1WTNT24 KNHC 181447 2TCMAT4 3 4TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 5NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042015 61500 UTC TUE AUG 18 2015 7 8THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. 9 10TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 36.5W AT 18/1500Z 11POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM 12 13PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 11 KT 14 15ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB 16MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. 17WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL 18MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. 19 20REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.6N 36.5W AT 18/1500Z 21AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 35.9W 22 23FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.0N 37.9W 24MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 2534 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 26 27FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 11.3N 39.5W 28MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 2934 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW. 30 31FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 11.6N 40.9W 32MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 3350 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 3434 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 35 36FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.1N 41.9W 37MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 3850 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 3934 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 40 41FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.2N 44.2W 42MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 4350 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 4434 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 45 46EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM 47ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY 48 49OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 13.7N 47.8W 50MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 51 52OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 14.0N 52.4W 53MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 54 55REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.6N 36.5W 56 57NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z 58 59$$ 60FORECASTER STEWART 61 62 63 64 65------------=_1439909320-17555-638 66Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" 67Content-Disposition: inline 68Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT 69 70= = = == = = 71