TOMAS STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD 4183EASTERN JAMAICA AND WESTERN HAITI...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS 4184NOW OCCURRING ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF HAITI... 4185 4186 4187SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 4188----------------------------------------------- 4189LOCATION...17.3N 75.5W 4190ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 4191ABOUT 230 MI...370 KM WSW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4192MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 4193PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 4194MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES 4195 4196 4197WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4198-------------------- 4199CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4200 4201NONE. 4202 4203SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4204 4205A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4206* HAITI 4207* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4208* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4209 4210A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4211* JAMAICA 4212* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4213 4214A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4215* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4216BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4217 4218A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4219SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 36 4220HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED 4221TO COMPLETION. 4222 4223A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4224EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4225NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4226 4227A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4228POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS. 4229 4230FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4231PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4232 4233 4234DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4235------------------------------ 4236AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 4237LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.5 WEST. TOMAS IS 4238MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN 4239TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 4240OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS 4241WILL PASS NEAR EASTERN JAMAICA OR WESTERN HAITI TONIGHT AND EARLY 4242FRIDAY...NEAR OR OVER EXTREME EASTERN CUBA FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND 4243NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS 4244ISLANDS FRIDAY NIGHT. 4245 4246RECENT REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT 4247MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR 4248...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING 4249THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON FRIDAY AS 4250THE CENTER PASSES HAITI AND EASTERN CUBA...AND MOVES ACROSS THE 4251SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS. 4252 4253TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES... 4254220 KM...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 4255 4256THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE 4257HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. 4258 4259 4260HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4261---------------------- 4262STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4263AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4264ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4265COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4266SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4267 4268WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL 4269STORM WARNING AREA AND IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN HAITI. 4270HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE 4271WARNING AREA ON FRIDAY. 4272 4273RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4274OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4275WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4276COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4277MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4278ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4279POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4280TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4281 4282 4283NEXT ADVISORY 4284------------- 4285NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. 4286NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 4287 4288$$ 4289FORECASTER STEWART 4290 4291 4292WTNT31 KNHC 050541 4293TCPAT1 4294BULLETIN 4295TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 28A 4296NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4297200 AM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4298 4299...TOMAS APPEARS TO BE STRENGTHENING...HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE 4300APPROACHING... 4301 4302 4303SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 4304---------------------------------------------- 4305LOCATION...17.9N 75.3W 4306ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM E OF KINGSTON JAMAICA 4307ABOUT 205 MI...325 KM WSW OF PORT-AU-PRINCE HAITI 4308MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 4309PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 4310MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES 4311 4312 4313WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4314-------------------- 4315CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4316 4317NONE. 4318 4319SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4320 4321A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4322* HAITI 4323* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4324* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4325 4326A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4327* JAMAICA 4328* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4329 4330A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4331* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4332BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4333 4334A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4335SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 4336HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 4337COMPLETE. 4338 4339A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4340EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4341NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4342 4343FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4344PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4345 4346 4347DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4348------------------------------ 4349AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 4350LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.3 WEST. TOMAS IS 4351MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. A TURN 4352TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED 4353OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS 4354WILL PASS NEAR WESTERN HAITI THIS MORNING...NEAR OR OVER EXTREME 4355EASTERN CUBA TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND 4356THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 4357 4358MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR 4359...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING 4360THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND TOMAS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY. 4361 4362TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES... 4363220 KM...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. 4364 4365THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. 4366 4367 4368HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4369---------------------- 4370STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4371AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4372ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4373COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4374SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4375 4376WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL 4377STORM WARNING AREA AND IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN HAITI. 4378HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE 4379WARNING TODAY. 4380 4381RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4382OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4383WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4384COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4385MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4386ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4387POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4388TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4389 4390 4391NEXT ADVISORY 4392------------- 4393NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 4394 4395$$ 4396FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH 4397 4398 4399WTNT31 KNHC 050832 4400TCPAT1 4401BULLETIN 4402HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 29 4403NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4404500 AM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4405 4406...AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE FINDS THAT TOMAS HAS BECOME A 4407HURRICANE... 4408 4409 4410SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 4411---------------------------------------------- 4412LOCATION...18.1N 74.9W 4413ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM S OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 4414ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM W OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4415MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 4416PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR 4417MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES 4418 4419 4420WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4421-------------------- 4422CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4423 4424NONE. 4425 4426SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4427 4428A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4429* HAITI 4430* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4431* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4432 4433A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4434* JAMAICA 4435* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4436 4437A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4438* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4439BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4440 4441A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4442SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 4443HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 4444COMPLETE. 4445 4446A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4447EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4448NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4449 4450FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4451PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4452 4453 4454DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4455------------------------------ 4456AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 4457NEAR LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 4458TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION 4459WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE 4460OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS 4461NEAR WESTERN HAITI THIS MORNING...NEAR OR OVER EXTREME EASTERN CUBA 4462TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND 4463CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 4464 4465MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 4466KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON 4467THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS 4468POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND BEGINNING ON 4469SATURDAY. 4470 4471HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 4472THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 4473MILES...220 KM...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE 4474CENTER. 4475 4476THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE 4477REPORTS IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. 4478 4479 4480HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4481---------------------- 4482STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4483AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4484ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4485COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4486SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4487 4488WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN THE TROPICAL 4489STORM WARNING AREA AND IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN HAITI. 4490HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE HURRICANE 4491WARNING TODAY. 4492 4493RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4494OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4495WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4496COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4497MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4498ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4499POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4500TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4501 4502 4503NEXT ADVISORY 4504------------- 4505NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. 4506NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 4507 4508$$ 4509FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH 4510 4511 4512WTNT31 KNHC 051149 4513TCPAT1 4514BULLETIN 4515HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A 4516NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4517800 AM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4518 4519...TOMAS A LITTLE STRONGER...CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA 4520OF HAITI... 4521 4522 4523SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 4524---------------------------------------------- 4525LOCATION...18.8N 74.7W 4526ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 4527ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4528MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...135 KM/HR 4529PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/HR 4530MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 4531 4532 4533WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4534-------------------- 4535CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4536 4537NONE. 4538 4539SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4540 4541A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4542* HAITI 4543* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4544* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4545 4546A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4547* JAMAICA 4548* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4549 4550A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4551* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4552BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4553 4554A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4555SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 4556HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 4557COMPLETE. 4558 4559A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4560EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4561NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4562 4563FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4564PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4565 4566 4567DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4568------------------------------ 4569AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 4570NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 4571TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 4572MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 4573COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL 4574PASS NEAR WESTERN HAITI THIS MORNING...NEAR OR OVER EXTREME EASTERN 4575CUBA TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE 4576TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 4577 4578REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 4579THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH... 4580135 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON 4581THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL 4582STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND 4583BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. 4584 4585HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 4586THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 4587MILES...220 KM...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE 4588CENTER. 4589 4590THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER 4591REPORTS IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 4592 4593 4594HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4595---------------------- 4596STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4597AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4598ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4599COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4600SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4601 4602WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 4603THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI...AND ARE EXPECTED IN OTHER 4604PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM 4605CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS OTHER PORTIONS OF EASTERN 4606CUBA TODAY...AND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND 4607THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 4608 4609RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4610OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4611WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4612COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4613MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4614ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4615POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4616TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4617 4618 4619NEXT ADVISORY 4620------------- 4621NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 4622 4623$$ 4624FORECASTER BEVEN 4625 4626 4627WTNT31 KNHC 051251 CCA 4628TCPAT1 4629 4630BULLETIN 4631HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 29A...CORRECTED 4632NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4633800 AM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4634 4635...TOMAS A LITTLE STRONGER...CENTER NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA 4636OF HAITI... 4637 4638CORRECTED TIME IN DISCUSSION SECTION 4639 4640 4641SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 4642---------------------------------------------- 4643LOCATION...18.8N 74.7W 4644ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 4645ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM W OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4646MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...135 KM/HR 4647PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/HR 4648MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 4649 4650 4651WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4652-------------------- 4653CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4654 4655NONE. 4656 4657SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4658 4659A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4660* HAITI 4661* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4662* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4663 4664A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4665* JAMAICA 4666* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4667 4668A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4669* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4670BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4671 4672A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4673SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 4674HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 4675COMPLETE. 4676 4677A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4678EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4679NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4680 4681FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4682PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4683 4684 4685DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4686------------------------------ 4687AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 4688NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 4689TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL 4690MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 4691COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL 4692PASS NEAR WESTERN HAITI THIS MORNING...NEAR OR OVER EXTREME EASTERN 4693CUBA TODAY...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE 4694TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 4695 4696REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE 4697THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH... 4698135 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON 4699THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL 4700STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND 4701BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. 4702 4703HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 4704THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 4705MILES...220 KM...ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE 4706CENTER. 4707 4708THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE HUNTER 4709REPORTS IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 4710 4711 4712HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4713---------------------- 4714STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4715AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN THE WARNING AREA 4716ALONG THE COAST OF HAITI...AND 3 TO 5 FEET ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN 4717COAST OF CUBA...IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. NEAR THE COAST...THE 4718SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4719 4720WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 4721THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI...AND ARE EXPECTED IN OTHER 4722PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY. TROPICAL STORM 4723CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS OTHER PORTIONS OF EASTERN 4724CUBA TODAY...AND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND 4725THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. 4726 4727RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4728OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4729WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4730COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4731MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4732ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4733POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4734TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4735 4736 4737NEXT ADVISORY 4738------------- 4739NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 4740 4741$$ 4742FORECASTER BEVEN 4743 4744 4745WTNT31 KNHC 051441 4746TCPAT1 4747BULLETIN 4748HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 30 4749NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 47501100 AM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4751 4752...CENTER OF TOMAS NOW PASSING BETWEEN HAITI AND SOUTHEASTERN 4753CUBA... 4754 4755 4756SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 4757----------------------------------------------- 4758LOCATION...19.1N 74.4W 4759ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 4760ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM WNW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4761MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR 4762PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 4763MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 4764 4765 4766WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4767-------------------- 4768CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4769 4770THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 4771WARNING FOR JAMAICA. 4772 4773THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING 4774FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG 4775ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR. 4776 4777SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4778 4779A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4780* HAITI 4781* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4782* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4783 4784A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4785* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4786* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS 4787 4788A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4789* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI 4790BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4791 4792A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4793SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 4794HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 4795COMPLETE. 4796 4797A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4798EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4799NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4800 4801FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 4802PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4803 4804 4805DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4806------------------------------ 4807AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 4808LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST. TOMAS IS 4809MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS 4810MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 4811DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER 4812OF TOMAS WILL PASS NEAR OR OVER NORTHWESTERN HAITI AND EXTREME 4813EASTERN CUBA THIS AFTERNOON..AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 4814BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. 4815 4816MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 4817GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 4818HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND 4819TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. 4820 4821HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 4822THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 4823MILES...220 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 4824 4825ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 4826 4827 4828HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4829---------------------- 4830STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4831AS MUCH AS 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 4832WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 4833WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4834 4835WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 4836THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI...AND ARE EXPECTED IN OTHER 4837PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. 4838TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS OTHER 4839PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA TODAY...AND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE 4840SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS LATER TODAY 4841OR TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS. 4842 4843RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4844OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4845WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4846COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4847MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4848ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4849POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4850TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4851 4852 4853NEXT ADVISORY 4854------------- 4855NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT. 4856NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 4857 4858$$ 4859FORECASTER BEVEN 4860 4861 4862WTNT31 KNHC 051748 4863TCPAT1 4864BULLETIN 4865HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 30A 4866NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4867200 PM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4868 4869...CENTER OF TOMAS ABOUT TO MOVE THROUGH THE WINDWARD PASSAGE... 4870 4871 4872SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION 4873---------------------------------------------- 4874LOCATION...19.8N 74.0W 4875ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM SE OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 4876ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM NW OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI 4877MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR 4878PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/HR 4879MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 4880 4881 4882WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4883-------------------- 4884CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4885 4886THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM 4887WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE 4888HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 4889 4890SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 4891 4892A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4893* HAITI 4894* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 4895* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 4896 4897A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4898* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN 4899* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS 4900 4901A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 4902* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 4903EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 4904* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 4905EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 4906 4907A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 4908SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 4909HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 4910COMPLETE. 4911 4912A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 4913EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 4914NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 4915 4916FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS 4917ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 4918 4919 4920DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 4921------------------------------ 4922AT 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 4923LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 4924MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS 4925MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 4926DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER 4927OF TOMAS WILL PASS BETWEEN NORTHWESTERN HAITI AND EXTREME EASTERN 4928CUBA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN 4929BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY. 4930 4931MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 4932GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 4933HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON 4934AND TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A WEAKENING TREND BEGINNING ON SATURDAY. 4935 4936HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM 4937THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 4938MILES...220 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 4939 4940ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 4941 4942 4943HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 4944---------------------- 4945STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 4946AS MUCH AS 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 4947WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 4948WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 4949 4950WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 4951WESTERN HAITI...AND ARE EXPECTED IN OTHER PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE 4952WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 4953SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS OTHER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA THIS 4954AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND 4955THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT IN ADVANCE 4956OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS. 4957 4958RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 4959OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 4960WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 4961COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 4962MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES 4963ARE POSSIBLE OVER JAMAICA. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 4964POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 4965TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 4966 4967 4968NEXT ADVISORY 4969------------- 4970NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 4971 4972$$ 4973FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN 4974 4975 4976WTNT31 KNHC 052035 4977TCPAT1 4978BULLETIN 4979HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 31 4980NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 4981500 PM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 4982 4983...CENTER OF TOMAS APPROACHING GREAT INAGUA IN THE BAHAMAS... 4984 4985 4986SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 4987---------------------------------------------- 4988LOCATION...20.3N 73.8W 4989ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM E OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 4990ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM SW OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND 4991MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 4992PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 4993MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 4994 4995 4996WATCHES AND WARNINGS 4997-------------------- 4998CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 4999 5000THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 5001FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN. THE GOVERNMENT 5002OF CUBA HAS ALSO CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING IN GUANTANAMO TO A 5003TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 5004 5005SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5006 5007A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5008* HAITI 5009* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5010 5011A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5012* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS 5013* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 5014 5015A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5016* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5017EASTWARD TO BARAHONA 5018* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5019EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 5020 5021A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED 5022SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 5023HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE 5024COMPLETE. 5025 5026A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 5027EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE 5028NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 5029 5030FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5031PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5032 5033 5034DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5035------------------------------ 5036AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 5037BY THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH... 5038LONGITUDE 73.8 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 5039MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE 5040NEXT DAY FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER 5041FORWARD SPEED SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. 5042 5043MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5044GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 5045HURRICANE WIND SCALE. TOMAS IS ANTICIPATED TO STRENGTHEN SOME 5046DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING OF THE CYCLONE 5047SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. 5048 5049HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5050THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 5051MILES...220 KM...MAINLY ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF TOMAS. 5052 5053THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE 5054HUNTERS DATA IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 5055 5056 5057HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5058---------------------- 5059STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY 5060AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 5061WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN 5062EASTERN CUBA AND WESTERN HAITI SHOULD DIMINISH ON SATURDAY. NEAR 5063THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 5064WAVES. 5065 5066WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 5067NORTHWESTERN HAITI...AND ARE EXPECTED IN OTHER PORTIONS OF THE 5068HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 5069SHOULD SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND 5070CAICOS ISLANDS THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS. 5071TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT 5072OR SATURDAY. 5073 5074RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS 5075OF 5 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 5076WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 5077COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 5078MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE 5079POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN 5080BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 5081 5082 5083NEXT ADVISORY 5084------------- 5085NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT. 5086NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 5087 5088$$ 5089FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN 5090 5091 5092WTNT31 KNHC 052332 5093TCPAT1 5094BULLETIN 5095HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 31A 5096NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5097800 PM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 5098 5099...TOMAS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD TO THE SOUTH OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND... 5100HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUING OVER HISPANIOLA... 5101 5102 5103SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 5104---------------------------------------------- 5105LOCATION...20.4N 73.1W 5106ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM E OF GUANTANAMO CUBA 5107ABOUT 50 MI...80 KM S OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND 5108MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 5109PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR 5110MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 5111 5112 5113WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5114-------------------- 5115CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 5116 5117THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE 5118TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN 5119REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA. 5120 5121SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5122 5123A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5124* HAITI 5125* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5126 5127A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5128* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS 5129* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO 5130 5131A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5132* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5133EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 5134 5135FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5136PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5137 5138 5139DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5140------------------------------ 5141AT 800 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 5142NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 5143TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS 5144EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD 5145THE EAST-NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED SATURDAY NIGHT AND 5146SUNDAY. 5147 5148MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5149GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 5150HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 5151NEXT DAY OR SO...FOLLOWED BY WEAKENING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. 5152 5153HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5154THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 5155MILES...195 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 5156 5157THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE 5158RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 5159 5160 5161HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5162---------------------- 5163STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS 5164MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 5165WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN 5166EASTERN CUBA AND WESTERN HAITI SHOULD DIMINISH ON SATURDAY. NEAR 5167THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE 5168WAVES. 5169 5170WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF 5171NORTHWESTERN HAITI...AND ARE EXPECTED IN OTHER PORTIONS OF THE 5172HURRICANE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD 5173SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS 5174ISLANDS THIS EVENING IN ADVANCE OF THE HURRICANE CONDITIONS. 5175TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD REACH THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS TONIGHT 5176OR SATURDAY. 5177 5178RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 51795 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 5180WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS 5181COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER 5182MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE 5183OVER EASTERN CUBA...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE 5184TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 5185 5186 5187NEXT ADVISORY 5188------------- 5189NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 5190 5191$$ 5192FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS 5193 5194 5195WTNT31 KNHC 060236 5196TCPAT1 5197BULLETIN 5198HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 32 5199NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 52001100 PM EDT FRI NOV 05 2010 5201 5202...TOMAS CONTINUING TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN OVER HISPANIOLA AND PUERTO 5203RICO... 5204 5205 5206SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 5207----------------------------------------------- 5208LOCATION...20.8N 72.8W 5209ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND 5210ABOUT 155 MI...245 KM WNW OF PUERTO PLATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC 5211MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 5212PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/HR 5213MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES 5214 5215 5216WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5217-------------------- 5218CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 5219 5220THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL 5221STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST FROM 5222THE HAITI BORDER EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA. 5223 5224THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING 5225FOR THE PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO. 5226 5227THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 5228WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. 5229 5230SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5231 5232A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5233* HAITI 5234* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5235 5236A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5237* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5238EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 5239 5240A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 5241EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING...IN THIS CASE IN THE NEXT 12 5242HOURS. 5243 5244FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5245PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5246 5247 5248DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5249------------------------------ 5250AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 5251LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST. TOMAS IS 5252MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD 5253OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 5254EXPECTED IN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER 5255OF TOMAS WILL MOVE NEAR THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN 5256BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT. 5257 5258MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5259GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 5260SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS 5261...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATE SATURDAY. 5262 5263HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5264THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 5265MILES...195 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 5266 5267THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. 5268 5269 5270HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5271---------------------- 5272RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 52735 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH 5274POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD 5275CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS 5276TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE 5277CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... 5278AND PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE 5279POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA. IN THE LAST 24 HOURS...HIGUEY IN THE 5280DOMINICAN REPUBLIC REPORTED 10.35 INCHES...263 MM...OF RAINFALL... 5281WHILE POLO BARAHONA REPORTED 8.99 INCHES...228 MM. 5282 5283WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF 5284THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE 5285ONGOING OR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM 5286WARNING AREA. 5287 5288STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS 5289MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 5290WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN 5291THESE AREAS SHOULD DIMINISH ON SATURDAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 5292WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 5293 5294 5295NEXT ADVISORY 5296------------- 5297NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT. 5298NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 5299 5300$$ 5301FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS 5302 5303 5304WTNT31 KNHC 060556 5305TCPAT1 5306BULLETIN 5307HURRICANE TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 32A 5308NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5309200 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 5310 5311...TOMAS NEARING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... 5312 5313 5314SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION 5315---------------------------------------------- 5316LOCATION...21.4N 71.8W 5317ABOUT 90 MI...150 KM ENE OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND 5318MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 5319PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 5320MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES 5321 5322 5323WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5324-------------------- 5325CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 5326 5327NONE. 5328 5329SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5330 5331A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5332* HAITI 5333* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5334 5335A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5336* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5337EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 5338 5339FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5340PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5341 5342 5343DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5344------------------------------ 5345AT 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 5346LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.8 WEST. TOMAS IS 5347MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD 5348OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 5349EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE 5350CENTER OF TOMAS WILL PASS OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS DURING 5351THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 5352 5353MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5354GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 5355SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS 5356...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 5357 5358HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5359THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 5360MILES...195 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. 5361 5362THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE 5363RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. 5364 5365 5366HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5367---------------------- 5368RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 53695 TO 10 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...WITH 5370POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD 5371CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS 5372TERRAIN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE 5373CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS... 5374AND PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE 5375POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN CUBA. 5376 5377WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF 5378THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS 5379ARE ONGOING OR EXPECTED THIS MORNING IN PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL 5380STORM WARNING AREA. 5381 5382STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS 5383MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 5384WINDS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING IN 5385THESE AREAS SHOULD DIMINISH LATER TODAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE 5386WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 5387 5388 5389NEXT ADVISORY 5390------------- 5391NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT. 5392 5393$$ 5394FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN 5395 5396 5397WTNT31 KNHC 060848 5398TCPAT1 5399BULLETIN 5400TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 33 5401NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5402500 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 5403 5404...TOMAS WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...CENTER PASSING OVER THE TURKS 5405AND CAICOS ISLANDS... 5406 5407 5408SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 5409---------------------------------------------- 5410LOCATION...21.9N 71.3W 5411ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM NNW OF GRAND TURK ISLAND 5412MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 5413PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 5414MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES 5415 5416 5417WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5418-------------------- 5419CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 5420 5421THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL 5422STORM WARNING. 5423 5424THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING 5425FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS WITH 5426A TROPICAL STORM WARNING. 5427 5428SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5429 5430A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5431* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5432* HAITI 5433* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5434EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 5435 5436THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC 5437WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING. 5438 5439FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5440PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5441 5442 5443DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5444------------------------------ 5445AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 5446LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST. TOMAS IS 5447MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD 5448MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 5449DAY OR SO. THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL GRADUALLY BE MOVING AWAY FROM 5450THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING. 5451 5452MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 5453KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 5454NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 5455 5456TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 5457FROM THE CENTER. 5458 5459THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE 5460RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES. 5461 5462 5463HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5464---------------------- 5465RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 5466OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN 5467REPUBLIC...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND PUERTO RICO. AN ADDITIONAL 54682 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. 5469ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER 5470THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WHICH COULD CAUSE 5471LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS 5472TERRAIN. 5473 5474WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING IN 5475PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. 5476 5477STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS 5478MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 5479WINDS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD 5480DIMINISH LATER TODAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 5481ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 5482 5483 5484NEXT ADVISORY 5485------------- 5486NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM EDT. 5487NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 5488 5489$$ 5490FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN 5491 5492 5493WTNT31 KNHC 061143 5494TCPAT1 5495BULLETIN 5496TROPICAL STORM TOMAS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33A 5497NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5498800 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 5499 5500...CENTER OF TOMAS MOVING AWAY FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS INTO THE 5501OPEN ATLANTIC... 5502 5503 5504SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION 5505---------------------------------------------- 5506LOCATION...22.5N 70.9W 5507ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM N OF GRAND TURK ISLAND 5508MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR 5509PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 5510MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES 5511 5512 5513WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5514-------------------- 5515CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 5516 5517THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAITI HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. 5518 5519 5520SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5521 5522A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... 5523* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5524* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER 5525EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA 5526 5527THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC WILL LIKELY 5528BE LOWERED LATER THIS MORNING. 5529 5530FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5531PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5532 5533 5534DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5535------------------------------ 5536AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 5537LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST. TOMAS IS 5538MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD 5539MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 5540DAY OR SO. THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE TURKS 5541AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING. 5542 5543MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5544GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 5545 5546TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM 5547FROM THE CENTER. 5548 5549THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA HURRICANE 5550HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. 5551 5552 5553HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5554---------------------- 5555RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 5556OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC... 5557THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND PUERTO RICO. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 5558INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. ISOLATED 5559MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE 5560DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI...WHICH COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING 5561FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 5562 5563WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING IN 5564PORTIONS OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. 5565 5566STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS 5567MUCH AS 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE 5568WINDS IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD 5569DIMINISH LATER TODAY. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE 5570ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. 5571 5572 5573NEXT ADVISORY 5574------------- 5575NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT. 5576 5577$$ 5578FORECASTER BEVEN 5579 5580 5581WTNT31 KNHC 061444 5582TCPAT1 5583BULLETIN 5584TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 34 5585NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 55861100 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 5587 5588...TOMAS MOVING INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS 5589DISCONTINUED... 5590 5591 5592SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 5593----------------------------------------------- 5594LOCATION...23.1N 70.6W 5595ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND 5596MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 5597PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/HR 5598MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 5599 5600 5601WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5602-------------------- 5603CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... 5604 5605THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM 5606WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS 5607ISLANDS. 5608 5609THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE 5610TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF DOMINICAN 5611REPUBLIC. 5612 5613SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 5614 5615THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5616 5617FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR 5618PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. 5619 5620 5621DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5622------------------------------ 5623AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 5624LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST. TOMAS IS 5625MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD 5626OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 5627EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE EAST 5628EXPECTED BY MONDAY. THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY 5629FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING. 5630 5631REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM 5632SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH 5633HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 5634NEXT 48 HOURS. 5635 5636TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM 5637FROM THE CENTER. 5638 5639THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE 5640HUNTER DATA IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 5641 5642 5643HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5644---------------------- 5645RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS 5646OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE TURKS AND 5647CAICOS ISLANDS. 5648 5649WIND...WINDS OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE 5650DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD DIMINISH TODAY. 5651 5652STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 5653SHOULD DIMINISH TODAY. 5654 5655 5656NEXT ADVISORY 5657------------- 5658NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. 5659 5660$$ 5661FORECASTER BEVEN 5662 5663 5664WTNT31 KNHC 062045 5665TCPAT1 5666BULLETIN 5667TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 35 5668NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5669500 PM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010 5670 5671...TOMAS MOVING INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC WITH NO CHANGE OF 5672INTENSITY... 5673 5674 5675SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 5676---------------------------------------------- 5677LOCATION...24.2N 70.0W 5678ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND 5679MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR 5680PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 5681MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES 5682 5683 5684WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5685-------------------- 5686THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5687 5688 5689DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5690------------------------------ 5691AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 5692LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST. TOMAS IS 5693MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND THE 5694STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION OF MOTION 5695AT A SLOWER RATE OF FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT. ON SUNDAY...THE SYSTEM 5696SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR EAST. 5697 5698MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5699GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. 5700 5701TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM 5702FROM THE CENTER. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...NOAA BUOY 41046 5703REPORTED PEAK 1-MIN WINDS OF 41 MPH...66 KM/HR...AND A PEAK GUST OF 570449 MPH...79 KM/HR. 5705 5706ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. 5707 5708 5709HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5710---------------------- 5711NONE 5712 5713 5714NEXT ADVISORY 5715------------- 5716NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT. 5717 5718$$ 5719FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN 5720 5721 5722WTNT31 KNHC 062342 5723TCPAT1 5724BULLETIN 5725HURRICANE TOMAS SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 36 5726NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5727800 PM AST SAT NOV 06 2010 5728 5729...TOMAS REGAINS HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT MOVES INTO THE OPEN 5730ATLANTIC... 5731 5732 5733SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION 5734---------------------------------------------- 5735LOCATION...25.0N 69.7W 5736ABOUT 260 MI...415 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND 5737MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 5738PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/HR 5739MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES 5740 5741 5742WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5743-------------------- 5744THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5745 5746 5747DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5748------------------------------ 5749AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 5750NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 5751TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. A DECREASE IN 5752FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE 5753NORTHEAST AND THEN TOWARD THE EAST ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. 5754 5755DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM 5756SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH 5757HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR- 5758SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE 5759NEXT 48 HOURS. 5760 5761HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5762THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 5763MILES...160 KM. 5764 5765THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON DATA FROM THE NOAA 5766HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES. 5767 5768 5769HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5770---------------------- 5771NONE 5772 5773 5774NEXT ADVISORY 5775------------- 5776NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. 5777 5778$$ 5779FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN 5780 5781 5782WTNT31 KNHC 070230 5783TCPAT1 5784BULLETIN 5785HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 37 5786NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 57871100 PM AST SAT NOV 06 2010 5788 5789...TOMAS SLOWING DOWN...EXPECTED TO TURN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ON 5790SUNDAY... 5791 5792 5793SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION 5794----------------------------------------------- 5795LOCATION...25.2N 69.6W 5796ABOUT 275 MI...440 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND 5797ABOUT 570 MI...915 KM SSW OF BERMUDA 5798MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR 5799PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR 5800MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES 5801 5802 5803WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5804-------------------- 5805THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5806 5807 5808DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5809------------------------------ 5810AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS 5811LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST. TOMAS IS 5812MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A DECREASE 5813IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING FOLLOWED BY A TURN 5814TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED 5815IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. 5816 5817MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5818GUSTS. TOMAS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON 5819HURRICANE WIND SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 5820HOURS. 5821 5822HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5823THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 100 5824MILES...160 KM. 5825 5826ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. 5827 5828 5829HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5830---------------------- 5831NONE 5832 5833 5834NEXT ADVISORY 5835------------- 5836NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. 5837 5838$$ 5839FORECASTER BRENNAN 5840 5841 5842WTNT31 KNHC 070837 5843TCPAT1 5844BULLETIN 5845HURRICANE TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 38 5846NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5847500 AM AST SUN NOV 07 2010 5848 5849...TOMAS STILL A HURRICANE BUT EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL 5850STORM LATER TODAY... 5851 5852 5853SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION 5854---------------------------------------------- 5855LOCATION...26.2N 68.8W 5856ABOUT 485 MI...780 KM SSW OF BERMUDA 5857MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR 5858PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR 5859MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES 5860 5861 5862WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5863-------------------- 5864THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5865 5866 5867DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5868------------------------------ 5869AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE TOMAS WAS LOCATED 5870NEAR LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST. TOMAS IS MOVING 5871TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD 5872THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS FORECAST LATER TODAY. AN INCREASE IN FORWARD 5873SPEED IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY. 5874 5875MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR... 5876WITH HIGHER GUSTS. TOMAS IS STILL A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE 5877SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. HOWEVER...WEAKENING IS 5878FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO BECOME 5879A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. 5880 5881HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM 5882THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 5883MILES...325 KM...PRIMARILY ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE HURRICANE. 5884 5885ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES. 5886 5887 5888HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5889---------------------- 5890NONE. 5891 5892 5893NEXT ADVISORY 5894------------- 5895NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST. 5896 5897$$ 5898FORECASTER STEWART 5899 5900 5901WTNT31 KNHC 071440 5902TCPAT1 5903BULLETIN 5904TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 39 5905NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 59061100 AM AST SUN NOV 07 2010 5907 5908...TOMAS WEAKENING RAPIDLY...EXPECTED TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL 5909CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY... 5910 5911 5912SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION 5913----------------------------------------------- 5914LOCATION...26.0N 69.6W 5915ABOUT 525 MI...840 KM SW OF BERMUDA 5916MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 5917PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR 5918MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 5919 5920 5921WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5922-------------------- 5923THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5924 5925 5926DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5927------------------------------ 5928AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS 5929LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.6 WEST. TOMAS IS 5930MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE 5931NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD 5932SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 5933 5934MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 5935KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND 5936TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS BY THIS 5937EVENING. 5938 5939TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM 5940FROM THE CENTER...PRIMARILY TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. 5941 5942ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 5943 5944 5945HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 5946---------------------- 5947NONE. 5948 5949 5950NEXT ADVISORY 5951------------- 5952NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. 5953 5954$$ 5955FORECASTER CANGIALOSI 5956 5957 5958WTNT31 KNHC 072031 5959TCPAT1 5960BULLETIN 5961TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 40 5962NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010 5963500 PM AST SUN NOV 07 2010 5964 5965...TOMAS LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... 5966 5967 5968SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION 5969---------------------------------------------- 5970LOCATION...26.1N 69.1W 5971ABOUT 500 MI...805 KM SSW OF BERMUDA 5972MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR 5973PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/HR 5974MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES 5975 5976 5977WATCHES AND WARNINGS 5978-------------------- 5979THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 5980 5981 5982DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK 5983------------------------------ 5984AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TOMAS WAS LOCATED NEAR 5985LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.1 WEST. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING 5986TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE 5987NORTHEAST OR EAST-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS 5988EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 5989 5990MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER 5991GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 5992 5993TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 5994KM...MAINLY TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER. 5995 5996ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. 5997 5998 5999HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND 6000---------------------- 6001NONE. 6002 6003 6004NEXT ADVISORY 6005------------- 6006THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE 6007CENTER ON TOMAS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND 6008IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... 6009UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. 6010 6011$$ 6012FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BROWN 6013 6014 6015