old/2013/two.adv

WTNT32 KNHC 171459
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1100 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...
...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 87.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE THIS
AFTERNOON.  THE DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON
TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.  SOME
WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER LAND LATER TODAY
AND TONIGHT.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY IF
THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... NORTHERN HONDURAS AND THE
SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


WTNT32 KNHC 171520 CCA
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   1...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1100 AM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

CORRECTED TO ADD WIND HAZARD STATEMENT

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS...
...APPROACHING COAST OF BELIZE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.2N 87.6W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM E OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13
MPH...20 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INLAND
OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE THIS AFTERNOON.  THE DEPRESSION COULD
EMERGE INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.
SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE DEPRESSION MOVES OVER LAND
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE
ON TUESDAY IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA... NORTHERN HONDURAS AND
THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THROUGH TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


WTNT32 KNHC 172039
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
500 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...DEPRESSION NEAR THE COAST OF BELIZE...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 88.4W
ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NE OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE...RADAR...AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION IS
CURRENTLY NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHERN BELIZE AND SHOULD MOVE INLAND
WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER WILL MOVE OVER BELIZE AND NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND
EARLY TUESDAY...OVER EASTERN MEXICO LATER ON TUESDAY.  THE
DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING WILL OCCUR WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...
ALONG WITH THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...TABASCO...VERACRUZ...AND
THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...GUSTY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF BELIZE THROUGH TONIGHT.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA


WTNT32 KNHC 180242
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1100 PM EDT MON JUN 17 2013

...DEPRESSION MOVING INLAND OVER BELIZE...
...THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.7N 88.9W
ABOUT 40 MI...60 KM NW OF MONKEY RIVER TOWN BELIZE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTHERN BELIZE NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 88.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE OVER BELIZE AND
NORTHERN GUATEMALA TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY...AND OVER EASTERN
MEXICO BY LATE TUESDAY. THE DEPRESSION COULD EMERGE INTO THE
SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE BY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING WILL OCCUR WHILE THE CENTER MOVES OVER LAND
TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BY WEDNESDAY
IF THE CENTER EMERGES INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...
ALONG WITH THE MEXICAN STATES OF CHIAPAS...TABASCO...VERACRUZ...AND
THE SOUTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA


WTNT32 KNHC 180833
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
500 AM EDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...DEPRESSION MOVING OVER NORTHERN GUATEMALA...
...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.0N 89.4W
ABOUT 30 MI...50 KM ENE OF TIKAL GUATEMALA
ABOUT 215 MI...345 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND EASTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
GUATEMALA AND EASTERN MEXICO THROUGH TONIGHT...AND MOVE OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO WHILE THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION REMAINS OVER LAND. A LITTLE
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY IF THE
CENTER MOVES OFFSHORE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...AND NORTHERN HONDURAS...
ALONG WITH THE MEXICAN STATES OF VERACRUZ...TABASCO...CHIAPAS....
SOUTHERN CAMPECHE AND SOUTHERN QUINTANA ROO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. SOME RECENT 24-HOUR RAINFALL TOTALS INCLUDE 5.16
INCHES...131 MM...AT TELA HONDURAS...AND 3.58 INCHES...91 MM...AT
BELIZE CITY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


WTNT32 KNHC 181435
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER YUCATAN AND CENTRAL AMERICA...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.9N 90.0W
ABOUT 140 MI...230 KM SSE OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE
DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE ON
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


WTNT32 KNHC 182037
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
400 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.3N 91.9W
ABOUT 20 MI...35 KM SSW OF CARMEN MEXICO
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM E OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN EASTERN MEXICO AND THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH OR WARNING
COULD BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST OF MEXICO TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.9 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE ON WEDNESDAY AND REACH THE COAST ON THE STATE OF VERACRUZ
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF BELIZE...GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
SOUTHERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


WTNT32 KNHC 190248
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 PM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.9N 92.7W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM WNW OF CIUDAD DEL CARMEN MEXICO
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM
PUNTA EL LAGARTO WESTWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.7 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AND REACH THE COAST IN THE
STATE OF VERACRUZ WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BE NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
WHEN IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
MUDSLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
BY LATE WEDNESDAY.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


WTNT32 KNHC 190558
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
100 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...


SUMMARY OF 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.2N 93.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM CDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/H.  A TURN TOWARD THE WEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE TODAY AND TONIGHT AND REACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF
VERACRUZ BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BE NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
WHEN IT APPROACHES THE COAST OF MEXICO.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


WTNT32 KNHC 190837
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
400 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 93.3W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PUNTA EL LAGARTO WESTWARD TO BARRA DE
NAUTLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.3 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.
A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TODAY AND THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH
THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES
THE COAST ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


WTNT32 KNHC 191137
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
700 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON ITS WAY TOWARD THE COAST OF MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.4N 94.0W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST.  THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TODAY AND THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER
WILL REACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE WILL INVESTIGATE THE
DEPRESSION LATER TODAY. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  WEAKENING WILL OCCUR
AFTER THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ON THURSDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND SOUTHERN
MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


WTNT32 KNHC 191433
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
1000 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...
...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL CHECK LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 94.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM N OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GENERAL
WESTWARD TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY
AND THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL REACH THE
COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.  WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE
CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ON THURSDAY. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE WILL CHECK THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA


WTNT32 KNHC 191757
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022013
100 PM CDT WED JUN 19 2013

...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.7N 95.1W
ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM ENE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUNTA EL LAGARTO TO BARRA DE NAUTLA MEXICO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------

AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.1 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/H. A
GENERAL WESTWARD TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
LATER TODAY AND THURSDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
REACH THE COAST IN THE STATE OF VERACRUZ THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THERE IS A STRONG LIKELIHOOD THAT THE DEPRESSION WILL BECOME
A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.  WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AFTER THE
CENTER CROSSES THE COAST ON THURSDAY. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
PLANE IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE DEPRESSION.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN
MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA